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Model averaging techniques based on resampling methods (such as bootstrapping or subsampling) have been utilized across many areas of statistics, often with the explicit goal of promoting stability in the resulting output. We provide a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Jake A. Soloff , Rina Foygel Barber , Rebecca Willett

Stacking is a general approach for combining multiple models toward greater predictive accuracy. It has found various application across different domains, ensuing from its meta-learning nature. Our understanding, nevertheless, on how and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Nino Arsov , Martin Pavlovski , Ljupco Kocarev

Predictions from machine learning algorithms can vary across random seeds, inducing instability in downstream debiased machine learning estimators. We formalize random seed stability via a concentration condition and prove that subbagging…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Nicholas Williams , Alejandro Schuler

Algorithmic stability is a central concept in statistics and learning theory that measures how sensitive an algorithm's output is to small changes in the training data. Stability plays a crucial role in understanding generalization,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Abhinav Chakraborty , Yuetian Luo , Rina Foygel Barber

Bagging is a useful method for large-scale statistical analysis, especially when the computing resources are very limited. We study here the asymptotic properties of bagging estimators for $M$-estimation problems but with massive datasets.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-14 Yuan Gao , Riquan Zhang , Hansheng Wang

We study a statistical method to estimate the optimal value, and the optimality gap of a given solution for stochastic optimization as an assessment of the solution quality. Our approach is based on bootstrap aggregating, or bagging,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-06 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

We study the stability of posterior predictive inferences to the specification of the likelihood model and perturbations of the data generating process. In modern big data analyses, useful broad structural judgements may be elicited from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Jack Jewson , Jim Q. Smith , Chris Holmes

We propose a new framework for algorithmic stability in the context of multiclass classification. In practice, classification algorithms often operate by first assigning a continuous score (for instance, an estimated probability) to each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-29 Jake A. Soloff , Rina Foygel Barber , Rebecca Willett

Estimation of structure, such as in variable selection, graphical modelling or cluster analysis is notoriously difficult, especially for high-dimensional data. We introduce stability selection. It is based on subsampling in combination with…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-16 Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Buehlmann

We develop foundational aspects of stability theory in affine logic. On the one hand, we prove appropriate affine versions of many classical results, including definability of types, existence of non-forking extensions, and other…

Logic · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Itaï Ben Yaacov , Tomás Ibarlucía

Bagging is a commonly used ensemble technique in statistics and machine learning to improve the performance of prediction procedures. In this paper, we study the prediction risk of variants of bagged predictors under the proportional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-26 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

A useful sampling-reconstruction model should be stable with respect to different kind of small perturbations, regardless whether they result from jitter, measurement errors, or simply from a small change in the model assumptions. In this…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-31 E. costa-Reyes , A. Aldroubi , I. Krishtal

Bagging is a device intended for reducing the prediction error of learning algorithms. In its simplest form, bagging draws bootstrap samples from the training sample, applies the learning algorithm to each bootstrap sample, and then…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-09 Andreas Buja , Werner Stuetzle

Linear dynamical systems are canonical models for learning-based control of plants with uncertain dynamics. The setting consists of a stochastic differential equation that captures the state evolution of the plant understudy, while the true…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Mohamad Sadegh Shirani Faradonbeh

Stacking is a widely used model averaging technique that asymptotically yields optimal predictions among linear averages. We show that stacking is most effective when model predictive performance is heterogeneous in inputs, and we can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-29 Yuling Yao , Gregor Pirš , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

Machine-learning technologies for learning dynamical systems from data play an important role in engineering design. This research focuses on learning continuous linear models from data. Stability, a key feature of dynamic systems, is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Pawan Goyal , Igor Pontes Duff , Peter Benner

This paper uses the notion of algorithmic stability to derive novel generalization bounds for several families of transductive regression algorithms, both by using convexity and closed-form solutions. Our analysis helps compare the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-04-07 Corinna Cortes , Mehryar Mohri , Dmitry Pechyony , Ashish Rastogi

Variational Bayes methods are popular due to their computational efficiency and adaptability to diverse applications. In specifying the variational family, mean-field classes are commonly used, which enables efficient algorithms such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Shitao Fan , Ilsang Ohn , David Dunson , Lizhen Lin

Updating machine learning models with new information usually improves their predictive performance, yet, in many applications, it is also desirable to avoid changing the model predictions too much. This property is called stability. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Morten Blørstad , Berent Å. S. Lunde , Nello Blaser

We consider regression in which one predicts a response $Y$ with a set of predictors $X$ across different experiments or environments. This is a common setup in many data-driven scientific fields and we argue that statistical inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Niklas Pfister , Evan G. Williams , Jonas Peters , Ruedi Aebersold , Peter Bühlmann
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