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Distributional Random Forest (DRF) is a flexible forest-based method to estimate the full conditional distribution of a multivariate output of interest given input variables. In this article, we introduce a variable importance algorithm for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Clément Bénard , Jeffrey Näf , Julie Josse

Random Forest (Breiman, 2001) is a successful and widely used regression and classification algorithm. Part of its appeal and reason for its versatility is its (implicit) construction of a kernel-type weighting function on training data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-13 Domagoj Ćevid , Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

This paper proposes the automatic Doubly Robust Random Forest (DRRF) algorithm for estimating the conditional expectation of a moment functional in the presence of high-dimensional nuisance functions. DRRF extends the automatic debiasing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Zhaomeng Chen , Junting Duan , Victor Chernozhukov , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Random forests are an ensemble method relevant for many problems, such as regression or classification. They are popular due to their good predictive performance (compared to, e.g., decision trees) requiring only minimal tuning of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Nikolaus Umlauf , Nadja Klein

Random forests is a common non-parametric regression technique which performs well for mixed-type unordered data and irrelevant features, while being robust to monotonic variable transformations. Standard random forests, however, do not…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-19 Taylor Pospisil , Ann B. Lee

Random forest regression (RF) is an extremely popular tool for the analysis of high-dimensional data. Nonetheless, its benefits may be lessened in sparse settings due to weak predictors, and a pre-estimation dimension reduction (targeting)…

Random forest (RF) methodology is one of the most popular machine learning techniques for prediction problems. In this article, we discuss some cases where random forests may suffer and propose a novel generalized RF method, namely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-24 Haozhe Zhang , Dan Nettleton , Zhengyuan Zhu

Random forests is a common non-parametric regression technique which performs well for mixed-type data and irrelevant covariates, while being robust to monotonic variable transformations. Existing random forest implementations target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-04 Taylor Pospisil , Ann B. Lee

Due to the dynamic nature of financial markets, maintaining models that produce precise predictions over time is difficult. Often the goal isn't just point prediction but determining uncertainty. Quantifying uncertainty, especially the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-06 Mingshu Li , Bhaskarjit Sarmah , Dhruv Desai , Joshua Rosaler , Snigdha Bhagat , Philip Sommer , Dhagash Mehta

It is often critical for prediction models to be robust to distributional shifts between training and testing data. From a causal perspective, the challenge is to distinguish the stable causal relationships from the unstable spurious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Shuxi Zeng , Murat Ali Bayir , Joesph J. Pfeiffer , Denis Charles , Emre Kiciman

Random Forests (RF) is a popular machine learning method for classification and regression problems. It involves a bagging application to decision tree models. One of the primary advantages of the Random Forests model is the reduction in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-06 Sai K Popuri

Random Forest (RF) is a widely used ensemble learning technique known for its robust classification performance across diverse domains. However, it often relies on hundreds of trees and all input features, leading to high inference cost and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Sijan Bhattarai , Saurav Bhandari , Girija Bhusal , Saroj Shakya , Tapendra Pandey

Random forest (RF) stands out as a highly favored machine learning approach for classification problems. The effectiveness of RF hinges on two key factors: the accuracy of individual trees and the diversity among them. In this study, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Ye-eun Kim , Seoung Yun Kim , Hyunjoong Kim

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is a commonly targeted statistical parameter for measuring the effect of a treatment conditional on covariates. However, the CATE will fail to capture effects of treatments beyond differences…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Jeffrey Näf , Junhyung Park , Herbert Susmann

Regression models for supervised learning problems with a continuous target are commonly understood as models for the conditional mean of the target given predictors. This notion is simple and therefore appealing for interpretation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-09 Torsten Hothorn , Achim Zeileis

Distributional regression aims at estimating the conditional distribution of a targetvariable given explanatory co-variates. It is a crucial tool for forecasting whena precise uncertainty quantification is required. A popular methodology…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Clément Dombry , Ahmed Zaoui

The Random Forest (RF) classifier is often claimed to be relatively well calibrated when compared with other machine learning methods. Moreover, the existing literature suggests that traditional calibration methods, such as isotonic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Mohammad Hossein Shaker , Eyke Hüllermeier

In this article, we strengthen the proof methods of some previously weakly consistent variants of random forests into strongly consistent proof methods, and improve the data utilization of these variants, in order to obtain better…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-11 Junhao Chen , Xueli wang

Random forest (RF) missing data algorithms are an attractive approach for dealing with missing data. They have the desirable properties of being able to handle mixed types of missing data, they are adaptive to interactions and nonlinearity,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-23 Fei Tang , Hemant Ishwaran

Random forests are ensemble methods which grow trees as base learners and combine their predictions by averaging. Random forests are known for their good practical performance, particularly in high dimensional set-tings. On the theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-18 Erwan Scornet
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