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This paper addresses the challenge of probabilistic parameter estimation given measurement uncertainty in real-time. We provide a general formulation and apply this to pose estimation for an autonomous visual landing system. We present…
In this paper, we propose a parameter space augmentation approach that is based on "intentionally" introducing a pseudo-nuisance parameter into generalized linear models for the purpose of variance reduction. We first consider the parameter…
We show that the lensing efficiency of cosmic shear generically has a simple shape, even in the case of a tomographic survey with badly behaved photometric redshifts. We argue that source distributions for cosmic shear can therefore be more…
Cosmological information from weak lensing surveys is maximised by dividing source galaxies into tomographic sub-samples for which the redshift distributions are estimated. Uncertainties on these redshift distributions must be correctly…
Creating accurate and low-noise covariance matrices represents a formidable challenge in modern-day cosmology. We present a formalism to compress arbitrary observables into a small number of bins by projection into a model-specific subspace…
We introduce a statistical measure of the effective model complexity, called the Bayesian complexity. We demonstrate that the Bayesian complexity can be used to assess how many effective parameters a set of data can support and that it is a…
Absorption line spectroscopy is a powerful way of measuring properties of stars and the interstellar medium. Absorption spectra are often analyzed manually, an approach that limits reproducibility and which cannot practically be applied to…
In this paper, we denoise a given noisy image by minimizing a smoothness promoting function over a set of local similarity measures which compare the mean of the given image and some candidate image on a large collection of subboxes. The…
Cosmological fine-tuning has traditionally been associated with the narrowness of the intervals in which the parameters of the physical models must be located to make life possible. A more thorough approach focuses on the probability of the…
We present methods to rigorously extract parameter combinations that are constrained by data from posterior distributions. The standard approach uses linear methods that apply to Gaussian distributions. We show the limitations of the linear…
We model a 21 cm intensity mapping survey in the redshift range 0.01<z<1.5 designed to simulate the skies as seen by future radio telescopes such as the Square Kilometre Array (SKA), including instrumental noise and Galactic foregrounds. In…
We consider the problem of subspace estimation in situations where the number of available snapshots and the observation dimension are comparable in magnitude. In this context, traditional subspace methods tend to fail because the…
Nonlinear optimisation techniques are commonly employed to minimise complex cost functions, with their effectiveness determined largely by the structure of the underlying error landscape. These methods require initial parameter values, and…
When determining the parameters of a parametric planar shape based on a single low-resolution image, common estimation paradigms lead to inaccurate parameter estimates. The reason behind poor estimation results is that standard estimation…
Baryonic feedback effects lead to a suppression of the weak lensing angular power spectrum on small scales. The poorly constrained shape and amplitude of this suppression is an important source of uncertainties for upcoming cosmological…
Estimating the values of unknown parameters from corrupted measured data faces a lot of challenges in ill-posed problems. In such problems, many fundamental estimation methods fail to provide a meaningful stabilized solution. In this work,…
We present a formalism for performance forecasting and optimization of future cosmic microwave background (CMB) experiments. We implement it in the context of nearly full sky, multifrequency, B-mode polarization observations, incorporating…
Field-level inference is emerging as a promising technique for optimally extracting information from cosmological datasets. Indeed, previous analyses have shown field-based inference produces tighter parameter constraints than power…
This is a writeup, with some elaboration, of the talks by the two authors (a physicist and a statistician) at the first PHYSTAT Informal review on January 24, 2024. We discuss Bayesian and frequentist approaches to dealing with nuisance…
Constraining cosmological parameters from large-scale structure observations requires precise and accurate tools to compute its properties. While perturbation theory (PT) approaches can serve this purpose, exploration of large parameter…