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Related papers: Huber-Robust Confidence Sequences

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This article introduces methods for constructing prediction bounds or intervals for the number of future failures from heterogeneous reliability field data. We focus on within-sample prediction where early data from a failure-time process…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Colin Lewis-Beck , Qinglong Tian , William Q. Meeker

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

A reasonable confidence interval should have a confidence coefficient no less than the given nominal level and a small expected length to reliably and accurately estimate the parameter of interest, and the bootstrap interval is considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Weizhen Wang , Chongxiu Yu , Zhongzhan Zhang

The problem of filtering of finite-alphabet stationary ergodic time series is considered. A method for constructing a confidence set for the (unknown) signal is proposed, such that the resulting set has the following properties: First, it…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-10 Boris Ryabko , Daniil Ryabko

We extend in two directions our previous results about the sampling and the empirical measures of immortal branching Markov processes. Direct applications to molecular biology are rigorous estimates of the mutation rates of polymerase chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Didier Piau

Upper limits and confidence intervals are a convenient way to present experimental results. With modern experiments producing more and more data, it is often necessary to reduce the volume of the results for convenient distribution. A…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-10-02 Vladimir Dergachev

In the context of selective inference, confidence envelopes for the false discoveries allow the user to select any subset of null hypotheses while having a statistical guarantee on the number of false discoveries in the selected set. Many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Romain Périer , Gilles Blanchard , Sebastian Döhler , Guillermo Durand , Etienne Roquain

In this paper, we consider an experimental setting where units enter the experiment sequentially. Our goal is to form stopping rules which lead to estimators of treatment effects with a given precision. We propose a fixed-width confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Mattias Nordin , Mårten Schultzberg

In this paper we give an overview of recent results on (upper and lower) discrepancy estimates for (concrete) sequences in the unit-cube. In particular we also give an overview of discrepancy estimates for certain classes of hybrid…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-10 Gerhard Larcher

We revisit outlier hypothesis testing, propose exponentially consistent low complexity fixed-length and sequential tests and show that our tests achieve better tradeoff between detection performance and computational complexity than…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Jun Diao , Jingjing Wang , Lin Zhou

Recently, methodology was presented to facilitate the incorporation of interim analyses in stepped-wedge (SW) cluster randomised trials (CRTs). Here, we extend this previous discussion. We detail how the stopping boundaries, allocation…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Michael Grayling , David Robertson , James Wason , Adrian Mander

Time-delay embedding is a fundamental technique in Topological Data Analysis (TDA) for reconstructing the phase space dynamics of time-series data. Persistent homology effectively identifies global topological features, such as loops…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Donghyun Park , Junhyun An , Taehyoung Kim , Jisu Kim

Constructing valid confidence sets is a crucial task in statistical inference, yet traditional methods often face challenges when dealing with complex models or limited observed sample sizes. These challenges are frequently encountered in…

For a regression problem with a binary label response, we examine the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the label probability conditional on the features. In a setting where we do not have any information about the underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Rina Foygel Barber

Sequential estimation of a probability $p$ by means of inverse binomial sampling is considered. For $\mu_1,\mu_2>1$ given, the accuracy of an estimator $\hat{p}$ is measured by the confidence level $P[p/\mu_2\leq\hat{p}\leq p\mu_1]$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Luis Mendo , José M. Hernando

For estimating a lower bounded parametric function in the framework of Marchand and Strawderman (2006), we provide through a unified approach a class of Bayesian confidence intervals with credibility $1-\alpha$ and frequentist coverage…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-21 Eric Marchand , William E. Strawderman

We investigate the credible sets and marginal credible intervals resulting from the horseshoe prior in the sparse multivariate normal means model. We do so in an adaptive setting without assuming knowledge of the sparsity level (number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Stéphanie van der Pas , Botond Szabó , Aad van der Vaart

This paper presents an improved result on the negative-binomial Monte Carlo technique analyzed in a previous paper for the estimation of an unknown probability p. Specifically, the confidence level associated to a relative interval…

Computation · Statistics 2008-09-25 Luis Mendo , Jose M. Hernando

We develop and analyze the HulC, an intuitive and general method for constructing confidence sets using the convex hull of estimates constructed from subsets of the data. Unlike classical methods which are based on estimating the (limiting)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

Fisher's likelihood is widely used for statistical inference for fixed unknowns. This paper aims to extend two important likelihood-based methods, namely the maximum likelihood procedure for point estimation and the confidence procedure for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Hangbin Lee , Youngjo Lee
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