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The superior performance of ensemble methods with infinite models are well known. Most of these methods are based on optimization problems in infinite-dimensional spaces with some regularization, for instance, boosting methods and convex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-18 Atsushi Nitanda , Taiji Suzuki

Efficient analysis and simulation of multiscale stochastic systems of chemical kinetics is an ongoing area for research, and is the source of many theoretical and computational challenges. In this paper, we present a significant improvement…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Simon Cotter

Several recent works have explored stochastic gradient methods for variational inference that exploit the geometry of the variational-parameter space. However, the theoretical properties of these methods are not well-understood and these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-15 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Reza Babanezhad , Wu Lin , Mark Schmidt , Masashi Sugiyama

Can far-from-equilibrium material response under arbitrary loading be inferred from equilibrium data and vice versa? Can the effect of element transmutation on mechanical behavior be predicted? Remarkably, such extrapolations are possible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-02 Shenglin Huang , Ian R. Graham , Robert A. Riggleman , Paulo Arratia , Steve Fitzgerald , Celia Reina

We propose a method for quantifying uncertainty in high-dimensional PDE systems with random parameters, where the number of solution evaluations is small. Parametric PDE solutions are often approximated using a spectral decomposition based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-09 Jacqueline Wentz , Alireza Doostan

Partial identification approaches are a flexible and robust alternative to standard point-identification approaches in general instrumental variable models. However, this flexibility comes at the cost of a ``curse of cardinality'': the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-30 Florian Gunsilius

We investigate the lifetime of dynamical regimes under the impact of noise motivated by low-dimensional models of the atmosphere. One may expect that the inclusion of noise tends to make the system leave prescribed regions of the state…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Henry Schoeller , Robin Chemnitz , Péter Koltai , Maximilian Engel , Stephan Pfahl

A general framework for recovering drift and diffusion dynamics from sampled trajectories is presented for the first time for stochastic delay differential equations. The core relies on the well-established SINDy algorithm for the sparse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Dimitri Breda , Dajana Conte , Raffaele D'Ambrosio , Ida Santaniello , Muhammad Tanveer

In model-based reinforcement learning, generative and temporal models of environments can be leveraged to boost agent performance, either by tuning the agent's representations during training or via use as part of an explicit planning…

Statistical models with constrained probability distributions are abundant in machine learning. Some examples include regression models with norm constraints (e.g., Lasso), probit, many copula models, and latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA).…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shiwei Lan , Babak Shahbaba

Information gathered along a path is inherently submodular; the incremental amount of information gained along a path decreases due to redundant observations. In addition to submodularity, the incremental amount of information gained is a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-28 William Clark , Maani Ghaffari

A stochastic mode reduction strategy is applied to multiscale models with a deterministic energy-conserving fast sub-system. Specifically, we consider situations where the slow variables are driven stochastically and interact with the fast…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Ankita Jain , Ilya Timofeyev , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Additive nonparametric regression models provide an attractive tool for variable selection in high dimensions when the relationship between the response and predictors is complex. They offer greater flexibility compared to parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-12 Garret Vo , Debdeep Pati

Solution of Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) model of dynamical system may not agree with its observed values. Often this discrepancy can be attributed to unmodeled forcings in the evolution rule of the dynamical system. In this…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Saurabh Dixit , Soumyendu Raha

Stochastically evolving geometric systems are studied in shape analysis and computational anatomy for modelling random evolutions of human organ shapes. The notion of geodesic paths between shapes is central to shape analysis and has a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-01 Alexis Arnaudon , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Stefan Sommer

In the paper, we present an incremental approach in the construction of scale free networks with hidden variables. The work arises from the necessity to generate that type of networks with a given number of links instead of obtaining a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-06-10 Fabio Vanni

The challenge of quantifying uncertainty propagation in real-world systems is rooted in the high-dimensionality of the stochastic input and the frequent lack of explicit knowledge of its probability distribution. Traditional approaches show…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Huan Lei , Jing Li , Peiyuan Gao , Panos Stinis , Nathan Baker

Standard penalized methods of variable selection and parameter estimation rely on the magnitude of coefficient estimates to decide which variables to include in the final model. However, coefficient estimates are unreliable when the design…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Jonathan P Williams , Jan Hannig

This research aims to estimate three parameters in a stochastic generalized logistic differential equation. We assume the intrinsic growth rate and shape parameters are constant but unknown. To estimate these two parameters, we use the…

Parameter identification problems are formulated in a probabilistic language, where the randomness reflects the uncertainty about the knowledge of the true values. This setting allows conceptually easily to incorporate new information, e.g.…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Bojana V. Rosić , Anna Kučerová , Jan Sýkora , Oliver Pajonk , Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies
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