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We study a seller who sells a single good to multiple bidders with uncertainty over the joint distribution of bidders' valuations, as well as bidders' higher-order beliefs about their opponents. The seller only knows the (possibly…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-02-16 Ethan Che

Test-time scaling can improve model performance by aggregating stochastic reasoning trajectories. However, achieving sample-efficient test-time self-consistency under a limited budget remains an open challenge. We introduce PETS (Principled…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Zhangyi Liu , Huaizhi Qu , Xiaowei Yin , He Sun , Yanjun Han , Tianlong Chen , Zhun Deng

The common way to optimize auction and pricing systems is to set aside a small fraction of the traffic to run experiments. This leads to the question: how can we learn the most with the smallest amount of data? For truthful auctions, this…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Renato Paes Leme , Balasubramanian Sivan , Yifeng Teng , Pratik Worah

With the emergence of new online channels and information technology, digital advertising tends to substitute more and more to traditional advertising by offering the opportunity to companies to target the consumers/users that are really…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Médéric Motte , Huyên Pham

We consider the problem of constructing probabilistic predictions that lead to accurate decisions when employed by downstream users to inform actions. For a single decision maker, designing an optimal predictor is equivalent to minimizing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Isaac Gibbs , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Given a source of iid samples of edges of an input graph $G$ with $n$ vertices and $m$ edges, how many samples does one need to compute a constant factor approximation to the maximum matching size in $G$? Moreover, is it possible to obtain…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-07-15 Michael Kapralov , Slobodan Mitrović , Ashkan Norouzi-Fard , Jakab Tardos

This paper investigates the optimization of memory sampling in status updating systems, where source updates are published in shared memory, and reader process samples the memory for source updates by paying a sampling cost. We formulate a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-27 Vishakha Ramani , Ivan Seskar , Roy D. Yates

Most recent machine learning research focuses on developing new classifiers for the sake of improving classification accuracy. With many well-performing state-of-the-art classifiers available, there is a growing need for understanding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Jaehoon Koo , Diego Klabjan , Jean Utke

Motivated by programmatic advertising optimization, we consider the task of sequentially allocating budget across a set of resources. At every time step, a feasible allocation is chosen and only a corresponding random return is observed.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Juliette Achddou , Olivier Cappe , Aurélien Garivier

We study a general problem of allocating limited resources to heterogeneous customers over time under model uncertainty. Each type of customer can be serviced using different actions, each of which stochastically consumes some combination…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Wang Chi Cheung , Will Ma , David Simchi-Levi , Xinshang Wang

Advertising expenditures have become the major source of revenue for e-commerce platforms. Providing good advertising experiences for advertisers by reducing their costs of trial and error in discovering the optimal advertising strategies…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Liyi Guo , Junqi Jin , Haoqi Zhang , Zhenzhe Zheng , Zhiye Yang , Zhizhuang Xing , Fei Pan , Lvyin Niu , Fan Wu , Haiyang Xu , Chuan Yu , Yuning Jiang , Xiaoqiang Zhu

We study the problem of learning the optimal item pricing for a unit-demand buyer with independent item values, and the learner has query access to the buyer's value distributions. We consider two common query models in the literature: the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Yifeng Teng , Yifan Wang

In many "smart city" applications, congestion arises in part due to the nature of signals received by individuals from a central authority. In the model of Marecek et al. [arXiv:1406.7639, Int. J. Control 88(10), 2015], each agent uses one…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Jakub Marecek , Robert Shorten , Jia Yuan Yu

Knowing exactly how many data points need to be labeled to achieve a certain model performance is a hugely beneficial step towards reducing the overall budgets for annotation. It pertains to both active learning and traditional data…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Ernie Chang , Muhammad Hassan Rashid , Pin-Jie Lin , Changsheng Zhao , Vera Demberg , Yangyang Shi , Vikas Chandra

In many repeated auction settings, participants care not only about how frequently they win but also how their winnings are distributed over time. This problem arises in various practical domains where avoiding congested demand is crucial,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Giannis Fikioris , Robert Kleinberg , Yoav Kolumbus , Raunak Kumar , Yishay Mansour , Éva Tardos

Inspired by real-time ad exchanges for online display advertising, we consider the problem of inferring a buyer's value distribution for a good when the buyer is repeatedly interacting with a seller through a posted-price mechanism. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-28 Kareem Amin , Afshin Rostamizadeh , Umar Syed

Real-time bidding (RTB) systems, which utilize auctions to allocate user impressions to competing advertisers, continue to enjoy success in digital advertising. Assessing the effectiveness of such advertising remains a challenge in research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Caio Waisman , Harikesh S. Nair , Carlos Carrion

In biospectroscopy, suitably annotated and statistically independent samples (e. g. patients, batches, etc.) for classifier training and testing are scarce and costly. Learning curves show the model performance as function of the training…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-05 Claudia Beleites , Ute Neugebauer , Thomas Bocklitz , Christoph Krafft , Jürgen Popp

This paper studies a two-stage model of experimentation, where the researcher first samples representative units from an eligible pool, then assigns each sampled unit to treatment or control. To implement balanced sampling and assignment,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-22 Max Cytrynbaum

Firms that price perishable resources -- airline seats, hotel rooms, seasonal inventory -- now routinely use demand predictions, but these predictions vary widely in quality. Under hard capacity constraints, acting on an inaccurate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Ruicheng Ao , Jiashuo Jiang , David Simchi-Levi