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Context: Transit or eclipse timing variations have proven to be a valuable tool in exoplanet research. However, no simple way to estimate the potential precision of such timing measures has been presented yet, nor are guidelines available…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-03-08 Hans J. Deeg , Brandon Tingley

This work presents a novel framework for time series analysis using entropic measures based on the kernel density estimate (KDE) of the time series' Takens' embeddings. Using this framework we introduce two distinct analytical tools: (1) a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Audun Myers , Bill Kay , Iliana Alvarez , Michael Hughes , Cameron Mackenzie , Carlos Ortiz Marrero , Emily Ellwein , Erik Lentz

We extend the notion of estimation entropy of autonomous dynamical systems proposed by Liberzon and Mitra [1] to nonlinear dynamical systems with uncertain inputs with bounded variation. We call this new notion the {$\epsilon$}-estimation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-14 Hussein Sibai , Sayan Mitra

Characterizing the long term behavior of dynamical systems given limited measurements is a common challenge throughout the physical and biological sciences. This is a challenging task due to the sparsity and noise inherent to empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Roy Friedman , Noa Moriel , Matthew Ricci , Guy Pelc , Yair Weiss , Mor Nitzan

Many complex systems can be modeled by temporal networks, whose organization often evolves through distinct structural phases. Detecting the change points that delimit these phases is both important and challenging. In this work, we extend…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Samuel Koovely , Alexandre Bovet

Estimating the dissipation, or the entropy production rate (EPR), can provide insights into the underlying mechanisms of nonequilibrium driven processes. Experimentally, however, only partial information can be accessed, and the ability to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-29 Uri Kapustin , Aishani Ghosal , Gili Bisker

The analysis of temporal networks heavily depends on the analysis of time-respecting paths. However, before being able to model and analyze the time-respecting paths, we have to infer the timescales at which the temporal edges influence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-30 Luka V. Petrović , Anatol Wegner , Ingo Scholtes

Dynamic graphs with ordered sequences of events between nodes are prevalent in real-world industrial applications such as e-commerce and social platforms. However, representation learning for dynamic graphs has posed great computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Xinshi Chen , Yan Zhu , Haowen Xu , Mengyang Liu , Liang Xiong , Muhan Zhang , Le Song

We present a method for the identification of continuous, spatiotemporal dynamics from experimental data. We use a model in the form of a partial differential equation and formulate an optimization problem for its estimation from data. The…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 H. Voss , M. J. Bünner , M. Abel

Living systems operate far from thermal equilibrium by converting the chemical potential of ATP into mechanical work to achieve growth, replication or locomotion. Given time series observations of intra-, inter- or multicellular processes,…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-11-03 Dominic J. Skinner , Jörn Dunkel

Uncertainty estimation in multi-LLM systems remains largely single-model-centric: existing methods quantify uncertainty within each model but do not adequately capture semantic disagreement across models. To address this gap, we propose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Kangkang Sun , Jun Wu , Jianhua Li , Minyi Guo , Xiuzhen Che , Jianwei Huang

This paper presents a spatiotemporal unsupervised feature learning method for cause identification of electromagnetic transient events (EMTE) in power grids. The proposed method is formulated based on the availability of time-synchronized…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-03-13 Iman Niazazari , Reza Jalilzadeh Hamidi , Hanif Livani , Reza Arghandeh

Dynamic time warping (DTW) is a well-known algorithm for time series elastic dissimilarity measure. Its ability to deal with non-linear time distortions makes it helpful in variety of data mining tasks. Such a task is also anomaly detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Matej Kloska , Gabriela Grmanova , Viera Rozinajova

Characterizing the entropy of a system is a crucial, and often computationally costly, step in understanding its thermodynamics. It plays a key role in the study of phase transitions, pattern formation, protein folding and more. Current…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-02 Amit Nir , Eran Sela , Roy Beck , Yohai Bar-Sinai

Topological phases are unique states of matter incorporating long-range quantum entanglement, hosting exotic excitations with fractional quantum statistics. We report a practical method to identify topological phases in arbitrary realistic…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2012-12-04 Hong-Chen Jiang , Zhenghan Wang , Leon Balents

The concept of entropy in nonequilibrium macroscopic systems is investigated in the light of an extended equation of motion for the density matrix obtained in a previous study. It is found that a time-dependent information entropy can be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 W. T. Grandy

Many dynamical phenomena in complex systems concern spreading that plays out on top of networks with changing architecture over time -- commonly known as temporal networks. A complex system's proneness to facilitate spreading phenomena,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-06 Mark M. Dekker , Raoul D. Schram , Jiamin Ou , Debabrata Panja

Meteorological radar reflectivity data (i.e. radar echo) significantly influences precipitation prediction. It can facilitate accurate and expeditious forecasting of short-term heavy rainfall bypassing the need for complex Numerical Weather…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-14 Shengchao Chen , Ting Shu , Huan Zhao , Guo Zhong , Xunlai Chen

The growing study of time series, especially those related to nonlinear systems, has challenged the methodologies to characterize and classify dynamical structures of a signal. Here we conceive a new diagnostic tool for time series based on…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-07-05 G. Corso , T. L. Prado , G. Z. dos S. Lima , S. R. Lopes

We develop a framework for detecting regime transitions in dynamical systems using the Mixup Euler Characteristic Profile (Mixup ECP) -- the Euler characteristic of the geometric intersection of ball unions around adjacent delay-embedded…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Sushovan Majhi , Atish Mitra , Santanu Nandi , Md Nurujjaman , Buddha Nath Sharma
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