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The ability to localize transmission loss change to a subset of links in optical networks is crucial for maintaining network reliability, performance and security. \emph{Quantum probes}, implemented by sending blocks of $n$ coherent-state…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-29 Yufei Zheng , Yu-Zhen Janice Chen , Prithwish Basu , Don Towsley

The paper algorithmizes the problem of regime change point identification for data measured in a system exhibiting impulsive behaviors. This is a fundamental challenge for annotation of measurement data relevant, e.g., for designing…

The goal of the change-point detection is to discover changes of time series distribution. One of the state of the art approaches of the change-point detection are based on direct density ratio estimation. In this work we show how existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Mikhail Hushchyn , Andrey Ustyuzhanin

We suggest a novel procedure for online change point detection. Our approach expands an idea of maximizing a discrepancy measure between points from pre-change and post-change distributions. This leads to flexible algorithms suitable for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Nikita Puchkin , Artur Goldman , Konstantin Yakovlev , Valeriia Dzis , Uliana Vinogradova

We propose new tests to detect a change in the mean of a time series. Like many existing tests, the new ones are based on the CUSUM process. Existing CUSUM tests require an estimator of a scale parameter to make them asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Zsuzsanna Horváth , Marie Hušková

We study real-time detection of low-rank changes in the covariance structure of high-dimensional streaming data, motivated by robotic swarm monitoring. Building on the spiked covariance model, we propose the Multi-rank Subspace-CUSUM…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie , Youngser Park , Jason Hindes , Ira Schwartz , Carey Priebe

We introduce Time-Conditioned Contraction Matching (TCCM), a novel method for semi-supervised anomaly detection in tabular data. TCCM is inspired by flow matching, a recent generative modeling framework that learns velocity fields between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Zhong Li , Qi Huang , Yuxuan Zhu , Lincen Yang , Mohammad Mohammadi Amiri , Niki van Stein , Matthijs van Leeuwen

We consider the problem of breakpoint detection in a regression modeling framework. To that end, we introduce a novel method, the max-EM algorithm which combines a constrained Hidden Markov Model with the Classification-EM (CEM) algorithm.…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-14 Modibo Diabaté , Grégory Nuel , Olivier Bouaziz

Anomaly detection is defined as the problem of finding data points that do not follow the patterns of the majority. Among the various proposed methods for solving this problem, classification-based methods, including one-class Support…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-05 Amir Hossein Noormohammadia , Seyed Ali MirHassania , Farnaz Hooshmand Khaligh

This paper considers the quickest detection problem for hidden Markov models (HMMs) in a Bayesian setting. We construct an augmented HMM representation of the problem that allows the application of a dynamic programming approach to prove…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-17 Jason J. Ford , Jasmin James , Timothy L. Molloy

For the most popular sequential change detection rules such as CUSUM, EWMA, and the Shiryaev-Roberts test, we develop integral equations and a concise numerical method to compute a number of performance metrics, including average detection…

Computation · Statistics 2011-09-15 George V. Moustakides , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We consider the problem of quickest change detection (QCD) in a signal where its observations are obtained using a set of actions, and switching from one action to another comes with a cost. The objective is to design a stopping rule…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay

We present an end-to-end differentiable neural network architecture to perform anomaly detection in multivariate time series by incorporating a Sequential Probability Ratio Test on the prediction residual. The architecture is a cascade of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 L. Zancato , A. Achille , G. Paolini , A. Chiuso , S. Soatto

A novel sequential change detection problem is proposed, in which the goal is to not only detect but also accelerate the change. Specifically, it is assumed that the sequentially collected observations are responses to treatments selected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

We present a real-time multivariate anomaly detection algorithm for data streams based on the Probabilistic Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (PEWMA). Our formulation is resilient to (abrupt transient, abrupt distributional, and gradual…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Kenneth Odoh

Graphical models with change-points are computationally challenging to fit, particularly in cases where the number of observation points and the number of nodes in the graph are large. Focusing on Gaussian graphical models, we introduce an…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Yves Atchade , Leland Bybee

With the rapid development of deep learning, a variety of change detection methods based on deep learning have emerged in recent years. However, these methods usually require a large number of training samples to train the network model, so…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Weidong Yan , Pei Yan , Li Cao

We study the detection of change-points in time series. The classical CUSUM statistic for detection of jumps in the mean is known to be sensitive to outliers. We thus propose a robust test based on the Wilcoxon two-sample test statistic.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-10 Herold Dehling , Roland Fried , Isabel García , Martin Wendler

We consider the identification of non-causal systems with random switching modes (NCSRSM), a class of models essential for describing typical power load management and department store inventory dynamics. The simultaneous identification of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-19 Yanxin Zhang , Chengpu Yu , Filippo Fabiani

Detecting abrupt changes in data streams is crucial because they are often triggered by events that have important consequences if left unattended. Quickest change point detection has become a vital sequential analysis primitive that aims…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-23 Marco Fanizza , Christoph Hirche , John Calsamiglia
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