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Nonparametric series regression often involves specification search over the tuning parameter, i.e., evaluating estimates and confidence intervals with a different number of series terms. This paper develops pointwise and uniform inferences…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-26 Byunghoon Kang

We consider a family of conditional nonlinear expectations defined on the space of bounded random variables and indexed by the class of all the sub-sigma-algebras of a given underlying sigma-algebra. We show that if this family satisfies a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-04 Edoardo Berton , Alessandro Doldi , Marco Maggis

A new sufficient condition is proved for the existence of stochastic semigroups generated by the sum of two unbounded operators. It is applied to one-dimensional piecewise deterministic Markov processes, where we also discuss the existence…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-07-07 Michael C. Mackey , Marta Tyran-Kaminska

Markov state models (MSMs) have been broadly adopted for analyzing molecular dynamics trajectories, but the approximate nature of the models that results from coarse-graining into discrete states is a long-known limitation. We show…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-05-31 John D. Russo , Jeremy Copperman , David Aristoff , Gideon Simpson , Daniel M. Zuckerman

Moment inequalities play important roles in probability limit theory and mathematical statistics. In this work, the von Bahr-Esseen type inequality for extended negatively dependent random variables under sub-linear expectations is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Yi Wu , Xuejun Wang

Under mild Markov assumptions, sufficient conditions for strict minimax optimality of sequential tests for multiple hypotheses under distributional uncertainty are derived. First, the design of optimal sequential tests for simple hypotheses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Michael Fauss , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , H. Vincent Poor

This article describes a method for computing limits of a class of non-stationary Markov chains motivated by healthcare sojourn-time cycles. A mathematical validation of the computation method is also given. Applications are described that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Samuel Awoniyi

Bayesian inference for Markov processes has become increasingly relevant in recent years. Problems of this type often have intractable likelihoods and prior knowledge about model rate parameters is often poor. Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-23 Jamie Owen , Darren J. Wilkinson , Colin S. Gillespie

Continuous-time Markov processes over finite state-spaces are widely used to model dynamical processes in many fields of natural and social science. Here, we introduce an maximum likelihood estimator for constructing such models from data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-01 Robert T. McGibbon , Vijay S. Pande

We provide a new perturbation theorem for substochastic semigroups on abstract AL spaces extending Kato's perturbation theorem to non-densely defined operators. We show how it can be applied to piecewise deterministic Markov processes and…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Marta Tyran-Kamińska

In this paper we study the additive functionals of Markov chains via conditioning with respect to both past and future of the chain. We shall point out new sufficient projective conditions, which assure that the variance of partial sums of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Magda Peligrad

This paper deals with diagnosability of discrete-time nonlinear systems with unknown inputs and quantized outputs. We propose a novel notion of diagnosability that we term approximate diagnosability, corresponding to the possibility of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Elena De Santis , Giordano Pola , Maria Domenica Di Benedetto

The prescribed-time stabilization problem for a general class of nonlinear systems with unknown input gain and appended dynamics (with unmeasured state) is addressed. Unlike the asymptotic stabilization problem, the prescribed-time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Prashanth Krishnamurthy , Farshad Khorrami

Intermediately subcritical branching processes in random environment are at the borderline between two subcritical regimes and exhibit a particularly rich behavior. In this paper, we prove a functional limit theorem for these processes. It…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-07 Christian Böinghoff , Götz Kersting

We consider the linear programming approach for constrained and unconstrained Markov decision processes (MDPs) under the long-run average cost criterion, where the class of MDPs in our study have Borel state spaces and discrete countable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Huizhen Yu

We prove that every nonnegative continuous real-valued function on a given compact metric space is the uniform limit of some increasing sequence of nonnegative simple functions being linear combinations of indicators of open sets; here the…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2020-10-21 Yu-Lin Chou

In this article we propose a qualitative (ordinal) counterpart for the Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes model (POMDP) in which the uncertainty, as well as the preferences of the agent, are modeled by possibility distributions.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Regis Sabbadin

Standard meta-learning for representation learning aims to find a common representation to be shared across multiple tasks. The effectiveness of these methods is often limited when the nuances of the tasks' distribution cannot be captured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Giulia Denevi , Massimiliano Pontil , Carlo Ciliberto

We consider the problem of asymptotic reconstruction of the state and parameter values in systems of ordinary differential equations. A solution to this problem is proposed for a class of systems of which the unknowns are allowed to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Ivan Y. Tyukin , Erik Steur , Henk Nijmeijer , Cees van Leeuwen

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence $x_1,...,x_n,...$ of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) $\mu$. After observing each outcome, it is required…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-13 Daniil Ryabko
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