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The COVID-19 pandemic has caused severe disruption to economic and financial activity worldwide. We assess what happened to the aggregate U.S. stock market during this period, including implications for both short and long-horizon…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-04 John M. Maheu , Thomas H. McCurdy , Yong Song

Bitcoin is firmly becoming a mainstream asset in our global society. Its highly volatile nature has traders and speculators flooding into the market to take advantage of its significant price swings in the hope of making money. This work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Nathan Crone , Eoin Brophy , Tomas Ward

We examine how skewness interacts with kurtosis within the cryptocurrency market. We show that during the COVID-19 pandemic there are more clusters of observations around the two flanks, highlighting the presence of a volatile behavior.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-29 Ariston Karagiorgis , Antonis Ballis , Konstantinos Drakos , Christos Kallandranis

The availability of data on digital traces is growing to unprecedented sizes, but inferring actionable knowledge from large-scale data is far from being trivial. This is especially important for computational finance, where digital traces…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-13 David Garcia , Frank Schweitzer

The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has impacted every corner of earth, disrupting governments and leading to socioeconomic instability. This crisis has prompted questions surrounding how different sectors of society interact…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Martha Barnard , Radhika Iyer , Sara Y. Del Valle , Ashlynn R. Daughton

A main focus in economics research is understanding the time series of prices of goods and assets. While statistical models using only the properties of the time series itself have been successful in many aspects, we expect to gain a better…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-12-15 Dániel Kondor , István Csabai , János Szüle , Márton Pósfai , Gábor Vattay

Bitcoin as a cryptocurrency has been one of the most important digital coins and the first decentralized digital currency. Deep neural networks, on the other hand, has shown promising results recently; however, we require huge amount of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Parth Daxesh Modi , Kamyar Arshi , Pertami J. Kunz , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

Bitcoin has emerged as a fascinating phenomenon of the financial markets. Without any central authority issuing the currency, it has been associated with controversy ever since its popularity and public interest reached high levels. Here,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Ladislav Kristoufek

Over the past decade, the blockchain technology and its Bitcoin cryptocurrency have received considerable attention. Bitcoin has experienced significant price swings in daily and long-term valuations. In this paper, we propose a partial…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-26 Yufang Wang , Haiyan Wang

The objective of this work is twofold: to expand the depression models proposed by Tobin and analyse a supply shock, such as the Covid-19 pandemic, in this Keynesian conceptual environment. The expansion allows us to propose the evolution…

General Economics · Economics 2020-07-20 Ignacio Escanuela Romana

The COVID-19 pandemic serves as a grim reminder of the unexpected nature of these outbreaks and gives rise to a unique set of research challenges in a variety of fields. As people all over the world adjust to this new 'normal', with most…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Aditya Jyoti Paul

Significant shifts in the composition of consumer spending as a result of the COVID-19 crisis can complicate the interpretation of official inflation data, which are calculated by the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) based on a fixed…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-12 Jonathan Benchimol , Itamar Caspi , Yuval Levin

The third Bitcoin halving that took place in May 2020 cut down the mining reward from 12.5 to 6.25 BTC per block and thus slowed down the rate of issuance of new Bitcoins, making it more scarce. The fourth and most recent halving happened…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-11 Vladislav Virtonen

The rapid development of information technology, especially the Internet, has facilitated users with a quick and easy way to seek information. With these convenience offered by internet services, many individuals who initially invested in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Novan Fauzi Al Giffary , Feri Sulianta

Bitcoin is considered the most valuable currency in the world. Besides being highly valuable, its value has also experienced a steep increase, from around 1 dollar in 2010 to around 18000 in 2017. Then, in recent years, it has attracted…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Amin Azari

This paper introduces new methods for analysing the extreme and erratic behaviour of time series to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on cryptocurrency market dynamics. Across 51 cryptocurrencies, we examine extreme behaviour through a study…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-01 Nick James , Max Menzies , Jennifer Chan

We study to what extent the Bitcoin blockchain security permanently depends on the underlying distribution of cryptocurrency market outcomes. We use daily blockchain and Bitcoin data for 2014-2019 and employ the ARDL approach. We test three…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-18 Pavel Ciaian , d'Artis Kancs , Miroslava Rajcaniova

We develop a strong diagnostic for bubbles and crashes in bitcoin, by analyzing the coincidence (and its absence) of fundamental and technical indicators. Using a generalized Metcalfe's law based on network properties, a fundamental value…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-16 Spencer Wheatley , Didier Sornette , Tobias Huber , Max Reppen , Robert N. Gantner

The goals of this paper are twofold: (1) to present a new method that is able to find linear laws governing the time evolution of Markov chains and (2) to apply this method for anomaly detection in Bitcoin prices. To accomplish these goals,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-25 Marcell T. Kurbucz , Péter Pósfay , Antal Jakovác

This is the first paper that estimates the price determinants of BitCoin in a Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework using high frequency data. Derived from a theoretical model, we estimate BitCoin transaction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-27 Pavel Ciaian , d'Artis Kancs , Miroslava Rajcaniova