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This paper proposes a temporal graph neural network model for forecasting of graph-structured irregularly observed time series. Our TGNN4I model is designed to handle both irregular time steps and partial observations of the graph. This is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-17 Joel Oskarsson , Per Sidén , Fredrik Lindsten

Infectious disease forecasting has been a key focus and proved to be crucial in controlling epidemic. A recent trend is to develop forecast-ing models based on graph neural networks (GNNs). However, existing GNN-based methods suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Mingjie Qiu , Zhiyi Tan , Bing-kun Bao

While spatio-temporal Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel at modeling recurring traffic patterns, their reliability plummets during non-recurring events like accidents. This failure occurs because GNNs are fundamentally correlational models,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Luyao Niu , Zepu Wang , Shuyi Guan , Yang Liu , Peng Sun

The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

Searching for local communities is an important research challenge that allows for personalized community discovery and supports advanced data analysis in various complex networks, such as the World Wide Web, social networks, and brain…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Farnoosh Hashemi , Ali Behrouz , Milad Rezaei Hajidehi

Temporal graphs represent the dynamic relationships among entities and occur in many real life application like social networks, e commerce, communication, road networks, biological systems, and many more. They necessitate research beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Shubham Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur

Future link prediction on temporal graphs is a fundamental task with wide applicability in real-world dynamic systems. These scenarios often involve both recurring (seen) and novel (unseen) interactions, requiring models to generalize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Lu Yi , Runlin Lei , Fengran Mo , Yanping Zheng , Zhewei Wei , Yuhang Ye

Despite the successful application of Temporal Graph Networks (TGNs) for tasks such as dynamic node classification and link prediction, they still perform poorly on the task of dynamic node affinity prediction -- where the goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Benedict Aaron Tjandra , Federico Barbero , Michael Bronstein

Temporal knowledge graph, serving as an effective way to store and model dynamic relations, shows promising prospects in event forecasting. However, most temporal knowledge graph reasoning methods are highly dependent on the recurrence or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Yi Xu , Junjie Ou , Hui Xu , Luoyi Fu

Temporal graph representation learning has drawn significant attention for the prevalence of temporal graphs in the real world. However, most existing works resort to taking discrete snapshots of the temporal graph, or are not inductive to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Zhihao Wen , Yuan Fang

In this paper, we introduce Temporal Multiresolution Graph Neural Networks (TMGNN), the first architecture that both learns to construct the multiscale and multiresolution graph structures and incorporates the time-series signals to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Truong Son Hy , Viet Bach Nguyen , Long Tran-Thanh , Risi Kondor

Recent advances in data collection and storage have allowed both researchers and industry alike to collect data in real time. Much of this data comes in the form of 'events', or timestamped interactions, such as email and social media…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-08-29 Andrew Mellor

Temporal graph neural networks (TGNNs) have been widely used for modeling time-evolving graph-related tasks due to their ability to capture both graph topology dependency and non-linear temporal dynamic. The explanation of TGNNs is of vital…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-05 Wenchong He , Minh N. Vu , Zhe Jiang , My T. Thai

Knowledge Graph (KG) reasoning that predicts missing facts for incomplete KGs has been widely explored. However, reasoning over Temporal KG (TKG) that predicts facts in the future is still far from resolved. The key to predict future facts…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Zixuan Li , Xiaolong Jin , Wei Li , Saiping Guan , Jiafeng Guo , Huawei Shen , Yuanzhuo Wang , Xueqi Cheng

A large fraction of data generated via human activities such as online purchases, health records, spatial mobility etc. can be represented as a sequence of events over a continuous-time. Learning deep learning models over these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Vinayak Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur , Sourangshu Bhattacharya , Abir De

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is widely used in various domains, such as meteorology and traffic. Due to limitations on data collection, transmission, and storage, real-world MTS data usually contains missing values, making it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Xianfeng Tang , Huaxiu Yao , Yiwei Sun , Charu Aggarwal , Prasenjit Mitra , Suhang Wang

Short-term demand forecasting models commonly combine convolutional and recurrent layers to extract complex spatiotemporal patterns in data. Long-term histories are also used to consider periodicity and seasonality patterns as time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Doyup Lee , Suehun Jung , Yeongjae Cheon , Dongil Kim , Seungil You

Predicting future motions of nearby agents is essential for an autonomous vehicle to take safe and effective actions. In this paper, we propose TSGN, a framework using Temporal Scene Graph Neural Networks with projected vectorized…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Yunong Wu , Thomas Gilles , Bogdan Stanciulescu , Fabien Moutarde

Dynamic interactions between entities are prevalent in domains like social platforms, financial systems, healthcare, and e-commerce. These interactions can be effectively represented as time-evolving graphs, where predicting future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Sidharth Agarwal , Tanishq Dubey , Shubham Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur

We consider a setting where multiple entities inter-act with each other over time and the time-varying statuses of the entities are represented as multiple correlated time series. For example, speed sensors are deployed in different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang