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Vector autoregression (VAR) models are widely used to analyze the interrelationship between multiple variables over time. Estimation and inference for the transition matrices of VAR models are crucial for practitioners to make decisions in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Ke Zhu , Hanzhong Liu

Recently, a class of algorithms combining classical fixed point iterations with repeated random sparsification of approximate solution vectors has been successfully applied to eigenproblems with matrices as large as $10^{108} \times…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Jonathan Weare , Robert J. Webber

Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei

The availability of multidimensional economic datasets has grown significantly in recent years. An example is bilateral trade values across goods among countries, comprising three dimensions -- importing countries, exporting countries, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-24 Yaling Qi

We propose an efficient way to sample from a class of structured multivariate Gaussian distributions which routinely arise as conditional posteriors of model parameters that are assigned a conditionally Gaussian prior. The proposed…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-28 Anirban Bhattacharya , Antik Chakraborty , Bani K. Mallick

A methodology for high dimensional causal inference in a time series context is introduced. It is assumed that there is a monotonic transformation of the data such that the dynamics of the transformed variables are described by a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-07 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta

In this paper a new Bayesian model for sparse linear regression with a spatio-temporal structure is proposed. It incorporates the structural assumptions based on a hierarchical Gaussian process prior for spike and slab coefficients. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

We examine the linear regression problem in a challenging high-dimensional setting with correlated predictors where the vector of coefficients can vary from sparse to dense. In this setting, we propose a combination of probabilistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-13 Roman Parzer , Peter Filzmoser , Laura Vana-Gür

Autoencoders and their variants are among the most widely used models in representation learning and generative modeling. However, autoencoder-based models usually assume that the learned representations are i.i.d. and fail to capture the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Ba-Hien Tran , Babak Shahbaba , Stephan Mandt , Maurizio Filippone

This paper deals with the Gaussian and bootstrap approximations to the distribution of the max statistic in high dimensions. This statistic takes the form of the maximum over components of the sum of independent random vectors and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato , Yuta Koike

We apply the bootstrap technique to find the moments of certain multi-trace and multi-matrix random matrix models suggested by noncommutative geometry. Using bootstrapping we are able to find the relationships between the coupling constant…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-02-09 Hamed Hessam , Masoud Khalkhali , Nathan Pagliaroli

In this paper I present a new approach for regression of time series using their own samples. This is a celebrated problem known as Auto-Regression. Dealing with outlier or missed samples in a time series makes the problem of estimation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-19 Mohsen Joneidi

We introduce a new interpretation of sparse variational approximations for Gaussian processes using inducing points, which can lead to more scalable algorithms than previous methods. It is based on decomposing a Gaussian process as a sum of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias , Andriy Mnih

In this paper, we establish a high-dimensional CLT for the sample mean of $p$-dimensional spatial data observed over irregularly spaced sampling sites in $\mathbb{R}^d$, allowing the dimension $p$ to be much larger than the sample size $n$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Daisuke Kurisu , Kengo Kato , Xiaofeng Shao

Gaussian Processes are widely used for regression tasks. A known limitation in the application of Gaussian Processes to regression tasks is that the computation of the solution requires performing a matrix inversion. The solution also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Sourish Das , Sasanka Roy , Rajiv Sambasivan

In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

The Lasso is a popular model selection and estimation procedure for linear models that enjoys nice theoretical properties. In this paper, we study the Lasso estimator for fitting autoregressive time series models. We adopt a double…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-09 Yuval Nardi , Alessandro Rinaldo

The bootstrap is a popular data-driven method to quantify statistical uncertainty, but for modern high-dimensional problems, it could suffer from huge computational costs due to the need to repeatedly generate resamples and refit models. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Henry Lam , Zhenyuan Liu

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

We present a hierarchical Bayesian learning approach to infer jointly sparse parameter vectors from multiple measurement vectors. Our model uses separate conditionally Gaussian priors for each parameter vector and common gamma-distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-27 Jan Glaubitz , Anne Gelb