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Ordinary differential equations obtained as limits of Markov processes appear in many settings. They may arise by scaling large systems, or by averaging rapidly fluctuating systems, or in systems involving multiple time-scales, by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Hye-Won Kang , Thomas G. Kurtz , Lea Popovic

In this article the problem of reconstructing the pattern of connection between agents from partial empirical data in a macro-economic model is addressed, given a set of behavioral equations. This systemic point of view puts the focus on…

General Economics · Economics 2019-01-30 Aurélien Hazan

Dynamic networks exhibit temporal patterns that vary across different time scales, all of which can potentially affect processes that take place on the network. However, most data-driven approaches used to model time-varying networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-27 Tiago P. Peixoto , Laetitia Gauvin

The model of scientific paradigms spreading throughout the community of agents with memory is analyzed using the master equation. The case of two competing ideas is considered for various networks of interactions, including agents placed at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-28 Paweł Kondratiuk , Grzegorz Siudem , Janusz A. Hołyst

We study the classical occupancy problem from the viewpoint of its embedding Markov chain. We derive new expressions for the probability mass function and (complementary) distribution function in generalized form. Furthermore, we derive a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Jim van Mechelen

This is an expository paper, focussing on the following scenario. We have two Markov chains, $\mathcal {M}$ and $\mathcal {M}'$. By some means, we have obtained a bound on the mixing time of $\mathcal {M}'$. We wish to compare $\mathcal…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Martin Dyer , Leslie Ann Goldberg , Mark Jerrum , Russell Martin

Control theory plays a pivotal role in understanding and optimizing the behavior of complex dynamical systems across various scientific and engineering disciplines. Two key frameworks that have emerged for modeling and solving control…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta , Orlane Rossini , Régis Sabbadin , Amélie Vernay

In this paper we build on previous work which uses inferences techniques, in particular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, to solve parameterized control problems. We propose a number of modifications in order to make this approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Matthias Hoffman , Hendrik Kueck , Nando de Freitas , Arnaud Doucet

We present and discuss a general density-matrix description of energy-dissipation and decoherence phenomena in open quantum systems, able to overcome the intrinsic limitations of the conventional Markov approximation. In particular, the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Michele Pepe , David Taj , Rita Claudia Iotti , Fausto Rossi

This paper presents a unified framework for analyzing the input-output behavior of discrete time complex networks viewed as open systems. Importantly, we focus on systems that are inherently modeled in discrete time-such as opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-25 Amirhossein Nazerian , MAlbor Asllani , Melvyn Tyloo , Francesco Sorrentino

We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo

The literature on continuous-time stochastic optimal control seldom deals with the case of discrete state spaces. In this paper, we provide a general framework for the optimal control of continuous-time Markov chains on finite graphs. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Olivier Guéant , Iuliia Manziuk

Markov chains are simple yet powerful mathematical structures to model temporally dependent processes. They generally assume stationary data, i.e., fixed transition probabilities between observations/states. However, live, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Kutalmış Coşkun , Borahan Tümer , Bjarne C. Hiller , Martin Becker

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling probability density functions (combined with abundant computational resources) have transformed the sciences, especially in performing probabilistic inferences, or fitting models to data.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-23 David W. Hogg , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

Most successful applications of deep learning involve similar training and test conditions. However, tasks such as biological sequence design involve searching for sequences that improve desirable properties beyond previously known values,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Sophia Hager , Aleem Khan , Andrew Wang , Nicholas Andrews

We study the problem of stationarity and ergodicity for autoregressive multinomial logistic time series models which possibly include a latent process and are defined by a GARCH-type recursive equation. We improve considerably upon the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Konstantinos Fokianos , Lionel Truquet

We study normal approximations for a class of discrete-time occupancy processes, namely, Markov chains with transition kernels of product Bernoulli form. This class encompasses numerous models which appear in the complex networks…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Liam Hodgkinson , Ross McVinish , Philip K. Pollett

The influence of a time-periodic forcing on stochastic processes can essentially be emphasized in the large time behaviour of their paths. The statistics of transition in a simple Markov chain model permits to quantify this influence. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Samuel Herrmann , Damien Landon

Consider a subject or unit in a longitudinal biomedical, public health, engineering, economic, or social science study which is being monitored over a possibly random duration. Over time this unit experiences competing recurrent events and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Lili Tong , Piaomu Liu , Edsel Pena

Dynamic networks are used in a variety of fields to represent the structure and evolution of the relationships between entities. We present a model which embeds longitudinal network data as trajectories in a latent Euclidean space. A Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Daniel K. Sewell , Yuguo Chen
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