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This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Mengyu Xu , Xiaohui Chen , Wei Biao Wu

We consider the estimation of the transition matrix in the high-dimensional time-varying vector autoregression (TV-VAR) models. Our model builds on a general class of locally stationary VAR processes that evolve smoothly in time. We propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Xin Ding , Ziyi Qiu , Xiaohui Chen

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

We model time-varying network data as realizations from multivariate Gaussian distributions with precision matrices that change over time. To facilitate parameter estimation, we require not only that each precision matrix at any given time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Jie Jian , Peijun Sang , Mu Zhu

Network modeling of high-dimensional time series data is a key learning task due to its widespread use in a number of application areas, including macroeconomics, finance and neuroscience. While the problem of sparse modeling based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Sumanta Basu , Xianqi Li , George Michailidis

Locally adapted parameterizations of a model (such as locally weighted regression) are expressive but often suffer from high variance. We describe an approach for reducing the variance, based on the idea of estimating simultaneously a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Doina Precup , Philip Bachman

We study the problem of estimating a temporally varying coefficient and varying structure (VCVS) graphical model underlying nonstationary time series data, such as social states of interacting individuals or microarray expression profiles…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-12-21 Mladen Kolar , Eric P. Xing

High-dimensional multivariate time series are common in many scientific and industrial applications, where the interest lies in identifying key dependence structure within the data for subsequent analysis tasks, such as forecasting. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Madeline A. Shelley , Chiara Boetti , Marina I. Knight , Matthew A. Nunes

Many important problems can be modeled as a system of interconnected entities, where each entity is recording time-dependent observations or measurements. In order to spot trends, detect anomalies, and interpret the temporal dynamics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-13 David Hallac , Youngsuk Park , Stephen Boyd , Jure Leskovec

This paper introduces a flexible time-varying network vector autoregressive model framework for large-scale time series. A latent group structure is imposed on the heterogeneous and node-specific time-varying momentum and network spillover…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Bin Peng , Songqiao Tang , Weibiao Wu

This paper introduces sparse dynamic chain graph models for network inference in high dimensional non-Gaussian time series data. The proposed method parametrized by a precision matrix that encodes the intra time-slice conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-28 Pariya Behrouzi , Fentaw Abegaz , Ernst C. Wit

Network models have been popular for modeling and representing complex relationships and dependencies between observed variables. When data comes from a dynamic stochastic process, a single static network model cannot adequately capture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-03 Mladen Kolar , Eric P. Xing

A Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) model is commonly used to model multivariate time series, and there are many penalized methods to handle high dimensionality. However in terms of spatio-temporal data, most methods do not take the spatial and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-21 Zhenzhong Wang , Abolfazl Safikhani , Zhengyuan Zhu , David S. Matteson

This paper considers a time-varying vector error-correction model that allows for different time series behaviours (e.g., unit-root and locally stationary processes) to interact with each other to co-exist. From practical perspectives, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

Temporal networks representing a stream of timestamped edges are seemingly ubiquitous in the real-world. However, the massive size and continuous nature of these networks make them fundamentally challenging to analyze and leverage for…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Nesreen K. Ahmed , Nick Duffield , Ryan A. Rossi

The paper considers the consensus problem in large networks represented by time-varying directed graphs. A practical way of dealing with large-scale networks is to reduce their dimension by collapsing the states of nodes belonging to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Samuel Martin , Irinel-Constantin Morarescu , Dragan Nesic

By treating intervals as inseparable sets, this paper proposes sparse machine learning regressions for high-dimensional interval-valued time series. With LASSO or adaptive LASSO techniques, we develop a penalized minimum distance…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-15 Haowen Bao , Yongmiao Hong , Yuying Sun , Shouyang Wang

This paper presents a general theoretical framework of penalized quasi-maximum likelihood (PQML) estimation in stationary multiple time series models when the number of parameters possibly diverges. We show the oracle property of the PQML…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Yoshimasa Uematsu

We propose a novel framework for learning time-varying graphs from spatiotemporal measurements. Given an appropriate prior on the temporal behavior of signals, our proposed method can estimate time-varying graphs from a small number of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-10 Haruki Yokota , Koki Yamada , Yuichi Tanaka , Antonio Ortega

We consider the problem of estimating a time-varying sparse precision matrix, which is assumed to evolve in a piece-wise constant manner. Building upon the Group Fused LASSO and LASSO penalty functions, we estimate both the network…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Ying Lin , Benjamin Poignard , Ting Kei Pong , Akiko Takeda
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