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Given data on the choices made by consumers for different offer sets, a key challenge is to develop parsimonious models that describe and predict consumer choice behavior while being amenable to prescriptive tasks such as pricing and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Yanqiu Ruan , Xiaobo Li , Karthyek Murthy , Karthik Natarajan

Barseghyan and Molinari (2023) give sufficient conditions for semi-nonparametric point identification of parameters of interest in a mixture model of decision-making under risk, allowing for unobserved heterogeneity in utility functions and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Xinwei Ma , Yusufcan Masatlioglu

Consider the object allocation (one-sided matching) model of Shapley and Scarf (1974). When final allocations are observed but agents' preferences are unknown, when might the allocation be in the core? This is a one-sided analogue of the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-08 Andrew Tai

We initiate a novel direction in randomized social choice by proposing a new definition of agent utility for randomized outcomes. Each agent has a preference over all outcomes and a {\em quantile} parameter. Given a {\em lottery} over the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Ioannis Caragiannis , Fabian Frank , Sanjukta Roy

This work considers reasons for and implications of discarding the assumption of transitivity, which (transitivity) is the fundamental postulate in the utility theory of Von Neumann and Morgenstern, the adiabatic accessibility principle of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-14 A. Y. Klimenko

To determine the welfare implications of price changes in demand data, we introduce a revealed preference relation over prices. We show that the absence of cycles in this relation characterizes a consumer who trades off the utility of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Rahul Deb , Yuichi Kitamura , John K. -H. Quah , Jörg Stoye

The (static) utility maximization model of Afriat (1967), which is the standard in analysing choice behavior, is under scrutiny. We propose the Dynamic Random Utility Model (DRUM) that is more flexible than the framework of Afriat (1967)…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-04 Nail Kashaev , Victor H. Aguiar , Martin Plávala , Charles Gauthier

We study dynamic mechanism design in a pure-exchange economy with privately observed idiosyncratic income. In the standard infinitely lived hidden-income benchmark of Green (1987) and Thomas-Worrall (1990), constrained-efficient allocations…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-18 Michiko Ogaku

We ask if participants in a choice experiment with repeated presentation of the same menus and no feedback provision: (i) exhibit overall behaviour that is consistent with ordinal and expected utility theory under *weak* preferences; (ii)…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-02 Thomas Dohmen , Georgios Gerasimou

We show that many bounded rationality patterns of choice can be alternatively represented as testable models of limited consideration, and we elicit the features of the associated unobserved consideration sets from the observed choice.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-08 Davide Carpentiere , Angelo Petralia

A family of models of individual discrete choice are constructed by means of statistical averaging of choices made by a subject in a reinforcement learning process, where the subject has short, k-term memory span. The choice probabilities…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-20 Misha Perepelitsa

We study a general robust utility maximization problem in a discrete-time frictionless market. The investor is assumed to have a possibly infinite, random, nonconcave, and nondecreasing utility function defined on the whole real line. She…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Laurence Carassus , Massinissa Ferhoune

We obtain variants of the classical von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility theorem, with and without the completeness axiom, in which the derived Bernoulli utility functions are Lipschitz. The prize space in these results is an arbitrary…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Efe A. Ok , Nik Weaver

This paper considers utility indifference valuation of derivatives under model uncertainty and trading constraints, where the utility is formulated as an additive stochastic differential utility of both intertemporal consumption and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-26 Huiwen Yan , Gechun Liang , Zhou Yang

Predictive algorithms inform consequential decisions in settings with selective labels: outcomes are observed only for units selected by past decision makers. This creates an identification problem under unobserved confounding -- when…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-07 Ashesh Rambachan , Amanda Coston , Edward Kennedy

We propose an axiomatic approach which economically underpins the representation of dynamic preferences in terms of a stochastic utility function, sensitive to the information available to the decision maker. Our construction is iterative…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Marco Maggis , Andrea Maran

This article focuses on the work of O. Chanel and G. Chichilnisky (2013) on the flaws of expected utility theory while assessing the value of life. Expected utility is a fundamental tool in decision theory. However, it does not fit with the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-20 Julien Blasco , Graciela Chichilnisky

Randomness (in the sense of being generated in an IID fashion) and exchangeability are standard assumptions in nonparametric statistics and machine learning, and relations between them have been a popular topic of research. This short paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Vladimir Vovk

Diversification represents the idea of choosing variety over uniformity. Within the theory of choice, desirability of diversification is axiomatized as preference for a convex combination of choices that are equivalently ranked. This…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-07 Enrico G. De Giorgi , Ola Mahmoud

We study the design of efficient mechanisms under asymmetric awareness and information. Unawareness refers to the lack of conception rather than the lack of information. Assuming quasi-linear utilities and private values, we show that we…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-08 Kym Pram , Burkhard C. Schipper