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We study nonparametric density estimation problems where error is measured in the Wasserstein distance, a metric on probability distributions popular in many areas of statistics and machine learning. We give the first minimax-optimal rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Jonathan Niles-Weed , Quentin Berthet

Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

We study nonparametric Bayesian models for reversible multi-dimensional diffusions with periodic drift. For continuous observation paths, reversibility is exploited to prove a general posterior contraction rate theorem for the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Matteo Giordano , Kolyan Ray

This paper presents several situations leading to the observation of multiple correlated copies of a drifted process, and then non-asymptotic risk bounds are established on nonparametric estimators of the drift function $b_0$ and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Nicolas Marie

In this paper, we consider the density estimation problem associated with the stationary measure of ergodic It\^o diffusions from a discrete-time series that approximate the solutions of the stochastic differential equations. To take an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-10 Yiqi Gu , John Harlim , Senwei Liang , Haizhao Yang

We study the problem of the non-parametric estimation for the density $\pi$ of the stationary distribution of a stochastic two-dimensional damping Hamiltonian system $(Z_t)_{t\in[0,T]}=(X_t,Y_t)_{t \in [0,T]}$. From the continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Sylvain Delattre , Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

We analyze the problem of discrete distribution estimation under $\ell_1$ loss. We provide non-asymptotic upper and lower bounds on the maximum risk of the empirical distribution (the maximum likelihood estimator), and the minimax risk in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-12-31 Yanjun Han , Jiantao Jiao , Tsachy Weissman

Sparse learning is a very important tool for mining useful information and patterns from high dimensional data. Non-convex non-smooth regularized learning problems play essential roles in sparse learning, and have drawn extensive attentions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Guannan Liang , Qianqian Tong , Jiahao Ding , Miao Pan , Jinbo Bi

Uncertainty propagation in non-linear dynamical systems has become a key problem in various fields including control theory and machine learning. In this work we focus on discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems. We present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Eduardo Figueiredo , Andrea Patane , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti

A common goal in statistics and machine learning is to learn models that can perform well against distributional shifts, such as latent heterogeneous subpopulations, unknown covariate shifts, or unmodeled temporal effects. We develop and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

The performance of decision policies and prediction models often deteriorates when applied to environments different from the ones seen during training. To ensure reliable operation, we analyze the stability of a system under distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Hongseok Namkoong , Yuanzhe Ma , Peter W. Glynn

The problem we concentrate on is as follows: given (1) a convex compact set $X$ in ${\mathbb{R}}^n$, an affine mapping $x\mapsto A(x)$, a parametric family $\{p_{\mu}(\cdot)\}$ of probability densities and (2) $N$ i.i.d. observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-24 Anatoli B. Juditsky , Arkadi S. Nemirovski

In the context of regressing a response $Y$ on a predictor $X$, we consider estimating the local modes of the distribution of $Y$ given $X=x$ when $X$ is prone to measurement error. We propose two nonparametric estimation methods, with one…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-28 Haiming Zhou , Xianzheng Huang

The purpose of the present work is to construct estimators for the random effects in a fractional diffusion model using a hybrid estimation method where we combine parametric and nonparametric thechniques. We precisely consider $n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Nesrine Chebli , Hamdi Fathallah , Yousri Slaoui

We investigate the behavior of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator $\hat{f}_n$ for a decreasing density $f$ near the boundaries of the support of $f$. We establish the limiting distribution of $\hat{f}_n(n^{-\alpha})$, where we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Vladimir N. Kulikov , Hendrik P. Lopuhaä

In Continual Learning (CL) contexts, concept drift typically refers to the analysis of changes in data distribution. A drift in the input data can have negative consequences on a learning predictor and the system's stability. The majority…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Sebastian Basterrech

We consider a process given as the solution of a stochastic differential equation with irregular, path dependent and time-inhomogeneous drift coefficient and additive noise. Explicit and optimal bounds for the Lebesgue density of that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-04 David Baños , Paul Krühner

We propose a nonparametric estimation for a class of fractional stochastic differential equations (FSDE) with random effects. We precisely consider general linear fractional stochastic differential equations with drift depending on random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-18 M. El Omari , H. El Maroufy , C. Fuchs

We show that unconverged stochastic gradient descent can be interpreted as a procedure that samples from a nonparametric variational approximate posterior distribution. This distribution is implicitly defined as the transformation of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-07 Dougal Maclaurin , David Duvenaud , Ryan P. Adams

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli
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