English
Related papers

Related papers: Confidence and Uncertainty Assessment for Distribu…

200 papers

Distributional reinforcement learning (DRL) enhances the understanding of the effects of the randomness in the environment by letting agents learn the distribution of a random return, rather than its expected value as in standard RL. At the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Zifan Wang , Yulong Gao , Siyi Wang , Michael M. Zavlanos , Alessandro Abate , Karl H. Johansson

We propose a novel methodology, forest floor, to visualize and interpret random forest (RF) models. RF is a popular and useful tool for non-linear multi-variate classification and regression, which yields a good trade-off between robustness…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-05 Soeren H. Welling , Hanne H. F. Refsgaard , Per B. Brockhoff , Line H. Clemmensen

Random forest methods belong to the class of non-parametric machine learning algorithms. They were first introduced in 2001 by Breiman and they perform with accuracy in high dimensional settings. In this article, we consider, a simplified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-12 Iakovidis Isidoros , Nicola Arcozzi

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

Random Forests [Breiman:2001] (RF) are a fully non-parametric statistical method requiring no distributional assumptions on covariate relation to the response. RF are a robust, nonlinear technique that optimizes predictive accuracy by…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-30 John Ehrlinger

Random forests are a sensible non-parametric model to predict competing risk data according to some covariates. However, there are currently no packages that can adequately handle large datasets ($n > 100,000$). We introduce a new R…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Joel Therrien , Jiguo Cao

We describe the use of an unsupervised Random Forest for similarity learning and improved unsupervised anomaly detection. By training a Random Forest to discriminate between real data and synthetic data sampled from a uniform distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-23 Joshua S. Harvey , Joshua Rosaler , Mingshu Li , Dhruv Desai , Dhagash Mehta

We study estimation of the conditional law $P(Y|X=x)$ and continuous functionals $\Psi(P(Y|X=x))$ when $Y$ takes values in a locally compact Polish space, $X \in \mathbb{R}^p$, and the observations arise from a complex survey design. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-07 Yating Zou , Marcos Matabuena , Michael R. Kosorok

This paper presents a brand new nonparametric density estimation strategy named the best-scored random forest density estimation whose effectiveness is supported by both solid theoretical analysis and significant experimental performance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Hanyuan Hang , Hongwei Wen

Following the line of classification-based two-sample testing, tests based on the Random Forest classifier are proposed. The developed tests are easy to use, require almost no tuning, and are applicable for any distribution on…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-07 Simon Hediger , Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf

Random forests on the one hand, and neural networks on the other hand, have met great success in the machine learning community for their predictive performance. Combinations of both have been proposed in the literature, notably leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Ludovic Arnould , Claire Boyer , Erwan Scornet , Sorbonne Lpsm

We present new insights into causal inference in the context of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects by proposing natural variants of Random Forests to estimate the key conditional distributions. To achieve this, we recast Breiman's original…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Qiming Du , Gérard Biau , François Petit , Raphaël Porcher

The regularized random forest (RRF) was recently proposed for feature selection by building only one ensemble. In RRF the features are evaluated on a part of the training data at each tree node. We derive an upper bound for the number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-21 Houtao Deng , George Runger

Random forest is a classification algorithm well suited for microarray data: it shows excellent performance even when most predictive variables are noise, can be used when the number of variables is much larger than the number of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Ramon Diaz-Uriarte , Sara Alvarez de Andres

Random forests are one of the most popular machine learning methods due to their accuracy and variable importance assessment. However, random forests only provide variable importance in a global sense. There is an increasing need for such…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Joshua Daniel Loyal , Ruoqing Zhu , Yifan Cui , Xin Zhang

Many scientific and engineering challenges -- ranging from personalized medicine to customized marketing recommendations -- require an understanding of treatment effect heterogeneity. In this paper, we develop a non-parametric causal forest…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

We seek decision rules for prediction-time cost reduction, where complete data is available for training, but during prediction-time, each feature can only be acquired for an additional cost. We propose a novel random forest algorithm to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-23 Feng Nan , Joseph Wang , Venkatesh Saligrama

Random forests are a machine learning method used to automatically classify datasets and consist of a multitude of decision trees. While these random forests often have higher performance and generalize better than a single decision tree,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Max Sondag , Christofer Meinecke , Dennis Collaris , Tatiana von Landesberger , Stef van den Elzen

Due to the steadily increasing relevance of machine learning for practical applications, many of which are coming with safety requirements, the notion of uncertainty has received increasing attention in machine learning research in the last…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Mohammad Hossein Shaker , Eyke Hüllermeier

Despite widespread interest and practical use, the theoretical properties of random forests are still not well understood. In this paper we contribute to this understanding in two ways. We present a new theoretically tractable variant of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-08 Misha Denil , David Matheson , Nando de Freitas