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SVEMnet is an R package for fitting Self-Validated Ensemble Models (SVEM) with elastic-net base learners and performing multi-response optimization in small-sample mixture-process design-of-experiments (DOE) studies with numeric,…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-10 Andrew T. Karl

This paper develops an R package rMultiNet to analyze multilayer network data. We provide two general frameworks from recent literature, e.g. mixture multilayer stochastic block model(MMSBM) and mixture multilayer latent space model(MMLSM)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-10 Ting Li , Zhongyuan Lyu , Chenyu Ren , Dong Xia

Time series prediction is challenging due to our limited understanding of the underlying dynamics. Conventional models such as ARIMA and Holt's linear trend model experience difficulty in identifying nonlinear patterns in time series. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Thu Nguyen , Lam Si Tung Ho

Accurate trajectory prediction is vital for autonomous driving, robotics, and intelligent decision-making systems, yet traditional models typically rely on fixed-length output predictions, limiting their adaptability to dynamic real-world…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Yunxiang Liu , Hongkuo Niu , Jianlin Zhu

There are many time series in the literature with high dimension yet limited sample sizes, such as macroeconomic variables, and it is almost impossible to obtain efficient estimation and accurate prediction by using the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

In the paper, we consider the problem of link prediction in time-evolving graphs. We assume that certain graph features, such as the node degree, follow a vector autoregressive (VAR) model and we propose to use this information to improve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-17 Emile Richard , Stephane Gaiffas , Nicolas Vayatis

Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn

We explore time-varying networks for high-dimensional locally stationary time series, using the large VAR model framework with both the transition and (error) precision matrices evolving smoothly over time. Two types of time-varying graphs…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Jia Chen , Degui Li , Yuning Li , Oliver Linton

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Dynamic network analysis has found an increasing interest in the literature because of the importance of different kinds of dynamic social networks, biological networks, and economic networks. Most available probability and statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-18 Elynn Yi Chen , Rong Chen

Time series forecasting uses historical data to predict future trends, leveraging the relationships between past observations and available features. In this paper, we propose RAFT, a retrieval-augmented time series forecasting method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Sungwon Han , Seungeon Lee , Meeyoung Cha , Sercan O Arik , Jinsung Yoon

Methods for time series prediction and classification of gene regulatory networks (GRNs) from gene expression data have been treated separately so far. The recent emergence of attention-based recurrent neural networks (RNN) models boosted…

Multivariate time series forecasting is of great importance to many scientific disciplines and industrial sectors. The evolution of a multivariate time series depends on the dynamics of its variables and the connectivity network of causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Christos Koutlis , Symeon Papadopoulos , Manos Schinas , Ioannis Kompatsiaris

Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Estimated time of arrival (ETA) is one of the most important services in intelligent transportation systems and becomes a challenging spatial-temporal (ST) data mining task in recent years. Nowadays, deep learning based methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Yiwen Sun , Yulu Wang , Kun Fu , Zheng Wang , Ziang Yan , Changshui Zhang , Jieping Ye

While the Vector Autoregression (VAR) model has received extensive attention for modelling complex time series, quantile VAR analysis remains relatively underexplored for high-dimensional time series data. To address this disparity, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Wenyang Liu , Ganggang Xu , Jianqing Fan , Xuening Zhu

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) have become competitive forecasting methods, as most notably shown in the winning method of the recent M4 competition. However, established statistical models such as ETS and ARIMA gain their popularity not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-24 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

We extend the neural basis expansion analysis (NBEATS) to incorporate exogenous factors. The resulting method, called NBEATSx, improves on a well performing deep learning model, extending its capabilities by including exogenous variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Kin G. Olivares , Cristian Challu , Grzegorz Marcjasz , Rafał Weron , Artur Dubrawski

Time series data analysis is a critical component in various domains such as finance, healthcare, and meteorology. Despite the progress in deep learning for time series analysis, there remains a challenge in addressing the non-stationary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Han Yu , Peikun Guo , Akane Sano

Modeling high-dimensional time series with simple structures is a challenging problem. This paper proposes a network double autoregression (NDAR) model, which combines the advantages of network structure and the double autoregression (DAR)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Tingting Li , Hao Wang