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In this paper we recall some results for conditional events, compound conditionals, conditional random quantities, p-consistency, and p-entailment. Then, we show the equivalence between bets on conditionals and conditional bets, by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Angelo Gilio , David E. Over , Niki Pfeifer , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

It is well know that basic conditionals satisfy some desirable basic logical and probabilistic properties, such as the compound probability theorem, but checking the validity of these becomes trickier when we switch to compound and iterated…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Lydia Castronovo , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

We generalize, by a progressive procedure, the notions of conjunction and disjunction of two conditional events to the case of $n$ conditional events. In our coherence-based approach, conjunctions and disjunctions are suitable conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-27 Angelo Gilio , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

In this talk - based on the results of a forthcoming paper (Coletti, Scozzafava and Vantaggi 2002), presented also by one of us at the Conference on "Non Classical Logic, Approximate Reasoning and Soft-Computing" (Anacapri, Italy, 2001) -…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Giulianella Coletti , Romano Scozzafava , Barbara Vantaggi

Conditionals play a key role in different areas of logic and probabilistic reasoning, and they have been studied and formalized from different angles. In this paper we focus on the de Finetti's notion of conditional as a three-valued…

Logic · Mathematics 2022-05-09 Tommaso Flaminio , Angelo Gilio , Lluis Godo , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

In this paper we consider finite conditional random quantities and conditional previsions assessments in the setting of coherence. We use a suitable representation for conditional random quantities; in particular the indicator of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Angelo Gilio , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

This paper develops a trivalent semantics for the truth conditions and the probability of the natural language indicative conditional. Our framework rests on trivalent truth conditions first proposed by W. Cooper and yields two logics of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Paul Égré , Lorenzo Rossi , Jan Sprenger

This paper builds on a recent article co-authored by the present author, H. Hosni and F. Montagna. It is meant to contribute to the logical foundations of probability theory on many-valued events and, specifically, to a deeper understanding…

Logic · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Tommaso Flaminio

Stemming from de Finetti's work on finitely additive coherent probabilities, the paradigm of coherence has been applied to many uncertainty calculi in order to remove structural restrictions on the domain of the assessment. Three possible…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Davide Petturiti , Barbara Vantaggi

We deepen the study of conjoined and disjoined conditional events in the setting of coherence. These objects, differently from other approaches, are defined in the framework of conditional random quantities. We show that some well known…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Angelo Gilio , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

In this paper we consider compound conditionals, Fr\'echet-Hoeffding bounds and the probabilistic interpretation of Frank t-norms. By studying the solvability of suitable linear systems, we show under logical independence the sharpness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Angelo Gilio , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

This paper explores trivalent truth conditions for indicative conditionals, examining the "defective" table put forward by de Finetti 1936, as well as Reichenbach 1944, first sketched in Reichenbach 1935. On their approach, a conditional…

Logic · Mathematics 2019-07-29 Paul Egré , Lorenzo Rossi , Jan Sprenger

We present probabilistic approaches to check the validity of selected connexive principles within the setting of coherence. Connexive logics emerged from the intuition that conditionals of the form "If $\sim A$, then $A$", should not hold,…

Logic · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Niki Pfeifer , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

In this paper I discuss both syntax and semantics of subjective probability. The semantics determines ways of testing probability statements. Among important varieties of subjective probabilities are intersubjective probabilities and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Vladimir Vovk

There is wide support in logic, philosophy, and psychology for the hypothesis that the probability of the indicative conditional of natural language, $P(\textit{if } A \textit{ then } B)$, is the conditional probability of $B$ given $A$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-13 Giuseppe Sanfilippo , Niki Pfeifer , David E. Over , Angelo Gilio

The present paper investigates proof-theoretical and algebraic properties for the probability logic FP(L,L), meant for reasoning on the uncertainty of Lukasiewicz events. Methodologically speaking, we will consider a translation function…

Logic · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Tommaso Flaminio , Sara Ugolini

In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that involve uncertainty. When people are unsure of their model of reality, then the outcome they observe will cause them to update their beliefs. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-26 Phil Maguire , Philippe Moser , Rebecca Maguire , Mark Keane

De Finetti's betting argument is used to justify finitely additive probabilities when only finitely many bets are considered. Under what circumstances can countably many bets be used to justify countable additivity? In this framework, one…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-08 Rafael Bassi Stern , Joseph Born Kadane

We study the relationship between a notion of conjunction among conditional events, introduced in recent papers, and the notion of Frank t-norm. By examining different cases, in the setting of coherence, we show each time that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-03 Angelo Gilio , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

This paper presents an investigation on the structure of conditional events and on the probability measures which arise naturally in this context. In particular we introduce a construction which defines a (finite) {\em Boolean algebra of…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Tommaso Flaminio , Lluis Godo , Hykel Hosni
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