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Drifting icebergs in the polar oceans play a key role in the Earth's climate system, impacting freshwater fluxes into the ocean and regional ecosystems while also posing a challenge to polar navigation. However, accurately forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Rohan Putatunda , Sanjay Purushotham , Ratnaksha Lele , Vandana P. Janeja

High-resolution gridded climate data are readily available from multiple sources, yet climate research and decision-making increasingly require country and region-specific climate information weighted by socio-economic factors. Moreover,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-23 Marco Gortan , Lorenzo Testa , Giorgio Fagiolo , Francesco Lamperti

Owing to the remarkable development of deep learning technology, there have been a series of efforts to build deep learning-based climate models. Whereas most of them utilize recurrent neural networks and/or graph neural networks, we design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-12 Jeehyun Hwang , Jeongwhan Choi , Hwangyong Choi , Kookjin Lee , Dongeun Lee , Noseong Park

For most stochastic dynamical systems, variables which are tightly regulated tend to respond slowly to external changes. This idea is often discussed for applicable systems, within a linear response regime, through the Fluctuation…

General Physics · Physics 2017-11-15 Nash Rochman , Sean X. Sun

Data-driven artificial intelligence (AI) models have made significant advancements in weather forecasting, particularly in medium-range and nowcasting. However, most data-driven weather forecasting models are black-box systems that focus on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Wanghan Xu , Fenghua Ling , Wenlong Zhang , Tao Han , Hao Chen , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

AI-for-science approaches have been applied to solve scientific problems (e.g., nuclear fusion, ecology, genomics, meteorology) and have achieved highly promising results. Spatial precipitation downscaling is one of the most important…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Xuanhong Chen , Kairui Feng , Naiyuan Liu , Bingbing Ni , Yifan Lu , Zhengyan Tong , Ziang Liu

AI models have emerged as potential complements to physics-based models, but their skill in capturing observed regional climate trends with important societal impacts has not been explored. Here, we benchmark satellite-era regional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-05 Katharine Rucker , Ian Baxter , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Tiffany A. Shaw , Hamid A. Pahlavan

In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has deeply impacted various fields, including Earth system sciences. Here, AI improved weather forecasting, model emulation, parameter estimation, and the prediction of extreme events. However,…

We present the first foundational AI model for universal physics simulation that learns physical laws directly from boundary-condition data without requiring a priori equation encoding. Traditional physics-informed neural networks (PINNs)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Bradley Camburn

We introduce FloeNet, a machine-learning emulator trained on the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory global sea ice model, SIS2. FloeNet is a mass-conserving model, emulating 6-hour mass and area budget tendencies related to sea ice and…

The advancements in the state of the art of generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) brought by diffusion models can be highly beneficial in novel contexts involving Earth observation data. After introducing this new family of generative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Fulvio Sanguigni , Mikolaj Czerkawski , Lorenzo Papa , Irene Amerini , Bertrand Le Saux

We propose the Artificial Intelligence Velocimetry-Thermometry (AIVT) method to infer hidden temperature fields from experimental turbulent velocity data. This physics-informed machine learning method enables us to infer continuous…

The fluctuation-dissipation theorem (FDT) is a simple yet powerful consequence of the first-order differential equation governing the dynamics of systems subject simultaneously to dissipative and stochastic forces. The linear learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Manhyung Han , Jeonghyeok Park , Taewoong Lee , Jung Hoon Han

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Climate change is one of the most pressing challenges of our time, requiring rapid action across society. As artificial intelligence tools (AI) are rapidly deployed, it is therefore crucial to understand how they will impact climate action.…

Atmospheric modeling has recently experienced a surge with the advent of deep learning. Most of these models, however, predict concentrations of pollutants following a data-driven approach in which the physical laws that govern their…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-08 Javier Rubio-Herrero , Carlos Ortiz Marrero , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

Anthropogenic climate change (ACC) is altering the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Attributing individual extreme events (EEs) to ACC is becoming crucial to assess the risks of climate change. Traditional attribution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-30 Bernat Jiménez-Esteve , David Barriopedro , Juan Emmanuel Johnson , Ricardo Garcia-Herrera

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather prediction (AIWP) models often produce ``blurry'' precipitation forecasts. This study presents a novel solution to tackle this problem -- integrating terrain-following coordinates into AIWP models.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-17 Yingkai Sha , John S. Schreck , William Chapman , David John Gagne

In climate change study, the infrared spectral signatures of climate change have recently been conceptually adopted, and widely applied to identifying and attributing atmospheric composition change. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-04 Zhen Zhang , Chae Young Lim , Tapabrata Maiti , Seiji Kato

Data-driven deep learning models are transforming global weather forecasting. It is an open question if this success can extend to climate modeling, where the complexity of the data and long inference rollouts pose significant challenges.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Salva Rühling Cachay , Brian Henn , Oliver Watt-Meyer , Christopher S. Bretherton , Rose Yu