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This paper provides a comprehensive examination of a Brazilian corporate tax reform targeted at the sector and product level. Difference-in-differences estimates instrumented by sector eligibility show that a 20 percentage point cut on…

General Economics · Economics 2022-10-31 Felipe Lobel

This paper offers an independent assessment of certain key economic effects of the Iberian Exception (IE). Their stated aim was to reduce the major component of electricity prices for most Iberian consumers, a component which was indexed to…

General Economics · Economics 2023-09-26 David Robinson , Angel Arcos-Vargas , Micheael Tennican , Fernando Núñez

We study the role and drivers of persistence in the extensive margin of bilateral trade. Motivated by a stylized heterogeneous firms model of international trade with market entry costs, we consider dynamic three-way fixed effects binary…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-27 Julian Hinz , Amrei Stammann , Joschka Wanner

In the first half of 2020, several countries have responded to the challenges posed by the Covid-19 pandemic by restricting their export of medical supplies. Such measures are meant to increase the domestic availability of critical goods,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-28 Marco Grassia , Giuseppe Mangioni , Stefano Schiavo , Silvio Traverso

Strategic shrouding of taxes by profit-maximizing firms can impair the effectiveness of corrective taxes. This paper explores tax shrouding and its consequences after the introduction of a digital sin tax designed to discourage harmful…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-04 Johannes Kasinger

We study the ever more integrated and ever more unbalanced trade relationships between European countries. To better capture the complexity of economic networks, we propose two global measures that assess the trade integration and the trade…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-05 Gautier M. Krings , Jean-François Carpantier , Jean-Charles Delvenne

Multiple machine learning and prediction models are often used for the same prediction or recommendation task. In our recent work, where we develop and deploy airline ancillary pricing models in an online setting, we found that among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-23 Naman Shukla , Arinbjörn Kolbeinsson , Lavanya Marla , Kartik Yellepeddi

I investigate how incumbents in the U.S. airline industry respond to threatened and actual route entry by Southwest Airlines. I use a two-way fixed effects and event study approach, and the latest available data from 1999-2022, to identify…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-03 Steve Lawford

We investigate the economic and environmental impacts of the European Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) using a multi-country, multi-sector general equilibrium model with input-output linkages. We quantify the general equilibrium…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-14 Noemi Walczak , Kenan Huremović , Armando Rungi

The number of air transportation passengers during the holidays in Brazil has grown notably since the late nineties. One of the reasons is greater competition in airfares made possible by economic liberalization. This paper presents an…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-13 Helena Povoa , Alessandro V. M. Oliveira

We bridge quasi-experimental and structural approaches for robust merger evaluation. First, we show that the difference-in-differences (DiD) equation is the "reduced form" of a structural model, where demand and cost parameters identify…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-28 Gaurab Aryal , Anirban Chattopadhyaya , Federico Ciliberto

This paper documents a new feature of international trade: the increase in the share of low-value transactions in the total volume of transactions. Using Spanish data, we show that the share of low-value transactions in the total number of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-03 Raúl Mínguez , Asier Minondo

Natural gas supplies in Europe were disrupted and energy prices soared in the context of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Electricity prices in France experienced the largest relative increase among European countries, even though natural gas…

Bilateral trade, a fundamental topic in economics, models the problem of intermediating between two strategic agents, a seller and a buyer, willing to trade a good for which they hold private valuations. Despite the simplicity of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Tommaso Cesari , Roberto Colomboni , Federico Fusco , Stefano Leonardi

The standard wage Phillips curve aggregates away from which workers reset wages when. I show this aggregation omits a first-order term: the covariance between workers' cost-push exposure and their reset frequency. I introduce two sufficient…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-01 Rui Sun

Do governments adjust budgetary policy to rising public debt, precluding fiscal unsustainability? Using budget data for 52 industrial and emerging economies since 1990, we apply panel methods accounting for cross-sectional dependence and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-18 Paolo Canofari , Alessandro Piergallini , Marco Tedeschi

Demand forecasting is extremely important in revenue management. After all, it is one of the inputs to an optimisation method which aim is to maximize revenue. Most, if not all, forecasting methods use historical data to forecast the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Daniel Hopman , Ger Koole , Rob van der Mei

We reinvestigate the "rockets and feathers" effect between retail gasoline and crude oil prices in a new framework of fractional integration, long-term memory and borderline (non-)stationarity. The most frequently used error-correction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Ladislav Kristoufek , Petra Lunackova

Economic unions are international agreements oriented to increase economic efficiency and establishing political and cultural ties between the member countries. Becoming a member of an existing union usually requires the approval of both…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-08 Carlos Gracia-Lázaro , Fabio Dercole , Yamir Moreno

This paper provides quasi-experimental evidence on how income taxes affect gross hourly wages, utilizing Danish administrative data and a tax reform that introduced joint taxation. Exploiting spousal income for identification, we present…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-21 Kazuhiko Sumiya , Jesper Bagger
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