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While clustering is ubiquitously used across science and industry, uncertainty in cluster assignments is rarely quantified with rigorous guarantees. We propose a novel conformal inference framework for clustering that returns confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 YoonHaeng Hur , Anirban Nath , Genevera Allen

Since the appearance of H. Robbins article (1948), the central limit theorems for random sums have been studied for about 70 years. The central limit theorems for random sums of independent random variables play a very important role in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Tran Loc Hung

Cluster indices describe extremal behaviour of stationary time series. We consider runs estimators of cluster indices. Using a modern theory of multivariate, regularly varying time series, we obtain central limit theorems under conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Youssouph Cissokho , Rafal Kulik

This paper addresses the problem of clustering measurement vectors that are heteroscedastic in that they can have different covariance matrices. From the assumption that the measurement vectors within a given cluster are Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-03 Dominique Pastor , Elsa Dupraz , Ismail Hbilou , Guillaume Ansel

We consider the problem of multiway clustering in the presence of unknown degree heterogeneity. Such data problems arise commonly in applications such as recommendation system, neuroimaging, community detection, and hypergraph partitions in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Jiaxin Hu , Miaoyan Wang

A robust estimator for a wide family of mixtures of linear regression is presented. Robustness is based on the joint adoption of the Cluster Weighted Model and of an estimator based on trimming and restrictions. The selected model provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-05 L. A. Garcia-Escudero , A. Gordaliza , F. Greselin , S. Ingrassia , A. Mayo-Iscar

The main result of this paper is a general central limit theorem for distributions defined by certain renewal type equations. We apply this to weakly self-avoiding random walks. We give good error estimates and Gaussian tail estimates which…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Erwin Bolthausen , Christine Ritzmann

Clustering algorithms have long been the topic of research, representing the more popular side of unsupervised learning. Since clustering analysis is one of the best ways to find some clarity and structure within raw data, this paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Naitik Gada

Linear structural error-in-variables models with univariate observations are revisited for studying modified least squares estimators of the slope and intercept. New marginal central limit theorems (CLT's) are established for these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Yuliya V. Martsynyuk

Traditional plane-based clustering methods measure the cost of within-cluster and between-cluster by quadratic, linear or some other unbounded functions, which may amplify the impact of cost. This letter introduces a ramp cost function into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Zhen Wang , Xu Chen , Chun-Na Li , Yuan-Hai Shao

We study the convergence rate of randomly truncated stochastic algorithms, which consist in the truncation of the standard Robbins-Monro procedure on an increasing sequence of compact sets. Such a truncation is often required in practice to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-08 Jérôme Lelong

We study the convergence rate of randomly truncated stochastic algorithms, which consist in the truncation of the standard Robbins-Monro procedure on an increasing sequence of compact sets. Such a truncation is often required in practice to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-23 Jérôme Lelong

Approximating the solution of the nonlinear filtering problem with Gaussian mixtures has been a very popular method since the 1970s. However, the vast majority of such approximations are introduced in an ad-hoc manner without theoretical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-28 Dan Crisan , Kai Li

The Bayesian Cram\'er-Rao bound (CRB) provides a lower bound on the mean square error of any Bayesian estimator under mild regularity conditions. It can be used to benchmark the performance of statistical estimators, and provides a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-09 Evan Scope Crafts , Xianyang Zhang , Bo Zhao

We prove a central limit theorem for linear triangular arrays under weak dependence conditions. Our result is then applied to the study of dependent random variables sampled by a $\bbZ$-valued transient random walk. This extends the results…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-24 Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Clémentine Prieur

This paper develops a new standard-error estimator for linear panel data models. The proposed estimator is robust to heteroskedasticity, serial correlation, and cross-sectional correlation of unknown forms. The serial correlation is…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-20 Jushan Bai , Sung Hoon Choi , Yuan Liao

Dynamic tensor data are becoming prevalent in numerous applications. Existing tensor clustering methods either fail to account for the dynamic nature of the data, or are inapplicable to a general-order tensor. Also there is often a gap…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-17 Will Wei Sun , Lexin Li

Despite the recent success of artificial neural networks, more biologically plausible learning methods may be needed to resolve the weaknesses of backpropagation trained models such as catastrophic forgetting and adversarial attacks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Ole Christian Eidheim

Econometric applications with multi-way clustering often feature a small number of effective clusters or heavy-tailed data, making standard cluster-robust and bootstrap inference unreliable in finite samples. In this paper, we develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Wenxuan Guo , Panos Toulis , Yuhao Wang

It has become standard for empirical studies to conduct inference robust to cluster dependence and heterogeneity. With a small number of clusters, the normal approximation for the $t$-statistics of regression coefficients may be poor. This…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-27 Bulat Gafarov , Takuya Ura