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Forecasting the short-term spread of an ongoing disease outbreak is a formidable challenge due to the complexity of contributing factors, some of which can be characterized through interlinked, multi-modality variables such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-11 Hongru Du , Jianan Zhao , Yang Zhao , Shaochong Xu , Xihong Lin , Yiran Chen , Lauren M. Gardner , Hao Frank Yang

Nowadays, the increase in patient demand and the decline in resources are lengthening patient waiting times in many chemotherapy oncology departments. Therefore, enhancing healthcare services is necessary to reduce patient complaints.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-02-01 R. R. Corsini , A. Costa , S. Fichera , A. Pluchino

Despite various efforts, decarbonizing the heating sector remains a significant challenge. To tackle it by smart planning, the availability of highly resolved heating demand data is key. Several existing models provide heating demand only…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-12 Simon Malacek , José Portela , Yannick Marcus Werner , Sonja Wogrin

The emergence of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has generated a need to quickly and accurately assemble up-to-date information related to its spread. While it is possible to use deaths to provide a reliable information feed, the latency…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-16 Conor Rosato , Robert E. Moore , Matthew Carter , John Heap , Jose Storopoli , Simon Maskell

Spatio-temporal models for count data are required in a wide range of scientific fields and they have become particularly crucial nowadays because of their ability to analyse COVID-19-related data. Models for count data are needed when the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-16 María Victoria Ibáñez , Marina Martínez-Garcia , Amelia Simó

The emergence of Covid-19 requires new effective tools for epidemiological surveillance. Spatio-temporal disease mapping models, which allow dealing with highly disaggregated spatial and temporal units of analysis, are a priority in this…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-10 Miguel A. Martinez-Beneito , Jorge Mateu , Paloma Botella-Rocamora

Motivated by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, this paper investigates customers' infection risk by evaluating the overlapping time of a virtual customer with others in queueing systems. Most of the current methodologies focus on…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Young Myoung Ko , Jin Xu

Traditionally, the identification of parameters in the formulation and solution of inverse problems considers that models, variables and mathematical parameters are free of uncertainties. This aspect simplifies the estimation process, but…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-02 Gustavo Barbosa Libotte , Fran Sérgio Lobato , Gustavo Mendes Platt

Severe acute respiratory disease SARS-CoV-2 has had a found impact on public health systems and healthcare emergency response especially with respect to making decisions on the most effective measures to be taken at any given time. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

Background: Clinical prediction models are increasingly used to inform healthcare decisions, but determining the minimum sample size for their development remains a critical and unresolved challenge. Inadequate sample sizes can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Diana Shamsutdinova , Felix Zimmer , Oyebayo Ridwan Olaniran , Sarah Markham , Daniel Stahl , Gordon Forbes , Ewan Carr

We develop various AI models to predict hospitalization on a large (over 110$k$) cohort of COVID-19 positive-tested US patients, sourced from March 2020 to February 2021. Models range from Random Forest to Neural Network (NN) and Time…

Background: Recently, a high number of daily positive COVID-19 cases have been reported in regions with relatively high vaccination rates; hence, booster vaccination has become necessary. In addition, infections caused by the different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Essam A. Rashed , Sachiko Kodera , Akimasa Hirata

Accurate demand forecasting is vital for ensuring reliable access to contraceptive products, supporting key processes like procurement, inventory, and distribution. However, forecasting contraceptive demand in developing countries presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Harsha Chamara Hewage , Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Aris Syntetos , Federico Liberatore , Glenn Milano

Over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic, Generalised Additive Models (GAMs) have been successfully employed on numerous occasions to obtain vital data-driven insights. In this paper we further substantiate the success story of GAMs,…

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been ongoing for around 3 years, and has infected over 750 million people and caused over 6 million deaths worldwide at the time of writing. Throughout the pandemic, several strategies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Mohamed Harmanani

The present paper introduces a data-driven framework for describing the time-varying nature of an SIRD model in the context of COVID-19. By embedding a rolling regression in a mixed integer bilevel nonlinear programming problem, our aim is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-04 Javier Rubio-Herrero , Yuchen Wang

Objective: The COVID-19 pandemic has created many challenges that need immediate attention. Various epidemiological and deep learning models have been developed to predict the COVID-19 outbreak, but all have limitations that affect the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Junyi Gao , Rakshith Sharma , Cheng Qian , Lucas M. Glass , Jeffrey Spaeder , Justin Romberg , Jimeng Sun , Cao Xiao

Multi-step passenger demand forecasting is a crucial task in on-demand vehicle sharing services. However, predicting passenger demand over multiple time horizons is generally challenging due to the nonlinear and dynamic spatial-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Lei Bai , Lina Yao , Salil. S Kanhere , Xianzhi Wang , Quan. Z Sheng

Understanding dynamics of an outbreak like that of COVID-19 is important in designing effective control measures. This study aims to develop an agent based model that compares changes in infection progression by manipulating different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-24 Anik Burman , Sayak Chatterjee , Pramit Ghosh , Indranil Mukhokadhyay

In this paper, we present machine learning approaches for characterizing and forecasting the short-term demand for on-demand ride-hailing services. We propose the spatio-temporal estimation of the demand that is a function of variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-08 Ismaïl Saadi , Melvin Wong , Bilal Farooq , Jacques Teller , Mario Cools