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Can we use data on the biographies of historical figures to estimate the GDP per capita of countries and regions? Here we introduce a machine learning method to estimate the GDP per capita of dozens of countries and hundreds of regions in…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-15 Philipp Koch , Viktor Stojkoski , César A. Hidalgo

The average household income is one of the most important indexes for decision making and the modelling of economic inequity and poverty. In this work we propose a practical procedure to estimate the average income using small area methods.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-12 Julieth Castañeda , Cristian Tellez , Jairo Fuquene

When using multiple data sources in an analysis, it is important to understand the influence of each data source on the analysis and the consistency of the data sources with each other and the model. We suggest the use of a retrospective…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-08 Jacob Parsons , Xiaoyue Niu , Le Bao

Major decisions from governments and other large organizations rely on measurements of the populace's well-being, but making such measurements at a broad scale is expensive and thus infrequent in much of the developing world. We propose an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Jihyeon Lee , Dylan Grosz , Burak Uzkent , Sicheng Zeng , Marshall Burke , David Lobell , Stefano Ermon

This paper introduces a maximum likelihood estimator of the value of job amenities and labor productivity in a single matching market based on the observation of equilibrium matches and wages. The estimation procedure simultaneously fits…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-31 Arnaud Dupuy , Alfred Galichon

Societal stress may cause far reaching political, economic and even geological effects. Nevertheless, it is still scarcely investigated, contrary to social stress, which an individual faces in their interactions within a society. It is…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-07 Svyatoslav Rybnikov , Nataliya Rybnikova

The prominent inequality of wealth and income is a huge concern especially in the United States. The likelihood of diminishing poverty is one valid reason to reduce the world's surging level of economic inequality. The principle of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Navoneel Chakrabarty , Sanket Biswas

Nearly 110 million people are forcibly displaced people worldwide. However, estimating the scale and patterns of internally displaced persons in real time, and developing appropriate policy responses, remain hindered by traditional data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-02 Rodgers Iradukunda , Francisco Rowe , Elisabetta Pietrostefani

The distribution of household income is a central concern of modern economic policy due to its strong influence on life quality. Yet, non-expert audiences are unaware of the relationship between these two factors. To effectively communicate…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-10 Sang Truong , Humberto Barreto

Mortality patterns at a subnational level or across subpopulations are often used to examine the health of a population. In small populations, however, death counts are erratic. To deal with this problem, demographers have proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Esther Denecke , Pavel Grigoriev , Roland Rau

In this paper we explore the life expectancy limits by based on the stochastic modeling of mortality and applying the first exit or hitting time theory of a stochastic process. The main assumption is that the health state or the "vitality",…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-01-11 Christos H Skiadas , Charilaos Skiadas

The statistical machine learning community has demonstrated considerable resourcefulness over the years in developing highly expressive tools for estimation, prediction, and inference. The bedrock assumptions underlying these developments…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-10 Alnur Ali , Maxime Cauchois , John C. Duchi

This paper presents a semi-quantitative mathematical model of the changes over time in the statistical distribution of well-being of individuals in a society. The model predicts that when individuals overvalue the more socially conspicuous…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-05 Chris Thron

The average and median income dependence on work experience and time is analyzed and modeled for the USA. The original data set providing the mean and median income estimates in 10 year long intervals spans a long time period of almost 35…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Ivan O. Kitov

Reliable statistical information is important to make political decisions on a sound basis and to help measure the impact of policies. Unfortunately, statistics offices in developing countries have scarce resources and statistical censuses…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2013-09-19 Thoralf Gutierrez , Gautier Krings , Vincent D. Blondel

Income inequality and redistribution policies are modeled with a minimal, endogenous model of a simple foraging economy. Significant income inequalities emerge from the model for populations of equally capable individuals presented with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-21 John C. Stevenson

We found a unified formula for description of the household incomes of all society classes, for instance, for the European Union in years 2005-2010. The formula is more general than well known that of Yakovenko et al. because, it…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-11 Maciej Jagielski , Ryszard Kutner

A simple but useful method of reciprocal values is introduced, explained and illustrated. This method simplifies the analysis of hyperbolic distributions, which are causing serious problems in the demographic and economic research. It…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-30 Ron W. Nielsen

Economic systems are similar with physic systems for their large number of individuals and the exist of equilibrium. In this paper, we present a model applying the equilibrium statistical model in economic systems. Consistent with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-17 Zhiwu Zheng

For centuries quality of life was a subject of studies across different disciplines. However, only with the emergence of a digital era, it became possible to investigate this topic on a larger scale. Over time it became clear that quality…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-07-14 Stanislav Sobolevsky , Emanuele Massaro , Iva Bojic , Juan Murillo Arias , Carlo Ratti
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