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The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) can predict the future value of a time series based on its current and previous values, making it a powerful algorithm for handling various types of time series. Numerous studies have explored the improvement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 YeXin Huang

In this work we propose a Bayesian framework for data fusion of multivariate signals which arises in imaging systems. More specifically, we consider the case where we have observed two images of the same object through two different imaging…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Olivier Feron , Ali Mohammad-Djafari

This paper presents a methodology for creating streaming, distributed inference algorithms for Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) models. In the proposed framework, processing nodes receive a sequence of data minibatches, compute a variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-02 Trevor Campbell , Julian Straub , John W. Fisher , Jonathan P. How

The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Hock Peng Chan , Chiang Wee Heng , Ajay Jasra

In this paper, we consider the filtering and smoothing recursions in nonparametric finite state space hidden Markov models (HMMs) when the parameters of the model are unknown and replaced by estimators. We provide an explicit and time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-24 Yohann De Castro , Elisabeth Gassiat , Sylvain Le Corff

This is a technical report which explores the estimation methodologies on hyper-parameters in Markov Random Field and Gaussian Hidden Markov Random Field. In first section, we briefly investigate a theoretical framework on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-22 Namjoon Suh

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are fundamental for modeling sequential data, yet learning their parameters from observations remains challenging. Classical methods like the Baum-Welch algorithm are computationally intensive and prone to local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Reginald Zhiyan Chen , Heng-Sheng Chang , Prashant G. Mehta

Industrial processes generate a massive amount of monitoring data that can be exploited to uncover hidden time losses in the system. This can be used to enhance the accuracy of maintenance policies and increase the effectiveness of the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-27 Fernando Miguelez , Josu Doncel , Maria Dolores Ugarte

The paper investigates the problems of quickest change detection in Markov models and hidden Markov models (HMMs). Sequential observations are taken from a (hidden) Markov model. At some unknown time, an event occurs in the system and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-09 Qi Zhang , Zhongchang Sun , Luis C. Herrera , Shaofeng Zou

Electric arc welding (EAW) exhibits strongly non stationary and temporally evolving behavior, making reliable assessment of arc stability difficult using conventional frame based approaches. In this study, arc dynamics are modeled as a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-24 Hidir Selcuk Nogay

Robot introspection, as opposed to anomaly detection typical in process monitoring, helps a robot understand what it is doing at all times. A robot should be able to identify its actions not only when failure or novelty occurs, but also as…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-01-23 Hongmin Wu , Hongbin Lin , Yisheng Guan , Kensuke Harada , Juan Rojas

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

In this paper, we explore the class of the Hidden Semi-Markov Model (HSMM), a flexible extension of the popular Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that allows the underlying stochastic process to be a semi-Markov chain. HSMMs are typically used less…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-26 Patrick Aschermayr , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

This work studies networked agents cooperating to track a dynamical state of nature under partial information. The proposed algorithm is a distributed Bayesian filtering algorithm for finite-state hidden Markov models (HMMs). It can be used…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-07 Mert Kayaalp , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

Integrated sensing and communication is widely acknowledged as a foundational technology for next-generation mobile networks. Compared with monostatic sensing, multi-access point (AP) collaborative sensing endows mobile networks with…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-03 Shengheng Liu , Xingkang Li , Yongming Huang , Yuan Fang , Qingji Jiang , Dazhuan Xu , Ziguo Zhong , Dongming Wang , Xiaohu You

We are interested in assessing the order of a finite-state Hidden Markov Model (HMM) with the only two assumptions that the transition matrix of the latent Markov chain has full rank and that the density functions of the emission…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Salima El Kolei , Marie-Pierre Etienne , Matthieu Marbac

Cyber threat intelligence is one of the emerging areas of focus in information security. Much of the recent work has focused on rule-based methods and detection of network attacks using Intrusion Detection algorithms. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Soham Deshmukh , Rahul Rade , Faruk Kazi

Online (also called "recursive" or "adaptive") estimation of fixed model parameters in hidden Markov models is a topic of much interest in times series modelling. In this work, we propose an online parameter estimation algorithm that…

Computation · Statistics 2011-02-16 Olivier Cappé

This paper proposes a determined blind source separation method using Bayesian non-parametric modelling of sources. Conventionally source signals are separated from a given set of mixture signals by modelling them using non-negative matrix…

Sound · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Chaitanya Narisetty , Tatsuya Komatsu , Reishi Kondo

There is much interest in the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) as a natural Bayesian nonparametric extension of the ubiquitous Hidden Markov Model for learning from sequential and time-series data. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-11 Matthew J. Johnson , Alan S. Willsky