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We present a new mixture model-based discriminant analysis approach for functional data using a specific hidden process regression model. The approach allows for fitting flexible curve-models to each class of complex-shaped curves…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Heré Glotin , Céline Rabouy

In this paper we develop a general framework for constructing and analysing coupled Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers, allowing for both (possibly degenerate) diffusion and piecewise deterministic Markov processes. For many performance…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-29 N. Nuesken , G. A. Pavliotis

In this paper, we propose a new deinterleaving method for mixtures of discrete renewal Markov chains. This method relies on the maximization of a penalized likelihood score. It exploits all available information about both the sequence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Jean Pinsolle , Olivier Goudet , Cyrille Enderli , Sylvain Lamprier , Jin-Kao Hao

We present an algorithm for learning mixtures of Markov chains and Markov decision processes (MDPs) from short unlabeled trajectories. Specifically, our method handles mixtures of Markov chains with optional control input by going through a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-07 Chinmaya Kausik , Kevin Tan , Ambuj Tewari

In the mixture models problem it is assumed that there are $K$ distributions $\theta_{1},\ldots,\theta_{K}$ and one gets to observe a sample from a mixture of these distributions with unknown coefficients. The goal is to associate instances…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-02 Jason D Lee , Ran Gilad-Bachrach , Rich Caruana

We consider the estimation of high-dimensional network structures from partially observed Markov random field data using a penalized pseudo-likelihood approach. We fit a misspecified model obtained by ignoring the missing data problem. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade

We formulate and analyze the compound information bottleneck programming. In this problem, a Markov chain $ \mathsf{X} \rightarrow \mathsf{Y} \rightarrow \mathsf{Z} $ is assumed with fixed marginal distributions $\mathsf{P}_{\mathsf{X}}$…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Michael Dikshtein , Nir Weinberger , Shlomo Shamai

We propose two neural network based mixture models in this article. The proposed mixture models are explicit in nature. The explicit models have analytical forms with the advantages of computing likelihood and efficiency of generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Dong Liu , Minh Thành Vu , Saikat Chatterjee , Lars K. Rasmussen

The Mixture Transition Distribution (MTD) model was introduced by Raftery to face the need for parsimony in the modeling of high-order Markov chains in discrete time. The particularity of this model comes from the fact that the effect of…

Computation · Statistics 2008-12-18 Sophie Lèbre , Pierre-Yves Bourguinon

We propose a method for variable selection in multiple regression with random predictors. This method is based on a criterion that permits to reduce the variable selection problem to a problem of estimating suitable permutation and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-29 Alban Mbina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet , Assi Nguessan

We present a model predictive control (MPC) formulation to directly optimize economic criteria for linear constrained systems subject to disturbances and uncertain model parameters. The proposed formulation combines a certainty equivalent…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-11 Maximilian Degner , Raffaele Soloperto , Melanie N. Zeilinger , John Lygeros , Johannes Köhler

Networks are widely used in the biological, physical, and social sciences as a concise mathematical representation of the topology of systems of interacting components. Understanding the structure of these networks is one of the outstanding…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-06-21 M. E. J. Newman , E. A. Leicht

The analysis of high-dimensional time series data has become increasingly important across a wide range of fields. Recently, a method for constructing the minimum information Markov kernel on finite state spaces was established. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Issey Sukeda , Tomonari Sei

Panel vector auto-regressive (VAR) models are widely used to capture the dynamics of multivariate time series across different subpopulations, where each subpopulation shares a common set of variables. In this work, we propose a panel VAR…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Yuchen Xu , George Michailidis

Improvement of time series forecasting accuracy through combining multiple models is an important as well as a dynamic area of research. As a result, various forecasts combination methods have been developed in literature. However, most of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

Markov state modeling has gained popularity in various scientific fields since it reduces complex time-series data sets into transitions between a few states. Yet common Markov state modeling frameworks assume a single Markov chain…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Christopher E. Miles , Robert J. Webber

Structured additive regression provides a general framework for complex Gaussian and non-Gaussian regression models, with predictors comprising arbitrary combinations of nonlinear functions and surfaces, spatial effects, varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Fabian Scheipl , Ludwig Fahrmeir , Thomas Kneib

While a substantial literature on structural break change point analysis exists for univariate time series, research on large panel data models has not been as extensive. In this paper, a novel method for estimating panel models with…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-24 Oualid Bada , Alois Kneip , Dominik Liebl , Tim Mensinger , James Gualtieri , Robin C. Sickles

Discrete data such as counts of microbiome taxa resulting from next-generation sequencing are routinely encountered in bioinformatics. Taxa count data in microbiome studies are typically high-dimensional, over-dispersed, and can only reveal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-23 Yuan Fang , Sanjeena Subedi

In this work, we propose a global model selection criterion to estimate the graph of conditional dependencies of a random vector based on a finite sample. By global criterion, we mean optimizing a function over the entire set of possible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-06 Florencia Leonardi , Magno T. F Severino