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In this paper, sparsification techniques aided online prediction algorithms in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space are studied for nonstationary time series. The online prediction algorithms as usual consist of the selection of kernel…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-13 Jinhua Guo , Hao Chen , Jingxin Zhang , Sheng Chen

Stochastic kriging is a popular metamodeling technique for representing the unknown response surface of a simulation model. However, the simulation model may be inadequate in the sense that there may be a non-negligible discrepancy between…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Lu Zou , Xiaowei Zhang

Modeling spatial heterogeneity in the data generation process is essential for understanding and predicting geographical phenomena. Despite their prevalence in geospatial tasks, neural network models usually assume spatial stationarity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Hao Guo , Han Wang , Di Zhu , Lun Wu , A. Stewart Fotheringham , Yu Liu

This paper proposes a spatial k-nearest neighbor method for nonparametric prediction of real-valued spatial data and supervised classification for categorical spatial data. The proposed method is based on a double nearest neighbor rule…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Mohamed-Salem Ahmed , Mamadou N'diaye , Mohammed Kadi Attouch , Sophie Dabo-Niang

The use of covariance kernels is ubiquitous in the field of spatial statistics. Kernels allow data to be mapped into high-dimensional feature spaces and can thus extend simple linear additive methods to nonlinear methods with higher order…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-16 Jean-Francois Ton , Seth Flaxman , Dino Sejdinovic , Samir Bhatt

Machine learning algorithms find frequent application in spatial prediction of biotic and abiotic environmental variables. However, the characteristics of spatial data, especially spatial autocorrelation, are widely ignored. We hypothesize…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-11 Hanna Meyer , Christoph Reudenbach , Stephan Wöllauer , Thomas Nauss

Many algorithms in computer vision and robotics make strong assumptions about uncertainty, and rely on the validity of these assumptions to produce accurate and consistent state estimates. In practice, dynamic environments may degrade…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-08-04 Valentin Peretroukhin , William Vega-Brown , Nicholas Roy , Jonathan Kelly

This paper deals with several issues related to the pointwise consistency of the kriging predictor when the mean and the covariance functions are known. These questions are of general importance in the context of computer experiments. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-09 Emmanuel Vazquez , Julien Bect

A kriging-random forest hybrid model is developed for real-time ground property prediction ahead of the earth pressure balanced shield by integrating Kriging extrapolation and random forest, which can guide shield operating parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Ziheng Geng , Chao Zhang , Yuhao Ren , Minxiang Zhu , Renpeng Chen , Hongzhan Cheng

A powerful and flexible approach to structured prediction consists in embedding the structured objects to be predicted into a feature space of possibly infinite dimension by means of output kernels, and then, solving a regression problem in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Luc Brogat-Motte , Alessandro Rudi , Céline Brouard , Juho Rousu , Florence d'Alché-Buc

Recent advances in machine learning make it possible to design efficient prediction algorithms for data sets with huge numbers of parameters. This paper describes a new technique for "hedging" the predictions output by many such algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-22 Alexander Gammerman , Vladimir Vovk

This study aims to improve the accuracy of weather predictions by discovering spatial correlations between Earth observations and atmospheric states. Existing numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems predict future atmospheric states at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Hyeon-Ju Jeon , Jeon-Ho Kang , In-Hyuk Kwon , O-Joun Lee

We designed a model-based analysis to predict the occurrence of population patterns in distributed spiking activity. Using a maximum entropy principle with a Markovian assumption, we obtain a model that accounts for both spatial and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Olivier Marre , Sami El Boustani , Yves Fregnac , Alain Destexhe

Interpolation in Spatio-temporal data has applications in various domains such as climate, transportation, and mining. Spatio-Temporal interpolation is highly challenging due to the complex spatial and temporal relationships. However,…

It is increasingly common to encounter time-varying random fields on networks (metabolic networks, sensor arrays, distributed computing, etc.). This paper considers the problem of optimal, nonlinear prediction of these fields, showing from…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

The use of kernels for nonlinear prediction is widespread in machine learning. They have been popularized in support vector machines and used in kernel ridge regression, amongst others. Kernel methods share three aspects. First, instead of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-25 Patrick J. F. Groenen , Michael Greenacre

Accurately forecasting urban development and its environmental and climate impacts critically depends on realistic models of the spatial structure of the built environment, and of its dependence on key factors such as population and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Adrian Albert , Jasleen Kaur , Emanuele Strano , Marta Gonzalez

Simulation metamodeling refers to the construction of lower-fidelity models to represent input-output relations using few simulation runs. Stochastic kriging, which is based on Gaussian process, is a versatile and common technique for such…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

Clustering is one of the major tasks in data mining. In the last few years, Clustering of spatial data has received a lot of research attention. Spatial databases are components of many advanced information systems like geographic…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-06-04 Mohamed A. El-Zawawy

Large-scale Gaussian process models are becoming increasingly important and widely used in many areas, such as, computer experiments, stochastic optimization via simulation, and machine learning using Gaussian processes. The standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Yongxiang Li , Qiang Zhou , Kwok Leung Tsui , Javier Cabrera