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Latent confounding has been a long-standing obstacle for causal reasoning from observational data. One popular approach is to model the data using acyclic directed mixed graphs (ADMGs), which describe ancestral relations between variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-23 Matthew Ashman , Chao Ma , Agrin Hilmkil , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang

Understanding human driving behavior is important for autonomous vehicles. In this paper, we propose an interpretable human behavior model in interactive driving scenarios based on the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). As a non-expected…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Liting Sun , Wei Zhan , Yeping Hu , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Pedestrian trajectory forecasting is a fundamental task in multiple utility areas, such as self-driving, autonomous robots, and surveillance systems. The future trajectory forecasting is multi-modal, influenced by physical interaction with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Jiashi Gao , Xinming Shi , James J. Q. Yu

A multi-modal framework to generate user intention distributions when operating a mobile vehicle is proposed in this work. The model learns from past observed trajectories and leverages traversability information derived from the visual…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Kavindie Katuwandeniya , Stefan H. Kiss , Lei Shi , Jaime Valls Miro

We introduce temporal multimodal multivariate learning, a new family of decision making models that can indirectly learn and transfer online information from simultaneous observations of a probability distribution with more than one peak or…

Causal inconsistency arises when the underlying causal graphs captured by generative models like \textit{Normalizing Flows} (NFs) are inconsistent with those specified in causal models like \textit{Struct Causal Models} (SCMs). This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Qingyang Zhou , Kangjie Lu , Meng Xu

In modern traffic management, one of the most essential yet challenging tasks is accurately and timely predicting traffic. It has been well investigated and examined that deep learning-based Spatio-temporal models have an edge when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Yunjie Huang , Xiaozhuang Song , Yuanshao Zhu , Shiyao Zhang , James J. Q. Yu

To safely and efficiently navigate through complex traffic scenarios, autonomous vehicles need to have the ability to predict the future motion of surrounding vehicles. Multiple interacting agents, the multi-modal nature of driver behavior,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Nachiket Deo , Mohan M. Trivedi

Coordination recognition and subtle pattern prediction of future trajectories play a significant role when modeling interactive behaviors of multiple agents. Due to the essential property of uncertainty in the future evolution,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-03 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Accurate traffic flow prediction, a hotspot for intelligent transportation research, is the prerequisite for mastering traffic and making travel plans. The speed of traffic flow can be affected by roads condition, weather, holidays, etc.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Jianlei Kong , Xiaomeng Fan , Xue-Bo Jin , Min Zuo

Bivariate causal direction identification is a fundamental and vital problem in the causal inference field. Among binary causal methods, most methods based on additive noise only use one single causal mechanism to construct a causal model.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Saixiong Liu , Yuhua Qian , Jue Li , Honghong Cheng , Feijiang Li

Granular flows govern many natural and industrial processes, yet their interior kinematics and mechanics remain largely unobservable, as experiments access only boundaries or free surfaces. Conventional numerical simulations are…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Xuyang Li , Rui Li , Teng Man , Yimin Lu

Modeling stochastic traffic dynamics is critical to developing self-driving cars. Because it is difficult to develop first principle models of cars driven by humans, there is great potential for using data driven approaches in developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Ke Sun , Stephen Chaves , Paul Martin , Vijay Kumar

Controllable and realistic traffic simulation is critical for developing and verifying autonomous vehicles. Typical heuristic-based traffic models offer flexible control to make vehicles follow specific trajectories and traffic rules. On…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Ziyuan Zhong , Davis Rempe , Danfei Xu , Yuxiao Chen , Sushant Veer , Tong Che , Baishakhi Ray , Marco Pavone

Spatio-temporal prediction of levels of an environmental exposure is an important problem in environmental epidemiology. Our work is motivated by multiple studies on the spatio-temporal distribution of mobile source, or traffic related,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-14 Nikolay Bliznyuk , Christopher J. Paciorek , Joel Schwartz , Brent Coull

For decades, researchers in fields, such as the natural and social sciences, have been verifying causal relationships and investigating hypotheses that are now well-established or understood as truth. These causal mechanisms are properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Trent Kyono , Mihaela van der Schaar

Understanding travel demand and behavior, particularly route and mode choices, is critical for effective transportation planning and policy design in multi-modal systems with emerging mobility options. Multi-modal system-level data, such as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 Xiaoyu Ma , Sean Qian

Traffic crashes profoundly impede traffic efficiency and pose economic challenges. Accurate prediction of post-crash traffic status provides essential information for evaluating traffic perturbations and developing effective solutions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Shuang Li , Ziyuan Pu , Nan Zhang , Duxin Chen , Lu Dong , Daniel J. Graham , Yinhai Wang

Traffic signal control is a critical task in intelligent transportation systems, yet conventional fixed-time and rule-based methods often struggle to adapt to dynamic traffic demand and provide limited decision interpretability. This study…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Jiazhao Shi

Deep probabilistic time series forecasting models have become an integral part of machine learning. While several powerful generative models have been proposed, we provide evidence that their associated inference models are oftentimes too…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Chen Qiu , Stephan Mandt , Maja Rudolph