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This work addresses the problem of predicting the motion trajectories of dynamic objects in the environment. Recent advances in predicting motion patterns often rely on machine learning techniques to extrapolate motion patterns from…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Weiming Zhi , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

This study develops an online predictive optimization framework for dynamically operating a transit service in an area of crowd movements. The proposed framework integrates demand prediction and supply optimization to periodically redesign…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Inon Peled , Kelvin Lee , Yu Jiang , Justin Dauwels , Francisco C. Pereira

We introduce a self-consistent deep-learning framework which, for a noisy deterministic time series, provides unsupervised filtering, state-space reconstruction, identification of the underlying differential equations and forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Zhe Wang , Claude Guet

Highway traffic states data collected from a network of sensors can be considered a high-dimensional nonlinear dynamical system. In this paper, we develop a novel data-driven method -- anti-circulant dynamic mode decomposition with…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-09 Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

Traffic forecasting, a crucial application of spatio-temporal graph (STG) learning, has traditionally relied on deterministic models for accurate point estimations. Yet, these models fall short of quantifying future uncertainties. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Lequan Lin , Dai Shi , Andi Han , Junbin Gao

Accurate traffic forecasting is crucial for the development of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), playing a pivotal role in modern urban traffic management. Traditional forecasting methods, however, struggle with the irregular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Weijia Zhang , Le Zhang , Jindong Han , Hao Liu , Yanjie Fu , Jingbo Zhou , Yu Mei , Hui Xiong

Many methods for time-series forecasting are known in classical statistics, such as autoregression, moving averages, and exponential smoothing. The DeepAR framework is a novel, recent approach for time-series forecasting based on deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ayla Jungbluth , Johannes Lederer

Automated driving in urban settings is challenging. Human participant behavior is difficult to model, and conventional, rule-based Automated Driving Systems (ADSs) tend to fail when they face unmodeled dynamics. On the other hand, the more…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Ekim Yurtsever , Linda Capito , Keith Redmill , Umit Ozguner

Covariance matrix reconstruction has been the most widely used guiding objective in gridless direction-of-arrival (DoA) estimation for sparse linear arrays. Many semidefinite programming (SDP)-based methods fall under this category.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Kuan-Lin Chen , Bhaskar D. Rao

Modeling human mobility is vital for extensive applications such as transportation planning and epidemic modeling. With the rise of the Artificial Intelligence Generated Content (AIGC) paradigm, recent works explore synthetic trajectory…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yuxiao Luo , Songming Zhang , Sijie Ruan , Siran Chen , Kang Liu , Yang Xu , Yu Zheng , Ling Yin

In this work, we propose FlowTime, a generative model for probabilistic forecasting of multivariate timeseries data. Given historical measurements and optional future covariates, we formulate forecasting as sampling from a learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

Constructing a more effective value at risk (VaR) prediction model has long been a goal in financial risk management. In this paper, we propose a novel parametric approach and provide a standard paradigm to demonstrate the modeling. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-08 Shijia Song , Handong Li

Accurate prediction of surrounding road users' trajectories is essential for safe and efficient autonomous driving. While deep learning models have improved performance, challenges remain in preventing off-road predictions and ensuring…

Stochastic effects significantly influence the dynamics of traffic flows. Many dynamic traffic assignment (DTA) models attempt to capture these effects by prescribing a specific ratio that determines how flow splits across different routes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Lukas Graf , Tobias Harks , Michael Markl

Flexibly modeling how an entire density changes with covariates is an important but challenging generalization of mean and quantile regression. While existing methods for density regression primarily consist of covariate-dependent discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-24 Vittorio Orlandi , Jared Murray , Antonio Linero , Alexander Volfovsky

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

We introduce a novel approach to dynamic obstacle avoidance based on Deep Reinforcement Learning by defining a traffic type independent environment with variable complexity. Filling a gap in the current literature, we thoroughly investigate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Fabian Hart , Martin Waltz , Ostap Okhrin

Road network representation learning (RNRL) has attracted increasing attention from both researchers and practitioners as various spatiotemporal tasks are emerging. Recent advanced methods leverage Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Qinghong Guo , Yu Wang , Ji Cao , Tongya Zheng , Junshu Dai , Bingde Hu , Shunyu Liu , Canghong Jin

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) finds extensive application in autonomous drone navigation within complex, high-risk environments. However, its practical deployment faces a safety-exploration dilemma: soft penalty mechanisms encourage…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Wentao Chen , Jingtang Chen , Mingjian Fu , Tiantian Li , Youfeng Su , Wenxi Liu , Yuanlong Yu

Spatio-temporal forecasting has numerous applications in analyzing wireless, traffic, and financial networks. Many classical statistical models often fall short in handling the complexity and high non-linearity present in time-series data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-14 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates