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In this paper, we propose a two-step procedure based on the group LASSO estimator in combination with a backward elimination algorithm to detect multiple structural breaks in linear regressions with multivariate responses. Applying the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-24 Karsten Schweikert

This paper investigates a partially linear spatial autoregressive panel data model that incorporates fixed effects, constant and time-varying regression coefficients, and a time-varying spatial lag coefficient. A two-stage least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Lingling Tian , Chuanhua Wei , Mixia Wu

We propose a nonparametric algorithm to detect structural breaks in the conditional mean and/or variance of a time series. Our method does not assume any specific parametric form for the dependence structure of the regressor, the time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Archi Roy , Moumanti Podder , Soudeep Deb

We explore the possibility of putting constraints on quintessence models with large-scale structure observations. In particular we compute the linear and second order growth rate of the fluctuations in different flavors of quintessence…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 K. Benabed , F. Bernardeau

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

This paper considers the problem of variable selection allowing for parameter instability. It distinguishes between signal and pseudo-signal variables that are correlated with the target variable, and noise variables that are not, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-17 Alexander Chudik , M. Hashem Pesaran , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi

There are many environments in econometrics which require nonseparable modeling of a structural disturbance. In a nonseparable model with endogenous regressors, key conditions are validity of instrumental variables and monotonicity of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-22 Christoph Breunig

We consider here together the inference questions and the change-point problem in Poisson autoregressions (see Tj{\o}stheim, 2012). The conditional mean (or intensity) of the process is involved as a non-linear function of it past values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-09 Paul Doukhan , William Kengne

It has recently been discovered that the conclusions of many highly influential econometrics studies can be overturned by removing a very small fraction of their samples (often less than $0.5\%$). These conclusions are typically based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Ittai Rubinstein , Samuel B. Hopkins

We consider inference procedures, conditional on an observed ancillary statistic, for regression coefficients under a linear regression setup where the unknown error distribution is specified nonparametrically. We establish conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-31 Yvonne Ho , Stephen Lee

This paper explores the identification and estimation of nonseparable panel data models. We show that the structural function is nonparametrically identified when it is strictly increasing in a scalar unobservable variable, the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-09 Takuya Ishihara

This paper examines the asymptotic inference for AR(1) models with a possible structural break in the AR parameter $\beta $ near the unity at an unknown time $k_{0}$. Consider the model $y_{t}=\beta_{1}y_{t-1}I\{t\leq k_{0}\}+\beta…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-07 Pang Tianxiao , Zhang Danna , Chong Terence Tai-Leung

Change point analysis has become an important research topic in many fields of applications. Several research work has been carried out to detect changes and its locations in time series data. In this paper, a nonparametric method based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-28 Ramadha D. Piyadi Gamage , Wei Ning

Having a regression model, we are interested in finding two-sided intervals that are guaranteed to contain at least a desired proportion of the conditional distribution of the response variable given a specific combination of predictors. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Mohammad Ghasemi Hamed , Mathieu Serrurier , Nicolas Durand

We consider a robust version of the classical Wald test statistics for testing simple and composite null hypotheses for general parametric models. These test statistics are based on the minimum density power divergence estimators instead of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Abhijit Mandal , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

We consider regression in which one predicts a response $Y$ with a set of predictors $X$ across different experiments or environments. This is a common setup in many data-driven scientific fields and we argue that statistical inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Niklas Pfister , Evan G. Williams , Jonas Peters , Ruedi Aebersold , Peter Bühlmann

In this paper we propose a class of structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) characterized by structural breaks (SVAR-WB). Together with standard restrictions on the parameters and on functions of them, we also consider constraints across…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Toru Kitagawa

Numerous studies have been devoted to the estimation and inference problems for functional linear models (FLM). However, few works focus on model checking problem that ensures the reliability of results. Limited tests in this area do not…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Enze Shi , Yi Liu , Ke Sun , Lingzhu Li , Linglong Kong

In this paper, we introduce an asymptotic test procedure to assess the stability of volatilities and cross-volatilites of linear and nonlinear multivariate time series models. The test is very flexible as it can be applied, for example, to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Alexander Aue , Siegfried Hörmann , Lajos Horváth , Matthew Reimherr

Testing procedures for predictive regressions with lagged autoregressive variables imply a suboptimal inference in presence of small violations of ideal assumptions. We propose a novel testing framework resistant to such violations, which…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-16 Lorenzo Camponovo , Olivier Scaillet , Fabio Trojani