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Related papers: Minimizing Change-Point Estimation Error

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Changepoint detection is the problem of finding abrupt or gradual changes in time series data when the distribution of the time series changes significantly. There are many sophisticated statistical algorithms for solving changepoint…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-14 Ritwik Bhaduri , Subhrajyoty Roy , Sankar K. Pal

We consider a popular online change-point problem of detecting a transient change in distributions of i.i.d. random variables. For this change-point problem, several change-point procedures are formulated and some advanced results for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Jack Noonan

This paper addresses a fundamental but largely unexplored challenge in sequential changepoint analysis: conducting inference following a detected change. We develop a very general framework to construct confidence sets for the unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Aytijhya Saha , Aaditya Ramdas

Change point detection is an important part of time series analysis, as the presence of a change point indicates an abrupt and significant change in the data generating process. While many algorithms for change point detection have been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-15 Gerrit J. J. van den Burg , Christopher K. I. Williams

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

The detection of change-points in a spatially or time ordered data sequence is an important problem in many fields such as genetics and finance. We derive the asymptotic distribution of a statistic recently suggested for detecting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , David Mason

Changepoint detection methods are used in many areas of science and engineering, e.g., in the analysis of copy number variation data, to detect abnormalities in copy numbers along the genome. Despite the broad array of available tools,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 Sangwon Hyun , Kevin Lin , Max G'Sell , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Change point analysis is a statistical tool to identify homogeneity within time series data. We propose a pruning approach for approximate nonparametric estimation of multiple change points. This general purpose change point detection…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Wenyu Zhang , Nicholas James , David Matteson

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

Change-point analysis has been successfully applied to the detect changes in multivariate data streams over time. In many applications, when data are observed over a graph/network, change does not occur simultaneously but instead spread…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Hanqing Cai , Tengyao Wang

The need to estimate a particular quantile of a distribution is an important problem which frequently arises in many computer vision and signal processing applications. For example, our work was motivated by the requirements of many…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-04-22 Ognjen Arandjelovic , Duc-Son Pham , Svetha Venkatesh

A novel approach to quantile estimation in multivariate linear regression models with change-points is proposed: the change-point detection and the model estimation are both performed automatically, by adopting either the quantile fused…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-10 Gabriela Ciuperca , Matus Maciak

Change point detection (CPD) aims to locate abrupt property changes in time series data. Recent CPD methods demonstrated the potential of using deep learning techniques, but often lack the ability to identify more subtle changes in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Tim De Ryck , Maarten De Vos , Alexander Bertrand

We explore the behavior and establish new properties of the cumulative-sum process (CUSUM) and its running maximum. The study includes precise expressions for CUSUM's moment generating function and moments, fast recursive computing…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Michael Baron , Sergey V. Malov

We investigate the significance of change-points within fully nonparametric regression contexts, with a particular focus on panel data where data generation processes vary across units, and error terms may display complex dependency…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-07 Likai Chen , Georg Keilbar , Liangjun Su , Weining Wang

Change point detection in high dimensional data has found considerable interest in recent years. Most of the literature either designs methodology for a retrospective analysis, where the whole sample is already available when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Josua Gösmann , Christina Stoehr , Johannes Heiny , Holger Dette

When recording the movement of individual animals, cells or molecules one will often observe changes in their diffusive behaviour at certain points in time along their trajectory. In order to capture the different diffusive modes assembled…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-21 Henrik Seckler , Ralf Metzler

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

In recent years, there has been an increasing demand on efficient algorithms for large scale change point detection problems. To this end, we propose seeded binary segmentation, an approach relying on a deterministic construction of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Solt Kovács , Housen Li , Peter Bühlmann , Axel Munk

This paper reviews recent developments in fundamental limits and optimal algorithms for change point analysis. We focus on minimax optimal rates in change point detection and localisation, in both parametric and nonparametric models. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Yi Yu