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Dirichlet processes and their extensions have reached a great popularity in Bayesian nonparametric statistics. They have also been introduced for spatial and spatio-temporal data, as a tool to analyze and predict surfaces. A popular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Clara Grazian

A distinction is sometimes made between "statistical" and "subjective" probabilities. This is based on a distinction between "unique" events and "repeatable" events. We argue that this distinction is untenable, since all events are "unique"…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Henry E. Kyburg

Proper management of resources whose arrival and consumption are subject to environmental randomness is an intrinsic process in both natural and artificial systems. This phenomenon can be modeled as a queuing process whose arrival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-18 José Giral-Barajas , Paul C. Bressloff

We perform a thorough analysis of the survival probability of symmetric random walks with stochastic resetting, defined as the probability for the walker not to cross the origin up to time $n$. For continuous symmetric distributions of step…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-13 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

If the prior probability distributions of all possible hypothetical true means and all possible observed means of a continuous variable are conditional on the universal set of all numbers (i.e., before the nature of a study is known and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Huw Llewelyn

In probability theory, there is a tendency to treat one random variable with a given distribution as being just as good as any other. By and large this is fine because probability is (mostly) concerned with distributional properties of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-31 Douglas Rizzolo

Let $T\$ be a stopping time associated with a sequence of independent random variables $Z_{1},Z_{2},...$ . By applying a suitable change in the probability measure we present relations between the moment or probability generating functions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-28 M. V. Boutsikas , A. C. Rakitzis , D. L. Antzoulakos

Extreme-value theory for random vectors and stochastic processes with continuous trajectories is usually formulated for random objects all of whose univariate marginal distributions are identical. In the spirit of Sklar's theorem from…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-23 Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

Inspired by many examples in nature, stochastic resetting of random processes has been studied extensively in the past decade. In particular, various models of stochastic particle motion were considered where upon resetting the particle is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-23 Ofir Tal-Friedman , Yael Roichman , Shlomi Reuveni

We discuss the order statistics of the particle positions of a gas of $N$ identical independent particles performing Brownian motion in one dimension in a potential that asymptotically behaves like $V(x) \sim x^\gamma$ for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-26 Zdzislaw Burda , Mario Kieburg , Tomasz Maciocha

Activated Random Walk is a particle system displaying Self-Organized Criticality, in that the dynamics spontaneously drive the system to a critical state. How universal is this critical state? We state many interlocking conjectures aimed at…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Lionel Levine , Vittoria Silvestri

The concepts of variability and uncertainty, both epistemic and alleatory, came from experience and coexist with different connotations. Therefore this article attempts to express their relation by analytic means firstly setting sights on…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2013-01-15 Kalman Ziha

We consider an active run-and-tumble particle (RTP) in $d$ dimensions and compute exactly the probability $S(t)$ that the $x$-component of the position of the RTP does not change sign up to time $t$. When the tumblings occur at a constant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-03 Francesco Mori , Pierre Le Doussal , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

Assuming a $q$-variant of the prime $k$-tuple conjecture uniformly, we compute mixed moments of the number of primes in disjoint short intervals and progressions, respectively. This involves estimating the mean of singular series along…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Sun-Kai Leung

We study a stochastic multiplicative process with reset events. It is shown that the model develops a stationary power-law probability distribution for the relevant variable, whose exponent depends on the model parameters. Two qualitatively…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Susanna C. Manrubia , Damian H. Zanette

The problem of non-iterative one-shot and non-destructive correction of unavoidable mistakes arises in all Artificial Intelligence applications in the real world. Its solution requires robust separation of samples with errors from samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-05 A. N. Gorban , I. Y. Tyukin

We study analytically the order statistics of a time series generated by the successive positions of a symmetric random walk of n steps with step lengths of finite variance \sigma^2. We show that the statistics of the gap d_{k,n}=M_{k,n}…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-01-27 Gregory Schehr , Satya N. Majumdar

The dynamical relaxation and scaling properties of three different variants of the contact process in two spatial dimensions are analysed. Dynamical contact processes capture a variety of contagious processes such as the spreading of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-01 Lucas Böttcher , Hans Jürgen Herrmann , Malte Henkel

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of some U-statistics whose entries are functions of empirical moments computed from non-overlapping consecutive blocks of an underlying weakly dependent process. The length of these blocks…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-27 Herold G. Dehling , Davide Giraudo , Sara K. Schmidt

The mean completion time of a stochastic process may be rendered finite and minimised by a judiciously chosen restart protocol, which may either be stochastic or deterministic. Here we study analytically an arbitrary stochastic search…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-14 Kabir Husain , Sandeep Krishna
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