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We provide a comprehensive overview of latent Markov (LM) models for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data. The main assumption behind these models is that the response variables are conditionally independent given a latent process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-16 F. Bartolucci , A. Farcomeni , F. Pennoni

Finite order Markov models are theoretically well-studied models for dependent discrete data. Despite their generality, application in empirical work when the order is large is rare. Practitioners avoid using higher order Markov models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-06 Guilherme Ost , Daniel Takahashi

In this paper, we propose finite mixtures of multivariate skew Laplace distributions to model both skewness and heavy-tailedness in the heterogeneous data sets. The maximum likelihood estimators for the parameters of interest are obtained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Fatma Zehra Doğru , Y. Murat Bulut , Olcay Arslan

The aim of this paper is to present a mixture composite regression model for claim severity modelling. Claim severity modelling poses several challenges such as multimodality, heavy-tailedness and systematic effects in data. We tackle this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Tsz Chai Fung , George Tzougas , Mario Wuthrich

Markov combination is an operation that takes two statistical models and produces a third whose marginal distributions include those of the original models. Building upon and extending existing work in the Gaussian case, we develop Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Orlando Marigliano , Eva Riccomagno

There is a rich literature for modeling binary and polychotomous responses. However, existing methods are inadequate for handling combinatorial responses, where each response is an integer array under additional constraints. Such data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yu Zheng , Malay Ghosh , Leo Duan

In this paper, we propose a novel Mixed-Integer Non-Linear Optimization formulation to construct a risk score, where we optimize the logistic loss with sparsity constraints. Previous approaches are typically designed to handle binary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Cristina Molero-Río , Claudia D'Ambrosio

We propose the use of probability models for ranked data as a useful alternative to a quantitative data analysis to investigate the outcome of bioassay experiments, when the preliminary choice of an appropriate normalization method for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-08 Cristina Mollica , Luca Tardella

Seemingly unrelated linear regression models are introduced in which the distribution of the errors is a finite mixture of Gaussian components. Identifiability conditions are provided. The score vector and the Hessian matrix are derived.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Giuliano Galimberti , Elena Scardovi , Gabriele Soffritti

We propose a numerical technique for parameter inference in Markov models of biological processes. Based on time-series data of a process we estimate the kinetic rate constants by maximizing the likelihood of the data. The computation of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-02-15 Aleksandr Andreychenko , Linar Mikeev , David Spieler , Verena Wolf

We consider discrete graphical models Markov with respect to a graph $G$ and propose two distributed marginal methods to estimate the maximum likelihood estimate of the canonical parameter of the model. Both methods are based on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-22 Helene Massam , Nanwei Wang

We propose a Markov chain model for credit rating changes. We do not use any distributional assumptions on the asset values of the rated companies but directly model the rating transitions process. The parameters of the model are estimated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-21 David Wozabal , Ronald Hochreiter

Panel data, also known as longitudinal data, consist of a collection of time series. Each time series, which could itself be multivariate, comprises a sequence of measurements taken on a distinct unit. Mechanistic modeling involves writing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-27 Carles Bretó , Edward L. Ionides , Aaron A. King

To address an important risk classification issue that arises in clinical practice, we propose a new mixture model via latent cure rate markers for survival data with a cure fraction. In the proposed model, the latent cure rate markers are…

Applications · Statistics 2009-10-12 Sungduk Kim , Yingmei Xi , Ming-Hui Chen

In this article, we introduce a new variable selection technique through trimming for finite mixture of regression models. Compared to the traditional variable selection techniques, the new method is robust and not sensitive to outliers.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-06 Sijia Xiang , Weixin Yao

This paper introduces a new data-driven methodology for estimating sparse covariance matrices of the random coefficients in logit mixture models. Researchers typically specify covariance matrices in logit mixture models under one of two…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-16 Youssef M Aboutaleb , Mazen Danaf , Yifei Xie , Moshe Ben-Akiva

In this paper, we propose a maximum smoothed likelihood method to estimate the component density functions of mixture models, in which the mixing proportions are known and may differ among observations. The proposed estimates maximize a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Tao Yu , Pengfei Li , Jing Qin

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for prediction- and information extraction tasks with an efficient inference scheme. It models categorical-valued time series that exhibit dynamics from multiple underlying patterns (e.g.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-21 Jan Reubold , Thorsten Strufe , Ulf Brefeld

Learning the parameters of graphical models using the maximum likelihood estimation is generally hard which requires an approximation. Maximum composite likelihood estimations are statistical approximations of the maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-25 Muneki Yasuda , Shun Kataoka , Yuji Waizumi , Kazuyuki Tanaka

Mixture models are a fundamental tool in applied statistics and machine learning for treating data taken from multiple subpopulations. The current practice for estimating the parameters of such models relies on local search heuristics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-07 Animashree Anandkumar , Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade