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We consider the problem of calibration and uncertainty analysis for activity-based transportation simulators. Activity-Based Models (ABMs) rely on statistical modeling of individual travelers' behavior to predict higher-order travel…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-07 Laura Schultz , Joshua Auld , Vadim Sokolov

MATSim (Multi-Agent Transport Simulation Toolkit) is an open source large-scale agent-based transportation planning project applied to various areas like road transport, public transport, freight transport, regional evacuation, etc. BEAM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-23 Kiran Chhatre , Sidney Feygin , Colin Sheppard , Rashid Waraich

We provide a method to solve optimization problem when objective function is a complex stochastic simulator of an urban transportation system. To reach this goal, a Bayesian optimization framework is introduced. We show how the choice of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-15 Laura Schultz , Vadim Sokolov

Compute and memory constraints have historically prevented traffic simulation software users from fully utilizing the predictive models underlying them. When calibrating car-following models, particularly, accommodations have included 1)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-08 Franklin Abodo , Andrew Berthaume , Stephen Zitzow-Childs , Leonardo Bobadilla

Credible microscopic traffic simulation requires car-following models that capture both the average response and the substantial variability observed across drivers and situations. However, most data-driven calibrations remain…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-06 Menglin Kong , Chengyuan Zhang , Lijun Sun

This research addresses critical autonomous vehicle control challenges arising from road roughness variation, which induces course deviations and potential loss of road contact during steering operations. We present a novel real-time road…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Edwina Lewis , Aditya Parameshwaran , Laura Redmond , Yue Wang

Metropolitan scale vehicular traffic modeling is used by a variety of private and public sector urban mobility stakeholders to inform the design and operations of road networks. High-resolution stochastic traffic simulators are increasingly…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Neha Arora , Yi-fan Chen , Sanjay Ganapathy , Yechen Li , Ziheng Lin , Carolina Osorio , Andrew Tomkins , Iveel Tsogsuren

Agent based modelling has acquired the spotlight in the transportation domain both in scientific literature and in real life applications, thanks to its capability to deal with the ever-growing complexity of transportation systems,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-28 Serio Agriesti , Claudio Roncoli , Bat-Hen Nahmias-Biran

This paper presents a simulation-based optimization framework for city-scale real-time estimation and calibration of dynamic demand models by focusing on disaggregated microsimulation in congested networks. The calibration approach is based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-01 Mozhgan Pourmoradnasseri , Kaveh Khoshkhah , Amnir Hadachi

Bayesian Optimization is a popular tool for tuning algorithms in automatic machine learning (AutoML) systems. Current state-of-the-art methods leverage Random Forests or Gaussian processes to build a surrogate model that predicts algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Jeroen van Hoof , Joaquin Vanschoren

Computer models, aiming at simulating a complex real system, are often calibrated in the light of data to improve performance. Standard calibration methods assume that the optimal values of calibration parameters are invariant to the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Georgios Karagiannis , Bledar A. Konomi , Guang Lin

This paper proposes an approach to perform travel demand calibration for high-resolution stochastic traffic simulators. It employs abundant travel times at the path-level, departing from the standard practice of resorting to scarce…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Chao Zhang , Yechen Li , Neha Arora , Damien Pierce , Carolina Osorio

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

In robotics, simulation has the potential to reduce design time and costs, and lead to a more robust engineered solution and a safer development process. However, the use of simulators is predicated on the availability of good models. This…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Huzaifa Mustafa Unjhawala , Ruochun Zhang , Wei Hu , Jinlong Wu , Radu Serban , Dan Negrut

Progressive driver behavior analytics is crucial for improving road safety and mitigating the issues caused by aggressive or inattentive driving. Previous studies have employed machine learning and deep learning techniques, which often…

This paper proposes an iterative methodology to integrate large-scale behavioral activity-based models with dynamic traffic assignment models. The main novelty of the proposed approach is the decoupling of the two parts, allowing the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Serio Agriesti , Claudio Roncoli , Bat-hen Nahmias-Biran

In the last four years, the number of distinct autonomous vehicles platforms deployed in the streets of California increased 6-fold, while the reported accidents increased 12-fold. This can become a trend with no signs of subsiding as it is…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-05-18 Joachim Haensel , Christian M. Adriano , Johannes Dyck , Holger Giese

Agent technology is a software paradigm that permits to implement large and complex distributed applications. In order to assist the development of multi-agent systems, agent-oriented methodologies (AOM) have been created in the last years…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-03-13 Mohamed Garoui , Belhassen Mazigh , Béchir El Ayeb , Abderrafiaa Koukam

Simulation testing is a fundamental approach for evaluating automated vehicles (AVs). To ensure its reliability, it is crucial to accurately replicate interactions between AVs and background traffic, which necessitates effective…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Jia Hu , Junqi Li , Xuerun Yan , Jintao Lai , Lianhua An

Computational models provide crucial insights into complex biological processes such as cancer evolution, but their mechanistic nature often makes them nonlinear and parameter-rich, complicating calibration. We systematically evaluate…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Christina Schenk , Jacobo Ayensa Jiménez , Ignacio Romero
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