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The dynamic emulation of non-linear deterministic computer codes where the output is a time series, possibly multivariate, is examined. Such computer models simulate the evolution of some real-world phenomenon over time, for example models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow

Augmenting mechanistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) models with machine-learnable structures is an novel approach to create highly accurate, low-dimensional models of engineering systems incorporating both expert knowledge and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Sandor Beregi , David A. W. Barton , Djamel Rezgui , Simon A. Neild

Hybrid neural ordinary differential equations (neural ODEs) integrate mechanistic models with neural ODEs, offering strong inductive bias and flexibility, and are particularly advantageous in data-scarce healthcare settings. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Bob Junyi Zou , Lu Tian

Given (small amounts of) time-series' data from a high-dimensional, fine-grained, multiscale dynamical system, we propose a generative framework for learning an effective, lower-dimensional, coarse-grained dynamical model that is predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Simflowny is an open platform which automatically generates efficient parallel code of scientific dynamical models for different simulation frameworks. Here we present major upgrades on this software to support simultaneously a quite…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 C. Palenzuela , B. Miñano , A. Arbona , C. Bona-Casas , C. Bona , J. Massó

The design and analysis of pallet setups are essential for ensuring safety of packages transportation. With rising demands in the logistics sector, the development of automated systems utilizing advanced technologies has become increasingly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Samuel Seligardi , Pietro Musoni , Eleonora Iotti , Gianluca Contesso , Alessandro Dal Palù

The simulation of atmospheric flows by means of traditional discretization methods remains computationally intensive, hindering the achievement of high forecasting accuracy in short time frames. In this paper, we apply three reduced order…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-19 Arash Hajisharifi , Michele Girfoglio , Annalisa Quaini , Gianluigi Rozza

This paper introduces an extension of generalised filtering for online applications. Generalised filtering refers to data assimilation schemes that jointly infer latent states, learn unknown model parameters, and estimate uncertainty in an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mehran H. Z. Bazargani , Szymon Urbas , Adeel Razi , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Karl Friston

Differential equations (DEs) are commonly used to describe dynamic systems evolving in one (ordinary differential equations or ODEs) or in more than one dimensions (partial differential equations or PDEs). In real data applications the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Gianluca Frasso , Jonathan Jaeger , Philippe Lambert

Simulation models often have parameters as input and return outputs to understand the behavior of complex systems. Calibration is the process of estimating the values of the parameters in a simulation model in light of observed data from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-15 Özge Sürer

This paper introduces the practicalities and benefits of using SimPy, a discrete event simulation (DES) module written in Python, for modeling and simulating complex systems. Through a step-by-step exploration of the classical Dining…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Dmitry Zinoviev

Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential for understanding the interaction between human activities and the Earth's climate. However, the computational demands of ESMs often limit the number of simulations that can be run, hindering the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-19 Seth Bassetti , Brian Hutchinson , Claudia Tebaldi , Ben Kravitz

The dynamics of flexible filaments entrained in flow, important for understanding many biological and industrial processes, are computationally expensive to model with full-physics simulations. This work describes a data-driven technique to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-20 Andrew J Fox , Michael D. Graham

Highly accurate simulations of complex phenomena governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) typically require intrusive methods and entail expensive computational costs, which might become prohibitive when approximating steady-state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Paolo Conti , Giorgio Gobat , Stefania Fresca , Andrea Manzoni , Attilio Frangi

We propose a framework for probabilistic forecasting of dynamical systems based on generative modeling. Given observations of the system state over time, we formulate the forecasting problem as sampling from the conditional distribution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Yifan Chen , Mark Goldstein , Mengjian Hua , Michael S. Albergo , Nicholas M. Boffi , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Many dimension reduction techniques have been developed for independent data, and most have also been extended to time series. However, these methods often fail to account for the dynamic dependencies both within and across series. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Daniel Peña , Victor J. Yohai

Multiscale dynamical systems, modeled by high-dimensional stiff ordinary differential equations (ODEs) with wide-ranging characteristic timescales, arise across diverse fields of science and engineering, but their numerical solvers often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Junjie Yao , Yuxiao Yi , Liangkai Hang , Weinan E , Weizong Wang , Yaoyu Zhang , Tianhan Zhang , Zhi-Qin John Xu

Calibration of expensive simulation models involves an emulator based on simulation outputs generated across various parameter settings to replace the actual model. Noisy outputs of stochastic simulation models require many simulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Özge Sürer

This paper introduces a novel hybrid model combining Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) and Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) to simulate infectious disease dynamics across geographic regions. By leveraging the spatial detail of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Kristina Kehrer , Martin Weiser , Tim Conrad

Diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) have exhibited excellent performance for high-fidelity image generation while suffering from inefficient sampling. Recent works accelerate the sampling procedure by proposing fast ODE solvers that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Kaiwen Zheng , Cheng Lu , Jianfei Chen , Jun Zhu