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In this paper, the causal bandit problem is investigated, with the objective of maximizing the long-term reward by selecting an optimal sequence of interventions on nodes in an unknown causal graph. It is assumed that both the causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Chen Peng , Di Zhang , Urbashi Mitra

We propose a novel conditional diffusion model for contextual portfolio optimization that learns the cross-sectional distribution of next-day stock returns conditioned on high-dimensional asset-specific factors. Our model leverages a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xuefeng Gao , Mengying He , Xuedong He

Despite large language models (LLMs) have achieved impressive achievements across numerous tasks, supervised fine-tuning (SFT) remains essential for adapting these models to specialized domains. However, SFT for domain specialization can be…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Yibai Liu , Shihang Wang , Zeming Liu , Zheming Song , Junzhe Wang , Jingjing Liu , Qingjie Liu , Yunhong Wang

We propose a Greedy strategy to solve the problem of Graph Cut, called GGC. It starts from the state where each data sample is regarded as a cluster and dynamically merges the two clusters which reduces the value of the global objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Feiping Nie , Shenfei Pei , Zengwei Zheng , Rong Wang , Xuelong Li

Large-scale portfolio choice is highly sensitive to estimation error, making the preliminary asset selection essential in empirical implementation. Existing selection rules typically rely on scalar returns or low dimensional high frequency…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yangzhou Chen , Shuaida He , Xin Chen

Graphical models are a powerful tool to estimate a high-dimensional inverse covariance (precision) matrix, which has been applied for a portfolio allocation problem. The assumption made by these models is a sparsity of the precision matrix.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-04 Tae-Hwy Lee , Ekaterina Seregina

The concept of a random process has been recently extended to graph signals, whereby random graph processes are a class of multivariate stochastic processes whose coefficients are matrices with a \textit{graph-topological} structure. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-13 Thiernithi Variddhisai , Danilo Mandic

Bayesian methods and their implementations by means of sophisticated Monte Carlo techniques, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particle filters, have become very popular in signal processing over the last years. However, in many…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-29 Luca Martino , Joaquin Miguez

The rapid growth of graph data creates significant scalability challenges as most graph algorithms scale quadratically with size. To mitigate these issues, Graph Condensation (GC) methods have been proposed to learn a small graph from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Shengbo Gong , Mohammad Hashemi , Juntong Ni , Carl Yang , Wei Jin

The problem of portfolio optimization is one of the most important issues in asset management. This paper proposes a new dynamic portfolio strategy based on the time-varying structures of MST networks in Chinese stock markets, where the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Fei Ren , Ya-Nan Lu , Sai-Ping Li , Xiong-Fei Jiang , Li-Xin Zhong , Tian Qiu

This paper addresses the portfolio selection problem for nonlinear law-dependent preferences in continuous time, which inherently exhibit time inconsistency. Employing the method of stochastic maximum principle, we establish verification…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-15 Zongxia Liang , Jianming Xia , Fengyi Yuan

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

Assessing the reliability of Large Language Models (LLMs) by confidence elicitation is a prominent approach to AI safety in high-stakes applications, such as healthcare and finance. Existing methods either require expensive computational…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Zhaohan Zhang , Ziquan Liu , Ioannis Patras

We introduce a new set of consistent measures of risks, in terms of the semi-invariants of pdf's, such that the centered moments and the cumulants of the portfolio distribution of returns that put more emphasis on the tail the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

Classical stochastic gradient methods for optimization rely on noisy gradient approximations that become progressively less accurate as iterates approach a solution. The large noise and small signal in the resulting gradients makes it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-10 Soham De , Abhay Yadav , David Jacobs , Tom Goldstein

The decisions traders make to buy or sell an asset depend on various analyses, with expertise required to identify patterns that can be exploited for profit. In this paper we identify novel features extracted from emergent and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Gabriel Rodrigues Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

Graph-constrained estimation methods encourage similarities among neighboring covariates presented as nodes on a graph, which can result in more accurate estimations, especially in high dimensional settings. Variable selection approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-29 Sen Zhao , Ali Shojaie

There has been an increased interest in discovering heuristics for combinatorial problems on graphs through machine learning. While existing techniques have primarily focused on obtaining high-quality solutions, scalability to billion-sized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Sahil Manchanda , Akash Mittal , Anuj Dhawan , Sourav Medya , Sayan Ranu , Ambuj Singh

Investment returns naturally reside on irregular domains, however, standard multivariate portfolio optimization methods are agnostic to data structure. To this end, we investigate ways for domain knowledge to be conveniently incorporated…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-17 Bruno Scalzo Dees , Ljubisa Stankovic , Anthony G. Constantinides , Danilo P. Mandic

[Context] The stochasticity of grain chemistry requires special care in modeling. Previously methods based on the modified rate equation, the master equation, the moment equation, and Monte Carlo simulations have been used. [Aims] We…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2012-01-05 Fujun Du , Berengere Parise