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Model uncertainty has been one prominent issue both in the theory of risk measures and in practice such as financial risk management and regulation. Motivated by this observation, in this paper, we take a new perspective to describe the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-14 Shuo Gong , Yijun Hu , Linxiao Wei

This paper focuses on generalizing quantiles from the ordering point of view. We propose the concept of partial quantiles, which are based on a given partial order. We establish that partial quantiles are equivariant under order-preserving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-31 Alexandre Belloni , Robert L. Winkler

We provide a constructive way of defining new elicitable risk measures that are characterised by a multiplicative scoring function. We show that depending on the choice of the scoring function's components, the resulting risk measure…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-06 Akif Ince , Marlon Moresco , Ilaria Peri , Silvana M. Pesenti

There are many measures to report so-called treatment or causal effects: absolute difference, ratio, odds ratio, number needed to treat, and so on. The choice of a measure, e.g. absolute versus relative, is often debated because it leads to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Bénédicte Colnet , Julie Josse , Gaël Varoquaux , Erwan Scornet

This paper investigates the identification of quantiles and quantile regression parameters when observations are set valued. We define the identification set of quantiles of random sets in a way that extends the definition of quantiles for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Arie Beresteanu , Yuya Sasaki

This paper is devoted to the introduction and study of a new family of multivariate elicitable risk measures. We call the obtained vector-valued measures multivariate expectiles. We present the different approaches used to construct our…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-27 Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Didier Rullière , Khalil Saïd

This paper compares two different frameworks recently introduced in the literature for measuring risk in a multi-period setting. The first corresponds to applying a single coherent risk measure to the cumulative future costs, while the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Dan A. Iancu , Marek Petrik , Dharmashankar Subramanian

The expectile can be considered as a generalization of quantile. While expected shortfall is a quantile based risk measure, we study its counterpart -- the expectile based expected shortfall -- where expectile takes the place of quantile.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-11 Samuel Drapeau , Mekonnen Tadese

Contextuality is a central property in comparative analysis of classical, quantum, and supercorrelated systems. We examine and compare two well-motivated approaches to contextuality. One approach ("contextuality-by-default") is based on the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-01-21 J. Acacio de Barros , Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala , Gary Oas

Following the theory of information measures based on the cumulative distribution function, we propose the fractional generalized cumulative entropy, and its dynamic version. These entropies are particularly suitable to deal with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Suchandan Kayal , Alessandra Meoli

Several authors have recently developed risk-sensitive policy gradient methods that augment the standard expected cost minimization problem with a measure of variability in cost. These studies have focused on specific risk-measures, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Aviv Tamar , Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Shie Mannor

In this paper we consider the axiomatic characterization of information and certainty measures in a unified way. We present the general axiomatic system which captures the common properties of a large number of the measures previously…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Velimir M. Ilic , Miomir S. Stankovic

We introduce contextual values as a generalization of the eigenvalues of an observable that takes into account both the system observable and a general measurement procedure. This technique leads to a natural definition of a general…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-06-16 J. Dressel , S. Agarwal , A. N. Jordan

The main goal of this paper is to investigate under which conditions cash-subadditive convex dynamic risk measures are time-consistent. Proceeding as in Detlefsen and Scandolo \cite{detlef-scandolo} and inspired by their result, we give a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-14 Elisa Mastrogiacomo , Emanuela Rosazza Gianin

Generalized dimensions of multifractal measures are usually seen as static objects, related to the scaling properties of suitable partition functions, or moments of measures of cells. When these measures are invariant for the flow of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Théophile Caby , Davide Faranda , Giorgio Mantica , Sandro Vaienti , Pascal Yiou

We consider families of strongly consistent multivariate conditional risk measures. We show that under strong consistency these families admit a decomposition into a conditional aggregation function and a univariate conditional risk measure…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-27 Hannes Hoffmann , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Gregor Svindland

Expectiles were introduced by Newey and Powell (1987) in the context of linear regression models. Recently, Bellini et al. (2014) revealed that expectiles can also be seen as reasonable law-invariant risk measures. In this article, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Volker Krätschmer , Henryk Zähle

A generalization of expectiles for d-dimensional multivariate distribution functions is introduced. The resulting geometric expectiles are unique solutions to a convex risk minimization problem and are given by d-dimensional vectors. They…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-19 Klaus Herrmann , Marius Hofert , Melina Mailhot

In this paper we present a theoretical framework for studying coherent acceptability indices in a dynamic setup. We study dynamic coherent acceptability indices and dynamic coherent risk measures, and we establish a duality between them. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-23 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Zhao Zhang

Bell tests are of profound statistical nature. Besides physical considerations, the proper understanding of their implications should involve detailed statistical analyses. In this regard, recent works have shown that their consequences and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-06-10 Alfredo Luis