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Forecasting vehicular motions in autonomous driving requires a deep understanding of agent interactions and the preservation of motion equivariance under Euclidean geometric transformations. Traditional models often lack the sophistication…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Yuping Wang , Jier Chen

Collision prediction in a dynamic and unknown environment relies on knowledge of how the environment is changing. Many collision prediction methods rely on deterministic knowledge of how obstacles are moving in the environment. However,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Andrew Patterson , Arun Lakshmanan , Naira Hovakimyan

Human movement prediction is difficult as humans naturally exhibit complex behaviors that can change drastically from one environment to the next. In order to alleviate this issue, we propose a prediction framework that decouples short-term…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Philipp Kratzer , Marc Toussaint , Jim Mainprice

Automated driving systems require monitoring mechanisms to ensure safe operation, especially if system components degrade or fail. Their runtime self-representation plays a key role as it provides a-priori knowledge about the system's…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Richard Schubert , Marvin Loba , Jasper Sünnemann , Torben Stolte , Markus Maurer

Predicting the motion of agents such as pedestrians or human-driven vehicles is one of the most critical problems in the autonomous driving domain. The overall safety of driving and the comfort of a passenger directly depend on its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Yuriy Biktairov , Maxim Stebelev , Irina Rudenko , Oleh Shliazhko , Boris Yangel

We propose a Model Predictive Control (MPC) for collision avoidance between an autonomous agent and dynamic obstacles with uncertain predictions. The collision avoidance constraints are imposed by enforcing positive distance between convex…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Siddharth H. Nair , Eric H. Tseng , Francesco Borrelli

Uncertainty-aware prediction is essential for safe motion planning, especially when using learned models to forecast the behavior of surrounding agents. Conformal prediction is a statistical tool often used to produce uncertainty-aware…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Allen Emmanuel Binny , Anushri Dixit

We present an optimization-based method to plan the motion of an autonomous robot under the uncertainties associated with dynamic obstacles, such as humans. Our method bounds the marginal risk of collisions at each point in time by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-24 O. de Groot , B. Brito , L. Ferranti , D. Gavrila , J. Alonso-Mora

Self-driving vehicles (SDVs) hold great potential for improving traffic safety and are poised to positively affect the quality of life of millions of people. To unlock this potential one of the critical aspects of the autonomous technology…

Safety is a central requirement for automated vehicles. As such, the assessment of risk in automated driving is key in supporting both motion planning technologies and safety evaluation. In automated driving, risk is characterized by two…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Leon Tolksdorf , Arturo Tejada , Jonas Bauernfeind , Christian Birkner , Nathan van de Wouw

Reliable automated driving technology is challenged by various sources of uncertainties, in particular, behavioral uncertainties of traffic agents. It is common for traffic agents to have intentions that are unknown to others, leaving an…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-10 David Isele , Alexandre Miranda Anon , Faizan M. Tariq , Goro Yeh , Avinash Singh , Sangjae Bae

Uncertainty is an essential consideration for time series forecasting tasks. In this work, we specifically focus on quantifying the uncertainty of traffic forecasting. To achieve this, we develop Deep Spatio-Temporal Uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Weizhu Qian , Dalin Zhang , Yan Zhao , Kai Zheng , James J. Q. Yu

The commonly used metrics for motion prediction do not correlate well with a self-driving vehicle's system-level performance. The most common metrics are average displacement error (ADE) and final displacement error (FDE), which omit many…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Skanda Shridhar , Yuhang Ma , Tara Stentz , Zhengdi Shen , Galen Clark Haynes , Neil Traft

In this paper, we develop an uncertainty-aware decision-making and motion-planning method for an autonomous ego vehicle in forced merging scenarios, considering the motion uncertainty of surrounding vehicles. The method dynamically captures…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Jian Zhou , Yulong Gao , Björn Olofsson , Erik Frisk

For motion planning and control of autonomous vehicles to be proactive and safe, pedestrians' and other road users' motions must be considered. In this paper, we present a vehicle motion planning and control framework, based on Model…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-20 Ivo Batkovic , Mario Zanon , Mohammad Ali , Paolo Falcone

Operating unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in complex environments that feature dynamic obstacles and external disturbances poses significant challenges, primarily due to the inherent uncertainty in such scenarios. Additionally, inaccurate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Tianyu Liu , Fu Zhang , Fei Gao , Jia Pan

Motion prediction of surrounding agents is an important task in context of autonomous driving since it is closely related to driver's safety. Vehicle Motion Prediction (VMP) track of Shifts Challenge focuses on developing models which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Alexey Pustynnikov , Dmitry Eremeev

Robust motion forecasting of the dynamic scene is a critical component of an autonomous vehicle. It is a challenging problem due to the heterogeneity in the scene and the inherent uncertainties in the problem. To improve the accuracy of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Titas Chakraborty , Akshay Bhagat , Henggang Cui

We present a novel framework to bootstrap Motion forecasting with Self-consistent Constraints (MISC). The motion forecasting task aims at predicting future trajectories of vehicles by incorporating spatial and temporal information from the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Maosheng Ye , Jiamiao Xu , Xunnong Xu , Tengfei Wang , Tongyi Cao , Qifeng Chen

Partial differential equation (PDE)-constrained optimization arises in many scientific and engineering domains, such as energy systems, fluid dynamics and material design. In these problems, the decision variables (e.g., control inputs or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yusuf Guven , Vincenzo Di Vito , Ferdinando Fioretto