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We consider the general class of time-homogeneous stochastic dynamical systems, both discrete and continuous, and study the problem of learning a representation of the state that faithfully captures its dynamics. This is instrumental to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Vladimir R. Kostic , Pietro Novelli , Riccardo Grazzi , Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil

Dynamic community detection concerns inferring how community memberships evolve over time, including the emergence, persistence, merging, and dissolution of groups in temporal networks. We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Xenia Miscouridou , Francesca Panero , Antreas Laos

We propose a nonparametric method for detecting nonlinear causal relationship within a set of multidimensional discrete time series, by using sparse additive models (SpAMs). We show that, when the input to the SpAM is a $\beta$-mixing time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Yingxiang Yang , Adams Wei Yu , Zhaoran Wang , Tuo Zhao

We consider stochastic systems of interacting particles or agents, with dynamics determined by an interaction kernel which only depends on pairwise distances. We study the problem of inferring this interaction kernel from observations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Fei Lu , Mauro Maggioni , Sui Tang

We study the performance of sparse regression methods and propose new techniques to distill the governing equations of dynamical systems from data. We first look at the generic methodology of learning interpretable equation forms from data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Chinmay S. Kulkarni

Predicting the evolution of diseases is challenging, especially when the data availability is scarce and incomplete. The most popular tools for modelling and predicting infectious disease epidemics are compartmental models. They stratify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Esha Saha , Lam Si Tung Ho , Giang Tran

We propose a sparse regression method capable of discovering the governing partial differential equation(s) of a given system by time series measurements in the spatial domain. The regression framework relies on sparsity promoting…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2016-09-22 Samuel H. Rudy , Steven L. Brunton , Joshua L. Proctor , J. Nathan Kutz

Nonlinear dynamics are ubiquitous in science and engineering applications, but the physics of most complex systems is far from being fully understood. Discovering interpretable governing equations from measurement data can help us…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Luning Sun , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Hao Sun , Jian-Xun Wang

Effectively modeling phenomena present in highly nonlinear dynamical systems whilst also accurately quantifying uncertainty is a challenging task, which often requires problem-specific techniques. We present a novel, domain-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Thomas M. McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We consider the problem of learning the dynamics of autonomous linear systems (i.e., systems that are not affected by external control inputs) from observations of multiple trajectories of those systems, with finite sample guarantees.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-27 Lei Xin , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

One fundamental problem in studying dynamical process is whether it is possible and how to construct prediction model for an unknown system via sampled time series, especially in the modern big data era. The research in this area is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-15 Xiao-Song Yang

This paper is concerned with identifying linear system dynamics without the knowledge of individual system trajectories, but from the knowledge of the system's reachable sets observed at different times. Motivated by a scenario where the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-11 Taha Shafa , Roy Dong , Melkior Ornik

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-15 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone

This paper considers learning the hidden causal network of a linear networked dynamical system (NDS) from the time series data at some of its nodes -- partial observability. The dynamics of the NDS are driven by colored noise that generates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Augusto Santos , Diogo Rente , Rui Seabra , José M. F. Moura

Interacting systems are prevalent in nature. It is challenging to accurately predict the dynamics of the system if its constituent components are analyzed independently. We develop a graph-based model that unveils the systemic interactions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Giangiacomo Mercatali , Andre Freitas , Jie Chen

Robotic manipulation can greatly benefit from the data efficiency, robustness, and predictability of model-based methods if robots can quickly generate models of novel objects they encounter. This is especially difficult when effects like…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Bibit Bianchini , Mathew Halm , Michael Posa

Focusing on identification, this paper develops techniques to reconstruct zero and nonzero elements of a sparse parameter vector of a stochastic dynamic system under feedback control, for which the current input may depend on the past…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-04 Wenxiao Zhao , George G. Yin , Er-Wei Bai

We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

We present a data-driven model to reconstruct nonlinear dynamics from a very sparse times series data, which relies on the strength of the echo state network (ESN) in learning nonlinear representation of data. With an assumption of the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Kyongmin Yeo

This paper addresses the problem of detecting and characterizing local variability in time series and other forms of sequential data. The goal is to identify and characterize statistically significant variations, at the same time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Jeffrey D. Scargle , Jay P. Norris , Brad Jackson , James Chiang
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