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High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

In this paper, we propose a new nonparametric estimator of time-varying forecast combination weights. When the number of individual forecasts is small, we study the asymptotic properties of the local linear estimator. When the number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-21 Bin Chen , Kenwin Maung

One of the main challenges in the study of time-varying networks is the interplay of memory effects with structural heterogeneity. In particular, different nodes and dyads can have very different statistical properties in terms of both link…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-20 Giulio Virginio Clemente , Claudio J. Tessone , Diego Garlaschelli

This work presents a framework for studying temporal networks using zigzag persistence, a tool from the field of Topological Data Analysis (TDA). The resulting approach is general and applicable to a wide variety of time-varying graphs. For…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Audun Myers , David Muñoz , Firas Khasawneh , Elizabeth Munch

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used for causal discovery and forecasting in multivariate time series analysis. In the high-dimensional setting, which is increasingly common in fields such as neuroscience and econometrics,…

We consider decentralized time-varying stochastic optimization problems where each of the functions held by the nodes has a finite sum structure. Such problems can be efficiently solved using variance reduction techniques. Our aim is to…

Graphical models are frequently used to explore networks, such as genetic networks, among a set of variables. This is usually carried out via exploring the sparsity of the precision matrix of the variables under consideration. Penalized…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-17 Jianqing Fan , Yang Feng , Yichao Wu

Multivariate time series analysis is becoming an integral part of data analysis pipelines. Understanding the individual time point connections between covariates as well as how these connections change in time is non-trivial. To this aim,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-04 Federico Ciech , Veronica Tozzo

Many econometric analyses involve spatio--temporal data. A considerable amount of literature has addressed spatio--temporal models, with Spatial Dynamic Panel Data (SDPD) being widely investigated and applied. In real data applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-18 Maria Lucia Parrella

This paper deals with the time-varying high dimensional covariance matrix estimation. We propose two covariance matrix estimators corresponding with a time-varying approximate factor model and a time-varying approximate characteristic-based…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-29 Jaeheon Jung

Linear, time-varying (LTV) systems composed of time shifts, frequency shifts, and complex amplitude scalings are operators that act on continuous finite-energy waveforms. This paper presents a novel, resource-efficient method for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Andrew Harms , Waheed U. Bajwa , Robert Calderbank

We study Granger causality in the context of wide-sense stationary time series, where our focus is on the topological aspects of the underlying causality graph. We establish sufficient conditions (in particular, we develop the notion of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 R. J. Kinnear , R. R. Mazumdar

Changepoints are a very common feature of Big Data that arrive in the form of a data stream. In this paper, we study high-dimensional time series in which, at certain time points, the mean structure changes in a sparse subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-21 Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

In tracking of time-varying low-rank models of time-varying matrices, we present a method robust to both uniformly-distributed measurement noise and arbitrarily-distributed ``sparse'' noise. In theory, we bound the tracking error. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-05 Albert Akhriev , Jakub Marecek , Andrea Simonetto

This paper presents a new parameter estimation algorithm for the adaptive control of a class of time-varying plants. The main feature of this algorithm is a matrix of time-varying learning rates, which enables parameter estimation error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Eugene Lavretsky , Michael A. Bolender

In this paper we study a generalization of distributed conditional gradient method to time-varying network architectures. We theoretically analyze convergence properties of the algorithm and provide numerical experiments. The time-varying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Roman Vedernikov , Alexander Rogozin , Alexander Gasnikov

We consider the problem of inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a sparse, high-dimensional, stationary matrix-variate Gaussian time series. All past work on high-dimensional matrix graphical models assumes that independent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-01 Jitendra K Tugnait

Longitudinal data analysis is fundamental for understanding dynamic processes in biomedical and social sciences. Although varying coefficient models (VCMs) provide a flexible framework by allowing covariate effects to evolve over time,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yu Lu , Tianni Zhang , Yuyao Wang , Mengfei Ran

We investigate how efficiently a known underlying sparse causality structure of a simulated multivariate linear process can be retrieved from the analysis of time-series of short lengths. Causality is quantified from conditional transfer…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-06 Tomaso Aste , T. Di Matteo

We propose generalizations of a number of standard network models, including the classic random graph, the configuration model, and the stochastic block model, to the case of time-varying networks. We assume that the presence and absence of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-02 Xiao Zhang , Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman