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We propose a compression-based version of the empirical entropy of a finite string over a finite alphabet. Whereas previously one considers the naked entropy of (possibly higher order) Markov processes, we consider the sum of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-04-05 Paul M. B. Vitányi

Predictive inference requires balancing statistical accuracy against informational complexity, yet the choice of complexity measure is usually imposed rather than derived. We treat econometric objects as predictive rules, mappings from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

We introduce the problem of \emph{entropy equivalence testing} for probability distributions, a relaxation of the well-studied closeness testing problem, where the distribution testing algorithm is now only required to distinguish, given…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Clément L. Canonne , Yash Pote , Jonathan Scarlett , Joy Qiping Yang

Optimality results for two outstanding Bayesian estimation problems are given in this paper: the estimation of the sampling distribution for the squared total variation function and the estimation of the density for the $L^1$-squared loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-28 A. G. Nogales

Modern applications of Bayesian inference involve models that are sufficiently complex that the corresponding posterior distributions are intractable and must be approximated. The most common approximation is based on Markov chain Monte…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Yue Yang , Ryan Martin , Howard Bondell

We consider the parameter estimation problem of a probabilistic generative model prescribed using a natural exponential family of distributions. For this problem, the typical maximum likelihood estimator usually overfits under limited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Angelos Georghiou

The statistical analysis of data stemming from dynamical systems, including, but not limited to, time series, routinely relies on the estimation of information theoretical quantities, most notably Shannon entropy. To this purpose, possibly…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-01 Leonardo Ricci , Alessio Perinelli , Michele Castelluzzo

In this paper, we treat estimation and prediction problems where negative multinomial variables are observed and in particular consider unbalanced settings. First, the problem of estimating multiple negative multinomial parameter vectors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-22 Yasuyuki Hamura

In this article, we consider computing expectations w.r.t. probability measures which are subject to discretization error. Examples include partially observed diffusion processes or inverse problems, where one may have to discretize time…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-25 Jeremy Heng , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov

Large-scale datasets are increasingly being used to inform decision making. While this effort aims to ground policy in real-world evidence, challenges have arisen as selection bias and other forms of distribution shifts often plague…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Mateo Dulce , Carlos Patino , Bryan Wilder

This paper studies the problem of estimating the differential entropy $h(S+Z)$, where $S$ and $Z$ are independent $d$-dimensional random variables with $Z\sim\mathcal{N}(0,\sigma^2 \mathrm{I}_d)$. The distribution of $S$ is unknown, but $n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Ziv Goldfeld , Kristjan Greenewald , Yury Polyanskiy

We study the problem of distributed information bottleneck, in which multiple encoders separately compress their observations in a manner such that, collectively, the compressed signals preserve as much information as possible about another…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-04 Inaki Estella Aguerri , Abdellatif Zaidi

A density estimation method in a Bayesian nonparametric framework is presented when recorded data are not coming directly from the distribution of interest, but from a length biased version. From a Bayesian perspective, efforts to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-23 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Theodoros Nicoleris , Stephen G. Walker

Shannon entropy, a cornerstone of information theory, statistical physics and inference methods, is uniquely identified by the Shannon-Khinchin or Shore-Johnson axioms. Generalizations of Shannon entropy, motivated by the study of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-20 Andrea Somazzi , Diego Garlaschelli

A novel statistical method is proposed and investigated for estimating a heavy tailed density under mild smoothness assumptions. Statistical analyses of heavy-tailed distributions are susceptible to the problem of sparse information in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-18 Surya T Tokdar , Sheng Jiang , Erika L Cunningham

Recent advances in deep learning have brought to the fore models that can make multiple computational steps in the service of completing a task; these are capable of describ- ing long-term dependencies in sequential data. Novel recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-06 Kyriakos Tolias , Sotirios Chatzis

In the analysis of any type of system, granting maximum information extraction from its data is non-trivial. Confidence in successful information extraction typically builds on prior knowledge of the studied system or on the user's…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-01-01 Matteo Becchi , Giovanni Maria Pavan

Here, we investigate the uncertainty of dynamical observables in classical systems manipulated by repeated measurements and feedback control; the precision should be enhanced in the presence of an external controller but limited by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-23 Tan Van Vu , Yoshihiko Hasegawa

Recently, a method called the Mutual Information Neural Estimator (MINE) that uses neural networks has been proposed to estimate mutual information and more generally the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between two distributions. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Kartik Ahuja

Simultaneous predictive densities for independent Poisson observables are investigated. The observed data and the target variables to be predicted are independently distributed according to different Poisson distributions parametrized by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Fumiyasu Komaki
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