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A continuous-state polynomial branching process is constructed as the pathwise unique solution of a stochastic integral equation with absorbing boundary condition. The extinction and explosion probabilities and the mean extinction and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Pei-Sen Li

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. Define a risk process \label{Rudef} R_u^{\delta}(t)=e^{\delta t}\left(u+c\int^{t}_{0}e^{-\delta s}d s-\sigma\int_{0}^{t}e^{-\delta s}d B(s)\right), t\geq0, where $u\geq 0$ is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-14 Long Bai , Li Luo

If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed renewal process under a probability measure $P$, we provide a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Nikolaos D. Macheras

Linear Dynamical Systems, both discrete and continuous, are invaluable mathematical models in a plethora of applications such the verification of probabilistic systems, model checking, computational biology, cyber-physical systems, and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Mihir Vahanwala

In this paper, we introduce an insurance ruin model with adaptive premium rate, thereafter refered to as restructuring/refraction, in which classical ruin and bankruptcy are distinguished. In this model, the premium rate is increased as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-21 Jean-François Renaud

Maximum likelihood iteration is one of the most commonly used reconstruction algorithms in quantum tomography. The main appeal of the method is that it is easy to implement and that it converges reliably to a physically meaningful density…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-21 Florian Oberender

Applying excursion theory, we re-express several well studied fluctuation quantities associated to Parisian ruin problem for L\'evy risk processes in terms of integrals with respect to excursion measure for spectrally negative L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Bo Li , Xiaowen Zhou

Logical theories have been developed which have allowed temporal reasoning about eventualities (a la Galton) such as states, processes, actions, events, processes and complex eventualities such as sequences and recurrences of other…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-05-03 B. O. Akinkunmi

We explicitly find the rate of exponential long-term convergence for the ruin probability in a level-dependent L\'evy-driven risk model, as time goes to infinity. Siegmund duality allows to reduce the pro blem to long-term convergence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Pierre-Olivier Goffard , Andrey Sarantsev

We consider a $d-$dimensional insurance network, with initial capital $a\in\R^d_+,$ operating under a risk diversifying treaty; this is described in terms of a regulated random walk $\{Z^{(a)}_n\}$ via Skorokhod problem in $\R^d_+$ with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-09 S. Ramasubramanian

In this note, we study the ultimate ruin probabilities of a real-valued L{\'e}vy process X with light-tailed negative jumps. It is well-known that, for such L{\'e}vy processes, the probability of ruin decreases as an exponential function…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Jérôme Spielmann

In this article, we consider diffusion approximations for a general class of stochastic recursions. Such recursions arise as models for population growth, genetics, financial securities, multiplicative time series, numerical schemes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-13 David Kelly

This paper presents some new results on Parisian ruin under Levy insurance risk process, where ruin occurs when the process has gone below a fixed level from the last record maximum, also known as the high-water mark or drawdown, for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-07 B. A. Surya

We find the optimal indemnity to minimize the probability of ruin when premium is calculated according to the distortion premium principle with a proportional risk load, and admissible indemnities are such that both the indemnity and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-08 Bahman Angoshtari , Virginia R. Young

We derive exact tail asymptotics of the Parisian ruin probability for Gaussian risk models driven by locally self-similar Gaussian processes with a power-type deterministic trend. The considered setting includes non-stationary Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Svyatoslav M. Novikov

The successive discrete structures generated by a sequential algorithm from random input constitute a Markov chain that may exhibit long term dependence on its first few input values. Using examples from random graph theory and search…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Rudolf Grübel

In this paper, we unify two popular approaches for the definition of actuarial ruin with implementation delays, also known as Parisian ruin. Our new definition of ruin includes both deterministic delays and exponentially distributed delays:…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Mohamed Amine Lkabous , Jean-François Renaud

We analyse the asymptotics of ruin probabilities of two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions when the initial reserves of both companies tend…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Zbigniew Palmowski , Tomasz Rolski

This paper investigates the zero distribution of a sequence of polynomials $\left\{ P_{m}(z)\right\} _{m=0}^{\infty}$ generated by the reciprocal of $1+ct+B(z)t^{2}+A(z)t^{3}$ where $c\in\mathbb{R}$ and $A(z)$, $B(z)$ are real linear…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Khang Tran , Andres Zumba

We consider a branching random walk in a random space-time environment of disasters where each particle is killed when meeting a disaster. This extends the model of the "random walk in a disastrous random environment" introduced by [15]. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Nina Gantert , Stefan Junk