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Economists are blessed with a wealth of data for analysis, but more often than not, values in some entries of the data matrix are missing. Various methods have been proposed to handle missing observations in a few variables. We exploit the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-02 Ercument Cahan , Jushan Bai , Serena Ng

In the setting of intermittent Pomeau-Manneville maps with time dependent parameters, we show a functional correlation bound widely useful for the analysis of the statistical properties of the model. We give two applications of this result,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-05 Juho Leppänen

Standard sparse pseudo-input approximations to the Gaussian process (GP) cannot handle complex functions well. Sparse spectrum alternatives attempt to answer this but are known to over-fit. We suggest the use of variational inference for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-23 Yarin Gal , Richard Turner

Fixpoints are ubiquitous in computer science and when dealing with quantitative semantics and verification one often considers least fixpoints of (higher-dimensional) functions over the non-negative reals. We show how to approximate the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Paolo Baldan , Sebastian Gurke , Barbara König , Tommaso Padoan , Florian Wittbold

An information-theoretic development is given for the problem of compound Poisson approximation, which parallels earlier treatments for Gaussian and Poisson approximation. Let $P_{S_n}$ be the distribution of a sum $S_n=\Sumn Y_i$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 A. D. Barbour , Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Mokshay Madiman

A fundamental class of inferential problems are those characterised by there having been a substantial degree of pre-data (or prior) belief that the value of a model parameter was equal or lay close to a specified value, which may, for…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-01-26 Russell J. Bowater

We consider estimation and inference in panel data models with additive unobserved individual specific heterogeneity in a high dimensional setting. The setting allows the number of time varying regressors to be larger than the sample size.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Damian Kozbur

Periodicity is often studied in timeseries modelling with autoregressive methods but is less popular in the kernel literature, particularly for higher dimensional problems such as in textures, crystallography, and quantum mechanics. Large…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-15 Anthony Tompkins , Fabio Ramos

Letting~$N=\left\{N(t), t\geq0\right\}$ be a standard Poisson process, Stroock~ \cite{Stroock-1981} constructed a family of continuous processes by $$\Theta_{\epsilon}(t)=\int_0^t\theta_{\epsilon}(r)dr, \ \ \ \ \ 0 \le t \le 1,$$ where…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Hui Jiang , Lihu Xu , Qingshan Yang

This paper proposes a novel approach for estimating treatment effects in panel data settings, addressing key limitations of the standard difference-in-differences (DID) approach. The standard approach relies on the parallel trends…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-14 Shoya Ishimaru

Conformal prediction is widely adopted in uncertainty quantification, due to its post-hoc, distribution-free, and model-agnostic properties. In the realm of modern deep learning, researchers have proposed Feature Conformal Prediction (FCP),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Zihao Tang , Boyuan Wang , Chuan Wen , Jiaye Teng

We consider continuous-time models with a large panel of moment conditions, where the structural parameter depends on a set of characteristics, whose effects are of interest. The leading example is the linear factor model in financial…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-04 Yuan Liao , Xiye Yang

This paper considers inference for a function of a parameter vector in a partially identified model with many moment inequalities. This framework allows the number of moment conditions to grow with the sample size, possibly at exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Alexandre Belloni , Federico Bugni , Victor Chernozhukov

This paper proposes a correlated random coefficient linear panel data model, where regressors can be correlated with time-varying and individual-specific random coefficients through both a fixed effect and a time-varying random shock. I…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Ming Li

The large models, as predicted by scaling raw forecasts, have made groundbreaking progress in many fields, particularly in natural language generation tasks, where they have approached or even surpassed human levels. However, the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Luping Wang , Sheng Chen , Linnan Jiang , Shu Pan , Runze Cai , Sen Yang , Fei Yang

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) offer a powerful approach to modeling diversity in many applications where the goal is to select a diverse subset. We study the problem of learning the parameters (the kernel matrix) of a DPP from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-10 Boqing Gong , Wei-lun Chao , Kristen Grauman , Fei Sha

The classical approach in finance attempts to model the term structure of interest rates using specified stochastic processes and the no arbitrage argument. Up to now, no universally accepted theory has been obtained for the description of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean Nuyts , Isabelle Platten

Accurate conditional prediction in the regression setting plays an important role in many real-world problems. Typically, a point prediction often falls short since no attempt is made to quantify the prediction accuracy. Classically, under…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

We discuss approximability and inapproximability in FPT-time for a large class of subset problems where a feasible solution $S$ is a subset of the input data and the value of $S$ is $|S|$. The class handled encompasses many well-known…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2013-10-22 Edouard Bonnet , Vangelis Th. Paschos

The problem of individualized prediction can be addressed using variants of conformal prediction, obtaining the intervals to which the actual values of the variables of interest belong. Here we present a method based on detecting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Fernando Delbianco , Fernando Tohmé