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The surrogate model-based uncertainty quantification method has drawn much attention in many engineering fields. Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) and deep learning (DL) are powerful methods for building a surrogate model. However, PCE needs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Wen Yao , Xiaohu Zheng , Jun Zhang , Ning Wang , Guijian Tang

In the field of surrogate modeling, polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) allows practitioners to construct inexpensive yet accurate surrogates to be used in place of the expensive forward model simulations. For black-box simulations,…

To date, the analysis of high-dimensional, computationally expensive engineering models remains a difficult challenge in risk and reliability engineering. We use a combination of dimensionality reduction and surrogate modelling termed…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-20 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Bruno Sudret , Daniel Straub

Constructing approximations that can accurately mimic the behavior of complex models at reduced computational costs is an important aspect of uncertainty quantification. Despite their flexibility and efficiency, classical surrogate models…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-29 S. Marelli , P. -R. Wagner , C. Lataniotis , B. Sudret

In surrogate modeling, polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is popularly utilized to represent the random model responses, which are computationally expensive and usually obtained by deterministic numerical modeling approaches including finite…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-01 Z. Liu , D. Lesselier , B. Sudret , J. Wiart

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a classical and widely used surrogate modeling technique in physical simulation and uncertainty quantification. By taking a linear combination of a set of basis polynomials - orthonormal with respect to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Johannes Exenberger , Sascha Ranftl , Robert Peharz

Reliability analysis typically relies on deterministic simulators, which yield repeatable outputs for identical inputs. However, many real-world systems display intrinsic randomness, requiring stochastic simulators whose outputs are random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 A. Pires , M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a powerful surrogate model-based reliability analysis method. Generally, a PCE model with a higher expansion order is usually required to obtain an accurate surrogate model for some complex non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao , Yunyang Zhang , Xiaoya Zhang

Sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are a popular surrogate modelling method that takes advantage of the properties of PCE, the sparsity-of-effects principle, and powerful sparse regression solvers to approximate computer models with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Building surrogate models with uncertainty quantification capabilities is essential for many engineering applications where randomness, such as variability in material properties, is unavoidable. Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is widely…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Bahador Bahmani , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) allow us to propagate uncertainties in the coefficients of differential equations to the statistics of their solutions. Their main advantage is that they replace stochastic equations by systems of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-25 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal

Engineering and applied science rely on computational experiments to rigorously study physical systems. The mathematical models used to probe these systems are highly complex, and sampling-intensive studies often require prohibitively many…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-19 Joy N. Mueller , Khachik Sargsyan , Craig J. Daniels , Habib N. Najm

Surrogate modeling of costly mathematical models representing physical systems is challenging since it is typically not possible to create a large experimental design. Thus, it is beneficial to constrain the approximation to adhere to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Lukáš Novák , Himanshu Sharma , Michael D. Shields

Polynomial chaos expansion is a popular way to develop surrogate models for stochastic systems with arbitrary random variables. Standard techniques such as Galerkin projection, stochastic collocation, and least squares approximation, are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

In complex and unknown processes, global models are initially generated over the entire experimental space but often fail to provide accurate predictions in local areas. A common approach is to use local models, which requires partitioning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Dominik Polke , Tim Kösters , Elmar Ahle , Dirk Söffker

Surrogate modelling techniques have opened up new possibilities to overcome the limitations of computationally intensive numerical models in various areas of engineering and science. However, while fundamental in many engineering…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-20 José Calos García-Marino , Carmen Calvo-Jurado , Enrique García-Macías

In the context of uncertainty quantification, computational models are required to be repeatedly evaluated. This task is intractable for costly numerical models. Such a problem turns out to be even more severe for stochastic simulators, the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-29 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are well-suited to quantifying uncertainty in models parameterized by independent random variables. The assumption of independence leads to simple strategies for evaluating PCE coefficients. In contrast,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John Jakeman , Fabian Franzelin , Akil Narayan , Michael Eldred , Dirk Plfueger

Sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are an efficient and widely used surrogate modeling method in uncertainty quantification for engineering problems with computationally expensive models. To make use of the available information in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-26 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret
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