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Stock prices are influenced over time by underlying macroeconomic factors. Jumping out of the box of conventional assumptions about the unpredictability of the market noise, we modeled the changes of stock prices over time through the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-26 Yang Chen , Emerson Li

There are two issues in news-driven multi-stock movement prediction tasks that are not well solved in the existing works. On the one hand, "relation discovery" is a pivotal part when leveraging the price information of other stocks to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Shuqi Li , Yuebo Sun , Yuxin Lin , Xin Gao , Shuo Shang , Rui Yan

Designing robust systems for precise prediction of future prices of stocks has always been considered a very challenging research problem. Even more challenging is to build a system for constructing an optimum portfolio of stocks based on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta , Sidra Mehtab

Using machine learning and alternative data for the prediction of financial markets has been a popular topic in recent years. Many financial variables such as stock price, historical volatility and trade volume have already been through…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-18 Thomas Dierckx , Jesse Davis , Wim Schoutens

Machine learning is increasingly prevalent in stock market trading. Though neural networks have seen success in computer vision and natural language processing, they have not been as useful in stock market trading. To demonstrate the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-04-04 Abhinav Madahar , Yuze Ma , Kunal Patel

The prediction of a stock market direction may serve as an early recommendation system for short-term investors and as an early financial distress warning system for long-term shareholders. Many stock prediction studies focus on using…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-01-10 Yanshan Wang

This study presents a long-term alternative formula for stock price variation described by a geometric Brownian motion on the basis of median instead of mean or expected values. The proposed method is motivated by the observation made in…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-06 Takuya Okabe , Jin Yoshimura

This paper will discuss how headline data can be used to predict stock prices. The stock price in question is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, also known as SPY that tracks the performance of the largest 500 publicly traded corporations in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Ayaan Qayyum

Stock market movements are influenced by public and private information shared through news articles, company reports, and social media discussions. Analyzing these vast sources of data can give market participants an edge to make profit.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-12 Kamaladdin Fataliyev , Aneesh Chivukula , Mukesh Prasad , Wei Liu

The internet has changed the way we live, work and take decisions. As it is the major modern resource for research, detailed data on internet usage exhibits vast amounts of behavioral information. This paper aims to answer the question…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-02 Christopher Bockel-Rickermann

Recently, there has been a surge of interest in the use of machine learning to help aid in the accurate predictions of financial markets. Despite the exciting advances in this cross-section of finance and AI, many of the current approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Daiki Matsunaga , Toyotaro Suzumura , Toshihiro Takahashi

For the development of successful share trading strategies, forecasting the course of action of the stock market index is important. Effective prediction of closing stock prices could guarantee investors attractive benefits. Machine…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-16 Nazish Ashfaq , Zubair Nawaz , Muhammad Ilyas

Recent advances in generative models have enabled significant progress in tasks such as generating and editing images from text, as well as creating videos from text prompts, and these methods are being applied across various fields.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Taegyeong Lee , Jiwon Park , Kyunga Bang , Seunghyun Hwang , Ung-Jin Jang

Fluctuations in stock prices are influenced by a complex interplay of factors that go beyond mere historical data. These factors, themselves influenced by external forces, encompass inter-stock dynamics, broader economic factors, various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-12 Ambedkar Dukkipati , Kawin Mayilvaghanan , Naveen Kumar Pallekonda , Sai Prakash Hadnoor , Ranga Shaarad Ayyagari

Stock market forecasting has been a challenging part for many analysts and researchers. Trend analysis, statistical techniques, and movement indicators have traditionally been used to predict stock price movements, but text extraction has…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Faraz Sasani , Ramin Mousa , Ali Karkehabadi , Samin Dehbashi , Ali Mohammadi

Accurately predicting short-term stock price movement remains a challenging task due to the market's inherent volatility and sensitivity to investor sentiment. This paper discusses a deep learning framework that integrates emotion features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 An Vuong , Susan Gauch

The stock market prediction has always been crucial for stakeholders, traders and investors. We developed an ensemble Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model that includes two-time frequencies (annual and daily parameters) in order to predict…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-13 Zineb Lanbouri , Saaid Achchab

Today, the use of social networking data has attracted a lot of academic and commercial attention in predicting the stock market. In most studies in this area, the sentiment analysis of the content of user posts on social networks is used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Ramin Mousa , Sara Nazari , Ali Karhe Abadi , Reza Shoukhcheshm , Mohammad Niknam Pirzadeh , Leila Safari

Predicting the prices of stocks at any stock market remains a quest for many investors and researchers. Those who trade at the stock market tend to use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in their predictions. These methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-20 Barack Wamkaya Wanjawa

In this paper, we compare various approaches to stock price prediction using neural networks. We analyze the performance fully connected, convolutional, and recurrent architectures in predicting the next day value of S&P 500 index based on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib