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Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a principled probabilistic model over functions, but exact inference is restricted to the linear-Gaussian regime. We establish an explicit equivalence between GPs and a class of linear diffusion models,…

We study distributions of random vectors whose components are second order polynomials in Gaussian random variables. Assuming that the law of such a vector is not absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure, we derive some…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Vladimir I. Bogachev , Egor D. Kosov , Ivan Nourdin , Guillaume Poly

Motivated by applications to COVID dynamics, we describe a branching process in random environments model $\{Z_n\}$ whose characteristics change when crossing upper and lower thresholds. This introduces a cyclical path behavior involving…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Giacomo Francisci , Anand N. Vidyashankar

Stochastic processes play a key role for modeling a huge variety of transport problems out of equilibrium, with manifold applications throughout the natural and social sciences. To formulate models of stochastic dynamics the conventional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-25 Massimiliano Giona , Andrea Cairoli , Rainer Klages

The Gaussian process is a powerful and flexible technique for interpolating spatiotemporal data, especially with its ability to capture complex trends and uncertainty from the input signal. This chapter describes Gaussian processes as an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Kien Nguyen , John Krumm , Cyrus Shahabi

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

We develop criteria for hitting probabilities of anisotropic Gaussian random fields with associated canonical pseudo-metric given by a class of gauge functions. This yields lower and upper bounds in terms of general notions of capacity and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Adrián Hinojosa-Calleja , Marta Sanz-Solé

Regularly varying stochastic processes are able to model extremal dependence between process values at locations in random fields. We investigate the empirical extremogram as an estimator of dependence in the extremes. We provide conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

We apply select ideas from the modern theory of stochastic processes in order to study the continuity/roughness of scalar quantum fields. A scalar field with logarithmic correlations (such as a massless field in 1+1 spacetime dimensions)…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-08-25 S. G. Rajeev , Evan Ranken

Existence and stability properties are studied for Hawkes process, i.e. point process $S$ that has long-memory and intensity $r(t)=\lambda \big(g_0(t)+ \sum_{\tau<t, \tau \in S} h(t-\tau) \big)$. The approach to Hawkes process presented in…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-17 Dmytro Karabash

The problem of characterization of Gibbs random fields is considered. Various Gibbsianness criteria are obtained using the earlier developed one-point framework which in particular allows to describe random fields by means of either…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-05 Serguei Dachian , Boris Nahapetian

Consider a uniformly sampled random $d$-regular graph on $n$ vertices. If $d$ is fixed and $n$ goes to $\infty$ then we can relate typical (large probability) properties of such random graph to a family of invariant random processes (called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Ágnes Backhausz , Charles Bordenave , Balázs Szegedy

The theory of quasirandomness has greatly expanded from its inaugural graph theoretical setting to several different combinatorial objects such as hypergraphs, tournaments, permutations, etc. However, these quasirandomness variants have…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Leonardo N. Coregliano , Alexander A. Razborov

We review the Dudley integral for the Belyaev dichotomy applied to Gaussian processes on spheres, and discuss the approximate (or restricted) continuity of paths in the discontinuous case. We discuss also the spatio-temporal case, of sphere…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-21 N. H. Bingham , Tasmin L. Symons

Multiplicative cascades have been introduced in turbulence to generate random or deterministic fields having intermittent values and long-range power-law correlations. Generally this is done using discrete construction rules leading to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Francois G. Schmitt

The notion of classicality of quantum evolution of light is an object of both conceptual and practical importance. The main goal of this work is to derive the exact conditions for the classicality of quantum Gaussian evolution, i.e. the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-12-07 Tomasz Linowski , Łukasz Rudnicki

Standard GPs offer a flexible modelling tool for well-behaved processes. However, deviations from Gaussianity are expected to appear in real world datasets, with structural outliers and shocks routinely observed. In these cases GPs can fail…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-08 Yaman Kındap , Simon Godsill

The Dynamical Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models provide an elegant non-parametric framework for learning the low dimensional representations of the high-dimensional time-series. Real world observational studies, however, are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-26 Thanh Le , Vasant Honavar

Spatial modelling of extreme values allows studying the risk of joint occurrence of extreme events at different locations and is of significant interest in climatic and other environmental sciences. A popular class of dependence models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Lorenzo Dell'Oro , Carlo Gaetan , Thomas Opitz

This paper gives a complete characterization of infinitely divisible semimartingales, i.e., semimartingales whose finite dimensional distributions are infinitely divisible. An explicit and essentially unique decomposition of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-02 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Jan Rosinski