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This paper introduces a causal machine learning approach to investigate the impact of the EU-Canada Comprehensive Economic Trade Agreement (CETA). We propose a matrix completion algorithm on French customs data to obtain multidimensional…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-01 Lionel Fontagné , Francesca Micocci , Armando Rungi

In this contribution, we exploit machine learning techniques to evaluate whether and how close firms are to becoming successful exporters. First, we train and test various algorithms using financial information on both exporters and…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-11 Francesca Micocci , Armando Rungi

This paper derives a closed-form expression linking aggregate markups on imported inputs to concentration in a model of firm-to-firm trade with two-sided market power. Our theory extends standard oligopoly insights in two dimensions. First,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-04 Alviarez Vanessa , Fioretti Michele , Kikkawa Ken , Morlacco Monica

Two decades of research on the euro's trade effects have produced estimates ranging from 4% to 30%, with no consensus on the magnitude. We find evidence that this divergence may reflect genuine heterogeneity in the euro's trade effect…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Harry Aytug

Using the United Nations COMTRADE database we apply the reduced Google matrix (REGOMAX) algorithm to analyze the multiproduct world trade in years 2004-2016. Our approach allows to determine the trade balance sensitivity of a group of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-08 Célestin Coquidé , Leonardo Ermann , José Lages , D. L. Shepelyansky

Extensive research shows that consumers are generally averse to price discrimination. However, instruments of differential pricing can benefit consumer surplus and alleviate inequity through targeted price discounts. This paper examines how…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-05 Alexander Erlei , Mattheus Brenig , Nils Engelbrecht

Tariff liberalization and its impact on tax revenue is an important consideration for developing countries, because they are increasingly facing the difficult task of implementing and harmonizing regional and international trade…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-06-13 Omid Karami , Mina Mahmoudi

I use the quasi-natural experiment of the 2018 African swine fever (ASF) outbreak in China to analyze swine exporters' reaction to a foreign market's positive demand shock. I use the universe of Spanish firms' export transactions to China…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-21 Asier Minondo

In the present scenario of domestic flights in USA, there have been numerous instances of flight delays and cancellations. In the United States, the American Airlines, Inc. have been one of the most entrusted and the world's largest airline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Navoneel Chakrabarty

This thesis investigates the dynamics of multimarket contact and airline mergers on collusive pricing of airlines. In align with Bernheim and Whinston (1990) and Athey et.al.(2004), it detects collusive pricing via pairwise price difference…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-28 Ziyu Yan

Premium air travel is often associated with a disproportionately large carbon emissions footprint. This association reflects the increased space and amenities typically found in premium cabins that existing discourse suggests makes their…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-03 Megan Yeo , Sebastian Nosenzo , Daniel S. Palmer , Alexei K. Varah , Lucas Woodley , Ashley Nunes

There are clear benefits associated with a particular consumer choice for many current markets. For example, as we consider here, some products might carry environmental or `green' benefits. Some consumers might value these benefits while…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gérard Weisbuch , Vincent Buskens , Luat Vuong

Humanity is facing global challenges related to climate change, along with an energetic crisis that urgently requires optimizing any process or system able to improve global economic conditions. Taking fuel as an example, its prices are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-08 María Carmona , Rafael Casado , Aurelio Bermúdez , Miguel Pérez Francisco , Pablo Boronat , Carlos T. Calafate

How a shock to an individual sector propagates to the prices of other sectors and aggregates to GDP depends on how easily sectoral goods can be substituted in production, which is determined by the intermediate input substitution…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-03 Jacob Toner Gosselin

We incorporate the behaviour of tax evasion into the standard two-dimensional Ising model and augment it by providing policy-makers with the opportunity to curb tax evasion via an appropriate enforcement mechanism. We discuss different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-05-08 Frank Westerhoff , Welington Lima , Georg Zaklan

As the global economy transitions toward decarbonization, the aluminium sector has become a focal point for strategic resource management. While policies such as the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) aim to reduce emissions, they…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-17 Muhammad Sukri Bin Ramli

Unemployment insurance transfers should balance the provision of consumption to the unemployed with the disincentive effects on the search behavior. Developing countries face the additional challenge of informality. Workers can choose to…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-07 Martin Gonzalez-Rozada , Hernan Ruffo

Do switching costs reduce or intensify price competition in markets where firms charge the same price to old and new consumers? Theoretically, the answer could be either "yes" or "no," due to two opposing incentives in firms' pricing…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2007-05-23 V. Brian Viard

We develop a model in which country-specific tariffs shape trade flows, prices, and welfare in a global economy with one homogeneous good. Trade flows form a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG), and tariffs influence not only market outcomes but…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-08 Paolo Pin

We address a dynamic pricing problem for airlines aiming to maximize expected revenue from selling cargo space on a single-leg flight. The cargo shipments' weight and volume are uncertain and their precise values remain unavailable at the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Chengyu Du , Fang He , Xi Lin