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This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner

Large-scale and multidimensional spatiotemporal data sets are becoming ubiquitous in many real-world applications such as monitoring urban traffic and air quality. Making predictions on these time series has become a critical challenge due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 Xinyu Chen , Lijun Sun

Analyzing demographic data collected across multiple populations, time periods, and age groups is challenging due to the interplay of high dimensionality, demographic heterogeneity among groups, and stochastic variability within smaller…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-12 Gregor Zens

Multivariate spatially-oriented data sets are prevalent in the environmental and physical sciences. Scientists seek to jointly model multiple variables, each indexed by a spatial location, to capture any underlying spatial association for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-19 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee

Multivariate spatio-temporal data arise more and more frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few general statistical methods that can readily use that incorporate spatial, temporal and variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Elynn Yi Chen , Qiwei Yao , Rong Chen

Factor models are widely used across diverse areas of application for purposes that include dimensionality reduction, covariance estimation, and feature engineering. Traditional factor models can be seen as an instance of linear embedding…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-13 Xingchen Yu , Abel Rodriguez

In this paper, we set up the theoretical foundations for a high-dimensional functional factor model approach in the analysis of large cross-sections (panels) of functional time series (FTS). We first establish a representation result…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Shahin Tavakoli , Gilles Nisol , Marc Hallin

Matrix-variate data of high dimensions are frequently observed in finance and economics, spanning extended time periods, such as the long-term data on international trade flows among numerous countries. To address potential structural…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-03 Bin Chen , Elynn Y. Chen , Stevenson Bolivar , Rong Chen

This paper considers a structural-factor approach to modeling high-dimensional time series and space-time data by decomposing individual series into trend, seasonal, and irregular components. For ease in analyzing many time series, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S Tsay

In this paper, we consider the nonstationary matrix-valued time series with common stochastic trends. Unlike the traditional factor analysis which flattens matrix observations into vectors, we adopt a matrix factor model in order to fully…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-25 Degui Li , Yayi Yan , Qiwei Yao

Factor analysis has been extensively used to reveal the dependence structures among multivariate variables, offering valuable insight in various fields. However, it cannot incorporate the spatial heterogeneity that is typically present in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Yanxiu Jin , Tomoya Wakayama , Renhe Jiang , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We propose a flexible dual functional factor model for modelling high-dimensional functional time series. In this model, a high-dimensional fully functional factor parametrisation is imposed on the observed functional processes, whereas a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-15 Chenlei Leng , Degui Li , Hanlin Shang , Yingcun Xia

Large-scale longitudinal molecular profiling is now firmly established in biomedical research, prompted by the need to uncover coordinated biomarker trajectories reflecting the dynamics of underlying biological mechanisms and characterise…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Salima Jaoua , Daniel Temko , Hélène Ruffieux

We address the curse of dimensionality in dynamic covariance estimation by modeling the underlying co-volatility dynamics of a time series vector through latent time-varying stochastic factors. The use of a global-local shrinkage prior for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-07 Gregor Kastner

Longitudinal item response data are common in social science, educational science, and psychology, among other disciplines. Studying the time-varying relationships between items is crucial for educational assessment or designing marketing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Jaewoo Park , Yeseul Jeon , Minsuk Shin , Minjeong Jeon , Ick Hoon Jin

We introduce a new method for forecasting emergency call arrival rates that combines integer-valued time series models with a dynamic latent factor structure. Covariate information is captured via simple constraints on the factor loadings.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-07-26 David S. Matteson , Mathew W. McLean , Dawn B. Woodard , Shane G. Henderson

High-dimensional matrix-variate time series data are becoming widely available in many scientific fields, such as economics, biology, and meteorology. To achieve significant dimension reduction while preserving the intrinsic matrix…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Elynn Y. Chen , Ruey S. Tsay , Rong Chen

Many economic and scientific problems involve the analysis of high-dimensional functional time series, where the number of functional variables $p$ diverges as the number of serially dependent observations $n$ increases. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao , Qingsong Wang , Zihan Wang

We propose modeling raw functional data as a mixture of a smooth function and a high-dimensional factor component. The conventional approach to retrieving the smooth function from the raw data is through various smoothing techniques.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-13 Yuan Gao , Han Lin Shang , Yanrong Yang
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