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This paper presents a new parameter estimation algorithm for the adaptive control of a class of time-varying plants. The main feature of this algorithm is a matrix of time-varying learning rates, which enables parameter estimation error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Eugene Lavretsky , Michael A. Bolender

We present the first framework for Gaussian-process-modulated Poisson processes when the temporal data appear in the form of panel counts. Panel count data frequently arise when experimental subjects are observed only at discrete time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Hongyi Ding , Young Lee , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

Model approximations are common practice when estimating structural or quasi-structural models. The paper considers the econometric properties of estimators that utilize projections to reimpose information about the exact model in the form…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-05 Andreas Tryphonides

We propose a conformal prediction method for constructing tight simultaneous prediction intervals for multiple, potentially related, numerical outputs given a single input. This method can be combined with any multi-target regression model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Yunjie Fan , Matteo Sesia

We consider the estimation of approximate factor models for time series data, where strong serial and cross-sectional correlations amongst the idiosyncratic component are present. This setting comes up naturally in many applications, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

It is common in machine learning to estimate a response $y$ given covariate information $x$. However, these predictions alone do not quantify any uncertainty associated with said predictions. One way to overcome this deficiency is with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Chancellor Johnstone , Eugene Ndiaye

We consider the problem of testing for differences in group-specific slopes between the selected groups in panel data identified via k-means clustering. In this setting, the classical Wald-type test statistic is problematic because it…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Chuang Wan , Jiajun Sun , Xingbai Xu

Semiconductor device models are essential to understand the charge transport in thin film transistors (TFTs). Using these TFT models to draw inference involves estimating parameters used to fit to the experimental data. These experimental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Neel Chatterjee , Somya Sharma , Sarah Swisher , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

This paper studies large $N$ and large $T$ conditional quantile panel data models with interactive fixed effects. We propose a nuclear norm penalized estimator of the coefficients on the covariates and the low-rank matrix formed by the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-17 Junlong Feng

Functional principal components (FPC's) provide the most important and most extensively used tool for dimension reduction and inference for functional data. The selection of the number, d, of the FPC's to be used in a specific procedure has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Stefan Fremdt , Lajos Horváth , Piotr Kokoszka , Josef G. Steinebach

We study the problem of approximating the Ising model partition function with complex parameters on bounded degree graphs. We establish a deterministic polynomial-time approximation scheme for the partition function when the interactions…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-07-12 Ryan L. Mann , Michael J. Bremner

We provide adaptive inference methods, based on $\ell_1$ regularization, for regular (semi-parametric) and non-regular (nonparametric) linear functionals of the conditional expectation function. Examples of regular functionals include…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney Newey , Rahul Singh

This paper develops a simple two-stage variational Bayesian algorithm to estimate panel spatial autoregressive models, where N, the number of cross-sectional units, is much larger than T, the number of time periods without restricting the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-08 Deborah Gefang , Stephen G. Hall , George S. Tavlas

We consider a family of variational regularization functionals for a generic inverse problem, where the data fidelity and regularization term are given by powers of a Hilbert norm and an absolutely one-homogeneous functional, respectively,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Leon Bungert , Martin Burger

Isotonic regression is a nonparametric approach for fitting monotonic models to data that has been widely studied from both theoretical and practical perspectives. However, this approach encounters computational and statistical overfitting…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-21 Ronny Luss , Saharon Rosset , Moni Shahar

The rapid release of both language models and benchmarks makes it increasingly costly to evaluate every model on every dataset. In practice, models are often evaluated on different samples, making scores difficult to compare across studies.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Eliya Habba , Itay Itzhak , Asaf Yehudai , Yotam Perlitz , Elron Bandel , Michal Shmueli-Scheuer , Leshem Choshen , Gabriel Stanovsky

In this paper, we observe a fixed number of unknown $2\pi$-periodic functions differing from each other by both phases and amplitude. This semiparametric model appears in literature under the name "shape invariant model." While the common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-06 Myriam Vimond

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Jianan Zhu , Jeffrey Zhang , Zijian Guo , Siyu Heng

The problem of formulating a thermodynamically-consistent finite internal partition function (IPF) in nonideal hydrogen plasma systems is investigated and analyzed within the chemical picture revealing inaccuracies and inconsistencies…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2010-10-07 Mofreh R. Zaghloul

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong