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Magnetic field variations are detected before rupture in the form of `spikes' of alternating sign. The distinction of these `spikes' from random noise is of major practical importance, since it is easier to conduct magnetic field…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 P. A. Varotsos , N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas

It is ubiquitous in natural and social sciences that two variables, recorded temporally or spatially in a complex system, are cross-correlated and possess multifractal features. We propose a new method called multifractal detrended…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Wei-Xing Zhou

With the advance of modern technology, more and more data are being recorded continuously during a time interval or intermittently at several discrete time points. They are both examples of "functional data", which have become a prevailing…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-21 Jane-Ling Wang , Jeng-Min Chiou , Hans-Georg Mueller

The fluctuation-dissipation mechanism underlying non-equilibrium transport in low-energy heavy-ion reactions remains unclear. Although the time-dependent Hartree-Fock (TDHF) method provides a reasonable description of average reaction…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-07-02 Zepeng Gao , Kazuyuki Sekizawa , Long Zhu

Recently a method which employs computing of fluctuations in a measure of nonlinear similarity based on local recurrence properties in a univariate time series, was introduced to identify distinct dynamical regimes and transitions between…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-06-24 Nishant Malik , Norbert Marwan , Yong Zou , Peter J. Mucha , Jürgen Kurths

Nonstationarity of real-life time series requires model adaptation. In classical approaches like ARMA-ARCH there is assumed some arbitrarily chosen dependence type. To avoid their bias, we will focus on novel more agnostic approach: moving…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-09 Jarek Duda

Electric field variations that appear before rupture have been recently studied by employing the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) as a scaling method to quantify long-range temporal correlations. These studies revealed that seismic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 E. S. Skordas , N. V. Sarlis , P. A. Varotsos

Stride-to-stride fluctuations in human walking carry a fractal correlation structure that reverses sign under external cueing: self-paced gait is persistent, whereas metronomic or visually cued gait is anti-persistent. Three decades of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-22 Philippe Terrier

In this presentation, we introduce a new method for change point analysis on the Hurst index for a piecewise fractional Brownian motion. We first set the model and the statistical problem. The proposed method is a transposition of the FDpV…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-23 Mehdi Fhima , Arnaud Guillin , Pierre R. Bertrand

Since the middle of the 90's, multifractional processes have been introduced for overcoming some limitations of the classical Fractional Brownian Motion model. In their context, the Hurst parameter becomes a Holder continuous function H(?)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Antoine Ayache , Julien Hamonier

Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) is a powerful and widely used technique for characterizing the scaling properties and long-range correlations of complex time series. However, its application often involves significant…

We study how the round-off (or discretization) error changes the statistical properties of a Gaussian long memory process. We show that the autocovariance and the spectral density of the discretized process are asymptotically rescaled by a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Gabriele La Spada , Fabrizio Lillo

Various methods have been developed independently to study the multifractality of measures in many different contexts. Although they all convey the same intuitive idea of giving a "dimension" to sets where a quantity scales similarly within…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-08 Hadrien Salat , Roberto Murcio , Elsa Arcaute

This paper investigates the presence of long memory in corporate bond and stock indices of six European Union countries from July 1998 to February 2015. We compute the Hurst exponent by means of the DFA method and using a sliding window in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-24 Lisana B. Martinez , M. Belen Guercio , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Antonio Terceño

This paper develops a point impact linear regression model in which the trajectory of a continuous stochastic process, when evaluated at a sensitive time point, is associated with a scalar response. The proposed model complements and is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-22 Ian W. McKeague , Bodhisattva Sen

We empirically investigated the relationships between the degree of efficiency and the predictability in financial time-series data. The Hurst exponent was used as the measurement of the degree of efficiency, and the hit rate calculated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Sunghoon Choi , Gabjin Oh , Woo-Sung Jung

Identifying and quantifying memory are often critical steps in developing a mechanistic understanding of stochastic processes. These are particularly challenging and necessary when exploring processes that exhibit long-range correlations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-20 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

We propose a framework combining detrended fluctuation analysis with standard regression methodology. The method is built on detrended variances and covariances and it is designed to estimate regression parameters at different scales and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Ladislav Kristoufek

Based on protein molecular dynamics, we investigate the fractal properties of energy, pressure and volume time series using the multifractal detrended fluctuations analysis (MF-DFA) and the topological and fractal properties of their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Yuan-Wu Zhou , Jin-Long Liu , Zu-Guo Yu , Zhi-Qin Zhao , Vo Anh

Scaling analysis of heart rate time series has emerged as an useful tool for assessment of autonomic cardiac control. We investigate the heart rate time series of ten athletes (five males and five females), by applying detrended fluctuation…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 M Baumert , LM Brechtel , J Lock , A Voss , D Abbott
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